
OTT
44-27-11

CAR
53-22-7
Recap · NHL
arolina Hurricanes held off Ottawa Senators, 2–0.
CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
OTT · top performer

Tim Stutzle
C · #18
0
G
0
A
—
SOG
CAR · top performer

Logan Stankoven
C · #22
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:07 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:13 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:49 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:58 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:09 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:48 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:15 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:51 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:05 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 17:41 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:26 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 26:39 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:26 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:08 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 27:25 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23:40 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:44 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 2 | 27 | .931 | 56:49 |
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:40 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:15 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:51 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:52 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:37 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15:27 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:24 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 15:36 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17:59 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:42 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:31 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:06 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:04 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0 | 22 | 1.000 | 60:00 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
21
PIM
15
Playoff series
CAR leads series 1-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CAR -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 43 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
T. Stutzle
CTop skater
4 SOG
L. Ullmark
GGoaltender
27 SV · 2 GA · .931
L. Stankoven
CTop skater
1 G · 1 A · 6 SOG
F. Andersen
GGoaltenderShutout
22 SV · 0 GA · 1.000
How it ended
CAR beat OTT 2-0. L. Stankoven led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 6 SOG.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CAR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Period scoring
OTT won 0 · CAR won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 372 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·20:00
Dennis Gilbert Cross-checking against Eric Robinson
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·20:00
Dennis Gilbert Cross-checking against Eric Robinson
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:51
Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Lars Eller
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:51
Off-side
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:51
Jordan Staal Roughing against Brady Tkachuk
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:51
Brady Tkachuk Roughing against Jordan Staal
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:44
Dylan Cozens hit Jordan Martinook
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:43
Jordan Martinook shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:40
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Jordan Martinook
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:15
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Brady Tkachuk
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:15
On-Ice Official
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:15
Goalie Stopped
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:13
Claude Giroux Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:07
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Seth Jarvis
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:01
Dylan Cozens Tip-In Wide Left
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·18:48
Tim Stützle Slap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·18:45
Sean Walker shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·18:42
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Sean Walker
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·18:37
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Sebastian Aho
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·18:34
Tim Stützle shot blocked by Seth Jarvis
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·18:08
Brady Tkachuk Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·17:57
Giveaway by Sebastian Aho
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·17:25
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·17:25
Jalen Chatfield Delaying Game - Puck over glass
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·17:25
Puck in Crowd
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·17:22
Takeaway by Jalen Chatfield
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·17:03
Tim Stützle Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
- 3rd·16:59
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
OTT 0·CAR 2
Team stats
OTT
Away
Stat
CAR
Home
22
Shots
29
0.0
PCT
0.0
21
PIM
15
31
Faceoffs W
24
13
Blocks
11
16
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
5
Betting line
CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·OTT +124/CAR -148
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LWCORSI%6699+
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · DCORSI%6599+
Dylan CozensOTT · CxGF%6599
Sebastian AhoCAR · CCORSI%6499
Jackson BlakeCAR · RWCORSI%6499
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
58.3%
ensemble · CAR favored
Elo Static
62.6%
P(CAR win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
62.6%
P(CAR win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
62.6%
P(CAR win)
16%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
1 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-148
Close price
-148
Open no-vig
57.2%
Close no-vig
57.2%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit