Aug 5, 25sim 96
376
9(H)85
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+24DAL
DAL
7-17
8763
SEA
14-10
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
allas Wings went into Seattle Storm and beat them, 87–63. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
DAL · top performer
Arike Ogunbowale
G · #24
14.8Game score
20
Pts
3
Reb
3
Ast
SEA · top performer
Gabby Williams
F · #5
15.2Game score
14
Pts
6
Reb
8
Ast
WNBA · Dallas Wings at Seattle Storm · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
DAL7-17
8763
SEA14-10
DAL7-17SEA14-10
DAL
7-17
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 22 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +13 | |
| 24 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +11 | |
| 31 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +19 | |
| 27 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +19 | |
TS%.62099+ eFG%.58299+ AST/TO2.786 | ||||||||
| 21 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +12 | |
| 17 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +12 | |
| 10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | |
| 14 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +9 | |
| 31 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +25 | |
| Team | 87 | 48 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 15 | ||
| DNP: M. Hines-Allen, M. Siegrist, T. Harris | ||||||||
SEA
14-10
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 26 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10 | |
| 27 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -12 | |
| 27 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -15 | |
| 29 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -19 | |
| 29 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -13 | |
| 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11 | |
| 13 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -12 | |
| 20 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -12 | |
| Team | 63 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 9 | ||
| DNP: K. Samuelson, S. Diggins | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
45
FG %
31
25
Ast
18
Season series
SEA wins series 3-1
May 20SEA79@DAL71
SEA79@DAL71Jun 4DAL77@SEA83
DAL77@SEA83Jul 23DAL87@SEA63today
DAL87@SEA63todayAug 22SEA95@DAL60
SEA95@DAL60Headlines · top performers
Game flowDAL ↔ SEA
Biggest swing: 19pp · 3rd Quarter · 8:09
DALA. Ogunbowale
GGame leader · 31 min
20 PTS · 3 REB · 3 AST
SEAG. Williams
FGame leader · 27 min
14 PTS · 6 REB · 8 AST
How it ended
DAL beat SEA 87-63. A. Ogunbowale led with 20 PTS, 3 REB, 3 AST. DAL outscored the other side 32-15 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
SEA vs DAL
Starters vs bench
production by unitDALstarters 74% of ptsStarters(5)
64 PTS · 27 REB · 15 AST
GS 52
Bench(5)
23 PTS · 21 REB · 10 AST
GS 21
SEAstarters 86% of ptsStarters(5)
54 PTS · 24 REB · 14 AST
GS 41
Bench(5)
9 PTS · 10 REB · 4 AST
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDAL3rd Quarter · 9:06 · 41-36
+8pp→ 58% WP
Arike Ogunbowale · makes 25-foot three point shot (JJ Quinerly assists)
DAL3rd Quarter · 7:13 · 48-38
+7pp→ 79% WP
Arike Ogunbowale · makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot (JJ Quinerly assists)
DAL3rd Quarter · 3:48 · 56-44
+19pp→ 88% WP
Luisa Geiselsoder · turnover
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 15 | 19 | 32 | 21 | 87 |
| SEA | 19 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 63 |
Period scoring
DAL won 3 · SEA won 1
15
19
Q1
Ogunbowale 4
Williams 21
19
17
Q2
Geiselsoder 8
Ogwumike 6
32
15
Q3
Ogunbowale 11
Geiselsoder 8
21
12
Q4
Jones 6
Cooke 5
DAL
SEA
Shooting comparison
DAL
SEA
45%
32-71
FG
31%
23-75
43%
10-23
3PT
19%
4-21
76%
13-17
FT
93%
13-14
Play-by-play · 399 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
DAL 87·SEA 63
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DAL 87·SEA 63
- Q4·19.2
Grace Berger defensive rebound
DAL 87·SEA 63
- Q4·24.1
Dominique Malonga misses two point shot
DAL 87·SEA 63
- Q4·36.1
Haley Jones makes two point shot (Aziaha James assists)
·
DAL 87·SEA 63
- Q4·45.1
Luisa Geiselsoder defensive rebound
DAL 85·SEA 63
- Q4·47.0
Aziaha James blocks Zia Cooke 's 2-foot driving layup
·
DAL 85·SEA 63
- Q4·59.1
Aziaha James makes layup
DAL 85·SEA 63
- Q4·59.1
Dominique Malonga bad pass (Aziaha James steals)
·
DAL 83·SEA 63
- Q4·1:00
Aziaha James makes layup (DiJonai Carrington assists)
·
DAL 83·SEA 63
- Q4·1:22
Zia Cooke out of bounds bad pass turnover
DAL 81·SEA 63
- Q4·1:33
Grace Berger lost ball turnover (Mackenzie Holmes steals)
·
DAL 81·SEA 63
- Q4·1:57
Zia Cooke makes 24-foot three point jumper (Alysha Clark assists)
·
DAL 81·SEA 63
- Q4·2:10
Alysha Clark defensive rebound
DAL 81·SEA 60
- Q4·2:10
Haley Jones misses 7-foot jumper
DAL 81·SEA 60
- Q4·2:12
Aziaha James offensive rebound
DAL 81·SEA 60
- Q4·2:14
Dominique Malonga blocks Aziaha James 's 5-foot layup
·
DAL 81·SEA 60
- Q4·2:14
Aziaha James offensive rebound
DAL 81·SEA 60
- Q4·2:15
Grace Berger misses driving floating jump shot
DAL 81·SEA 60
- Q4·2:34
Zia Cooke makes free throw 2 of 2
DAL 81·SEA 60
- Q4·2:34
Lexie Brown enters the game for Tiffany Mitchell
·
DAL 81·SEA 59
- Q4·2:34
Zia Cooke makes free throw 1 of 2
DAL 81·SEA 59
- Q4·2:34
Grace Berger shooting foul
DAL 81·SEA 58
- Q4·2:38
Zia Cooke defensive rebound
DAL 81·SEA 58
- Q4·2:46
Luisa Geiselsoder misses 25-foot three point jumper
DAL 81·SEA 58
- Q4·2:54
Zia Cooke bad pass (Haley Jones steals)
·
DAL 81·SEA 58
- Q4·3:03
Aziaha James enters the game for Arike Ogunbowale
·
DAL 81·SEA 58
- Q4·3:03
Grace Berger enters the game for Paige Bueckers
·
DAL 81·SEA 58
- Q4·3:03
Arike Ogunbowale personal foul
DAL 81·SEA 58
- Q4·3:10
Haley Jones makes 8-foot two point shot (Paige Bueckers assists)
·
DAL 81·SEA 58
Team stats
DAL
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
32-71
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
23-75
45
FG %
31
10-23
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
4-21
13-17
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
13-14
25
Assists
18
15
Turnovers
9
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 11 players in cohort
Paige BueckersDAL · GTS%.62099+
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · DAL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
SEA vs DAL.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
100
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Paige BueckersDAL18.6± 8.3low
- Arike OgunbowaleDAL13.6± 12.3low
- Dominique MalongaSEA13.6± 9.4low
Rebounds
- Jessica ShepardDAL10.7± 6.4low
- Dominique MalongaSEA7.6± 3.0low
- Mackenzie HolmesSEA5.0± 3.8low
Assists
- Jessica ShepardDAL6.0± 4.9low
- Paige BueckersDAL5.3± 3.3low
- Jade MelbourneSEA3.9± 2.1low
Blocks
- Dominique MalongaSEA1.4± 1.5low
- Flau'jae JohnsonSEA1.3± 1.8low
- Awak KuierDAL0.9± 1.1low
Steals
- Aziaha JamesDAL1.5± 1.8low
- Jade MelbourneSEA1.2± 1.2low
- Alanna SmithDAL1.0± 1.2low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
DAL
league avg
SEA
46.6%
FG%
◀
44.7
41.6%
37.3%
3PT %
◀
32.6
34.1%
88.9
PPG
◀
85.4
79.5
23.4
Assists / G
◀
18.0
17.0
10.3
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
13.6