Jun 10, 25sim 95
558
20(H)77
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+28NY
GS
2-2
6795
NY
4-0
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
ew York Liberty held off Golden State Valkyries, 95–67. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
GS · top performer
Veronica Burton
G · #22
11.9Game score
13
Pts
4
Reb
6
Ast
NY · top performer
Breanna Stewart
F · #30
21.0Game score
24
Pts
1
Reb
3
Ast
WNBA · Golden State Valkyries at New York Liberty · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
GS2-2
6795
NY4-0
GS2-2NY4-0
GS
2-2
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 28 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -15 | |
| 24 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | |
| 28 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -16 | |
| 31 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -20 | |
| 30 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -21 | |
| 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8 | |
| 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | |
| 18 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -19 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -16 | |
| Team | 67 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 20 | ||
| DNP: M. Billings, C. Zandalasini, T. Hayes | ||||||||
NY
4-0
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 27 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +21 | |
DRB%.24980 USG%.28360 ORB%.05160 | ||||||||
| 26 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +13 | |
| 25 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +23 | |
| 25 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +20 | |
| 27 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +24 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +16 | |
| 22 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | |
| 22 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +8 | |
| Team | 95 | 37 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | ||
| DNP: N. Sabally | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
34
FG %
50
16
Ast
30
Season series
NY wins series 3-1
May 27GS67@NY95today
GS67@NY95todayMay 29GS77@NY82
GS77@NY82Jun 26NY81@GS78
NY81@GS78Sep 3NY58@GS66
NY58@GS66Headlines · top performers
Game flowGS ↔ NY
GSV. Burton
GGame leader · 30 min
13 PTS · 4 REB · 6 AST
NYB. Stewart
FGame leader · 27 min
24 PTS · 1 REB · 3 AST
How it ended
NY beat GS 95-67. B. Stewart led with 24 PTS, 1 REB, 3 AST. NY outscored the other side 27-10 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
NY vs GS
Starters vs bench
production by unitGSstarters 72% of ptsStarters(5)
48 PTS · 25 REB · 14 AST
GS 34
Bench(4)
19 PTS · 9 REB · 2 AST
GS 7
NYstarters 61% of ptsStarters(5)
58 PTS · 25 REB · 25 AST
GS 52
Bench(6)
37 PTS · 12 REB · 5 AST
GS 35
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 10 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 67 |
| NY | 27 | 21 | 19 | 28 | 95 |
Period scoring
GS won 1 · NY won 3
10
27
Q1
Thornton 5
Stewart 11
19
21
Q2
Burton 8
Johannes 12
22
19
Q3
Thornton 8
Jones 15
16
28
Q4
Martin 6
Stewart 6
GS
NY
Shooting comparison
GS
NY
34%
21-62
FG
50%
37-74
35%
11-31
3PT
40%
14-35
74%
14-19
FT
54%
7-13
Play-by-play · 395 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
GS 67·NY 95
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
GS 67·NY 95
- Q4·6.0
Isabelle Harrison defensive rebound
GS 67·NY 95
- Q4·9.1
Kate Martin misses 24-foot three point jumper
GS 67·NY 95
- Q4·25.0
Marquesha Davis enters the game for Marine Johannes
·
GS 67·NY 95
- Q4·25.0
Golden State Valkyries defensive team rebound
GS 67·NY 95
- Q4·26.0
Isabelle Harrison misses 26-foot three point jumper
GS 67·NY 95
- Q4·41.0
Kate Martin makes 24-foot running pullup jump shot
GS 67·NY 95
- Q4·45.1
Stephanie Talbot defensive rebound
GS 64·NY 95
- Q4·49.0
Marine Johannes misses 24-foot three point jumper
GS 64·NY 95
- Q4·50.1
Jaylyn Sherrod offensive rebound
GS 64·NY 95
- Q4·52.1
Kate Martin blocks Jaylyn Sherrod 's 4-foot driving layup
·
GS 64·NY 95
- Q4·1:03
Temi Fagbenle makes 2-foot layup (Stephanie Talbot assists)
·
GS 64·NY 95
- Q4·1:17
Marine Johannes lost ball turnover (Kayla Thornton steals)
·
GS 62·NY 95
- Q4·1:22
Stephanie Talbot bad pass (Rebekah Gardner steals)
·
GS 62·NY 95
- Q4·1:32
Marine Johannes makes 27-foot running pullup jump shot
GS 62·NY 95
- Q4·1:39
Stephanie Talbot lost ball turnover (Marine Johannes steals)
·
GS 62·NY 92
- Q4·1:53
Isabelle Harrison makes 10-foot step back jumpshot (Jaylyn Sherrod assists)
·
GS 62·NY 92
- Q4·2:07
Jaylyn Sherrod defensive rebound
GS 62·NY 90
- Q4·2:10
Kate Martin misses 24-foot three point jumper
GS 62·NY 90
- Q4·2:32
Marine Johannes makes 25-foot three point shot (Rebekah Gardner assists)
·
GS 62·NY 90
- Q4·2:36
Kate Martin bad pass (Rebekah Gardner steals)
·
GS 62·NY 87
- Q4·2:55
Marine Johannes bad pass (Kate Martin steals)
·
GS 62·NY 87
- Q4·2:57
Official timeout
GS 62·NY 87
- Q4·3:07
Stephanie Talbot bad pass (Marine Johannes steals)
·
GS 62·NY 87
- Q4·3:15
Kayla Thornton enters the game for Janelle Salaun
·
GS 62·NY 87
- Q4·3:15
Isabelle Harrison enters the game for Jonquel Jones
·
GS 62·NY 87
- Q4·3:15
Kennedy Burke enters the game for Breanna Stewart
·
GS 62·NY 87
- Q4·3:15
Jaylyn Sherrod enters the game for Natasha Cloud
·
GS 62·NY 87
- Q4·3:15
Breanna Stewart personal foul
GS 62·NY 87
Team stats
GS
Away
Stat
NY
Home
21-62
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
37-74
34
FG %
50
11-31
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
14-35
14-19
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
7-13
16
Assists
30
20
Turnovers
13
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 15 players in cohort- Breanna StewartNY · FDRB%.24980
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · GS favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
NY vs GS.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
90
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Breanna StewartNY17.3± 11.0low
- Veronica BurtonGS15.6± 5.8low
- Gabby WilliamsGS14.3± 7.5low
Rebounds
- Breanna StewartNY8.2± 2.4low
- Jonquel JonesNY8.0± 3.1low
- Kaila CharlesGS6.3± 2.4low
Assists
- Veronica BurtonGS5.5± 4.2low
- Marine JohannesNY4.2± 4.0low
- Pauline AstierNY3.6± 2.5low
Blocks
- Kiah StokesGS1.8± 2.7low
- Jonquel JonesNY1.2± 1.9low
- Laeticia AmihereGS1.1± 1.5low
Steals
- Gabby WilliamsGS1.9± 2.4low
- Marine JohannesNY1.7± 2.1low
- Breanna StewartNY1.1± 1.3low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
GS
league avg
NY
41.3%
FG%
44.9
▶45.9%
36.1%
3PT %
◀
33.0
35.8%
86.4
PPG
86.0
▶88.0
19.1
Assists / G
18.0
▶22.1
10.1
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
14.3