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FINAL+22NY
NY

NY

6-0

8563
WSH

WSH

3-4

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBAFri, May 30FinalSeriesNY wins series 4-0

Recap · WNBA

ew York Liberty went into Washington Mystics and beat them, 85–63. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NY · top performer

NY
Sabrina Ionescu

Sabrina Ionescu

G · #20

24.8Game score

28

Pts

3

Reb

5

Ast

WSH · top performer

WSH
Brittney Sykes

Brittney Sykes

G · #20

11.1Game score

20

Pts

4

Reb

3

Ast

WNBA · New York Liberty at Washington Mystics · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
85
63
NY6-0WSH3-4
NY

NY

6-0

85
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
B. StewartB. Stewart★F · #30
251037112+20
L. FiebichL. Fiebich★F · #13
271291032+23
J. JonesJ. Jones★C · #35
3014183221+23
N. CloudN. Cloud★G · #9
22023001+13
S. IonescuS. Ionescu★G · #20
322835202+20
I. HarrisonI. HarrisonF · #21
9430000-2
R. GardnerR. GardnerG · #7
181140100+4
K. BurkeK. BurkeG · #22
17322021+3
M. JohannesM. JohannesG · #23
17321001+2
Team8546236811
DNP: N. Sabally
WSH

WSH

3-4

63
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
K. IriafenK. Iriafen★F · #44
251272202-1
S. DolsonS. Dolson★C · #31
19241000+9
B. SykesB. Sykes★G · #20
312043303-21
S. SuttonS. Sutton★G · #1
25733101-1
S. CitronS. Citron★G · #22
311040013-15
E. EngstlerE. EngstlerF · #21
8421100-3
A. EdwardsA. EdwardsF · #24
17251000-27
S. AustinS. AustinC · #0
13030000-24
L. OlsenL. OlsenG · #33
13232100-1
J. MelbourneJ. MelbourneG · #5
16410001-26
Team6336138110
DNP: S. Kone, G. Amoore

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

43

FG %

28

23

Ast

13

Season series

NY wins series 4-0

May 30NYNY85@WSHWSH63today
Jun 5NYNY86@WSHWSH78
Aug 28WSHWSH63@NYNY89
Sep 9WSHWSH66@NYNY75

Headlines · top performers

Game flowNY ↔ WSH

Biggest swing: 5pp · 3rd Quarter · 8:21

NYNY
S. Ionescu

S. Ionescu

G

Game leader · 32 min

28 PTS · 3 REB · 5 AST

WSHWSH
B. Sykes

B. Sykes

G

Game leader · 31 min

20 PTS · 4 REB · 3 AST

How it ended

NY beat WSH 85-63. S. Ionescu paced them with 28 PTS, 3 REB, 5 AST. NY outscored the other side 27-17 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

WSH vs NY

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
NYNYstarters 75% of pts

Starters(5)

64 PTS · 35 REB · 19 AST

GS 62

Bench(6)

21 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST

GS 14

WSHWSHstarters 81% of pts

Starters(5)

51 PTS · 22 REB · 9 AST

GS 31

Bench(5)

12 PTS · 14 REB · 4 AST

GS 5

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
NY2717221985
WSH1715161563

Period scoring

NY won 4 · WSH won 0

27
17

Q1

Fiebich 8

Sykes 8

17
15

Q2

Ionescu 7

Sykes 7

22
16

Q3

Jones 8

Sutton 9

19
15

Q4

Ionescu 7

Engstler 4

NY
WSH

Shooting comparison

NY
WSH

43%

29-68

FG

28%

21-74

26%

10-38

3PT

25%

4-16

85%

17-20

FT

94%

17-18

Play-by-play · 411 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    NY 85·WSH 63

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    NY 85·WSH 63

  3. Q4·17.1

    Rebekah Gardner defensive rebound

    NY 85·WSH 63

  4. Q4·21.1

    Aaliyah Edwards misses 29-foot three point jumper

    NY 85·WSH 63

  5. Q4·38.2

    Isabelle Harrison makes two point shot

    NY 85·WSH 63

  6. Q4·39.1

    Isabelle Harrison offensive rebound

    NY 83·WSH 63

  7. Q4·42.0

    Marquesha Davis misses 22-foot three point jumper

    NY 83·WSH 63

  8. Q4·1:07

    Emily Engstler makes free throw 2 of 2

    NY 83·WSH 63

  9. Q4·1:07

    Emily Engstler makes free throw 1 of 2

    NY 83·WSH 62

  10. Q4·1:07

    Jaylyn Sherrod personal foul

    NY 83·WSH 61

  11. Q4·1:20

    Jaylyn Sherrod out of bounds bad pass turnover

    NY 83·WSH 61

  12. Q4·1:29

    shot clock turnover

    NY 83·WSH 61

  13. Q4·1:29

    Mystics offensive team rebound

    NY 83·WSH 61

  14. Q4·1:29

    Kennedy Burke blocks Kiki Iriafen 's 6-foot driving layup

    ·

    NY 83·WSH 61

  15. Q4·1:53

    Rebekah Gardner makes 1-foot layup (Marquesha Davis assists)

    ·

    NY 83·WSH 61

  16. Q4·2:03

    Marquesha Davis enters the game for Jonquel Jones

    ·

    NY 81·WSH 61

  17. Q4·2:03

    Kennedy Burke enters the game for Breanna Stewart

    ·

    NY 81·WSH 61

  18. Q4·2:03

    Isabelle Harrison enters the game for Sabrina Ionescu

    ·

    NY 81·WSH 61

  19. Q4·2:03

    Jaylyn Sherrod enters the game for Leonie Fiebich

    ·

    NY 81·WSH 61

  20. Q4·2:03

    Emily Engstler enters the game for Jade Melbourne

    ·

    NY 81·WSH 61

  21. Q4·2:03

    Liberty Full timeout

    NY 81·WSH 61

  22. Q4·2:07

    Sabrina Ionescu defensive rebound

    NY 81·WSH 61

  23. Q4·2:10

    Aaliyah Edwards misses 16-foot pullup jump shot

    NY 81·WSH 61

  24. Q4·2:19

    Breanna Stewart makes two point shot (Sabrina Ionescu assists)

    ·

    NY 81·WSH 61

  25. Q4·2:24

    Jade Melbourne lost ball turnover (Sabrina Ionescu steals)

    ·

    NY 79·WSH 61

  26. Q4·2:45

    Sabrina Ionescu makes free throw 2 of 2

    NY 79·WSH 61

  27. Q4·2:45

    Sabrina Ionescu makes free throw 1 of 2

    NY 78·WSH 61

  28. Q4·2:45

    Jade Melbourne shooting foul

    NY 77·WSH 61

  29. Q4·3:00

    Jonquel Jones defensive rebound

    NY 77·WSH 61

  30. Q4·3:04

    Lucy Olsen misses 18-foot jumper

    NY 77·WSH 61

Team stats

NY

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

29-68

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

21-74

43

FG %

28

10-38

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

4-16

17-20

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

17-18

23

Assists

13

11

Turnovers

10

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

2 of 15 players in cohort
  • Breanna StewartNY · F
    DRB%.24980
  • Brittney SykesTOR · G
    USG%.28780

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · NY favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WSH win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WSH win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WSH win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

95

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Breanna StewartNY
    17.3± 11.0low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    17.1± 6.1low
  • Sonia CitronWSH
    15.8± 11.7low

Rebounds

  • Kiki IriafenWSH
    9.6± 5.6low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    8.7± 4.7low
  • Breanna StewartNY
    8.2± 2.4low

Assists

  • Marine JohannesNY
    4.2± 4.0low
  • Pauline AstierNY
    3.6± 2.5low
  • Georgia AmooreWSH
    3.6± 2.4low

Blocks

  • Jonquel JonesNY
    1.2± 1.9low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    1.1± 1.6low
  • Breanna StewartNY
    1.0± 1.7low

Steals

  • Marine JohannesNY
    1.7± 2.1low
  • Rori HarmonWSH
    1.4± 1.7low
  • Angela DugalicWSH
    1.2± 1.6low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

NY

NY

league avg

WSH

WSH

45.9%

FG%

◀

44.9

44.8%

35.8%

3PT %

◀

33.0

28.8%

88.0

PPG

◀

86.0

82.8

22.1

Assists / G

◀

18.0

17.5

14.3

Turnovers / G

◀

13.0

15.7

Data via ESPN · wehoop