Free tool
Paste your own prop line. We show the game-log receipt across L5, L10, L20, and season. History only.
A 70% L10 hit rate is not a forecast. The line you see moved for a reason, injuries, matchup, pace. This is the history, not the future.
21+ · Bet responsibly.
No. It only tells you what happened in the recorded game log. Injuries, role, matchup, rest, and pace can change the next result.
No. You bring the line. The tool reads the player game log and counts how often that exact number cleared.
If you enter prices, the tool compares market-implied probability against the L10 result. With both sides entered, it normalizes the two prices first.
The honest explainer
A hit rate is a receipt for the past: how often the player actually cleared the number you typed, in games that already happened. It's the fastest honest context for a prop — and it is context, not a forecast.
The devig comparison adds the missing half: what your book's price implies, next to what history did. When those disagree loudly, that's a prompt to investigate — the market moved that line for a reason you may not have seen yet.
A player cleared 24.5 points in 14 of his last 20 (70%). Your book's −115 implies about 53.5% before devig. A 16-point gap sounds like free money — which is exactly why it deserves suspicion: role change, pace-up opponents in the sample, garbage-time minutes, or news the log can't see. The bar chart is where the question starts, not where it ends.