NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1PHI

PHI

23-17-8

VGK

24-12-12

NHLMon, Jan 19FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasVGK -230

Recap · NHL

hiladelphia Flyers went into Vegas Golden Knights and beat them, 2–1.

PHI +1.5 cashed (VGK lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

PHI · top performer

Travis Konecny

RW · #11

2Points

—

SOG

VGK · top performer

Tomas Hertl

C · #48

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. BarkeyC · #52	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	11:36
B. BrinkRW · #10	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	13:28
N. CatesLW · #27	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	14:11
S. CouturierC · #14	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	19:19
C. DvorakC · #22	0	0	1	2	1	2	2	19:25
C. GrundstromRW · #91	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	13:07
G. HathawayRW · #19	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	11:02
T. KonecnyRW · #11	2	0	2	5	1	1	0	17:19
M. MichkovRW · #39	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	12:03
L. PedersonC · #25	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8:38
O. TippettRW · #74	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	14:28
T. ZegrasC · #46	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	14:44

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. AndraeD · #36	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	15:05
J. DrysdaleD · #9	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	19:57
N. JuulsenD · #47	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	17:31
T. SanheimD · #6	0	0	1	0	0	2	2	24:02
N. SeelerD · #24	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	18:46
C. YorkD · #8	0	0	2	0	0	4	0	22:21

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. ErssonG · #33	25	1	24	.960	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. BarbashevLW · #49	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	17:01
B. BowmanRW · #42	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	13:01
P. DorofeyevRW · #16	0	0	-1	5	1	0	0	19:20
J. EichelC · #9	0	1	-1	1	0	0	0	24:55
T. HertlC · #48	1	0	-2	2	1	1	0	21:58
A. HoltzRW · #26	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	9:37
K. KolesarRW · #55	0	0	-1	1	5	0	0	11:42
T. LaczynskiC · #28	0	0	0	4	0	1	2	12:04
M. MarnerRW · #93	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	21:31
C. ReinhardtLW · #23	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	10:45
R. SmithRW · #19	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	13:32
M. StoneRW · #61	0	1	-1	2	0	2	0	23:12

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. HanifinD · #15	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	20:37
B. HuttonD · #17	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	11:22
K. KorczakD · #6	0	0	-1	0	1	2	0	17:43
J. LauzonD · #5	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	17:00
J. MegnaD · #88	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	11:01
S. TheodoreD · #27	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	21:45

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. HillG · #33	17	2	15	.882	57:54

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 12

VGK3@

PHI2

Jan 20

PHI2@

VGK1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VGK -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHI+19034%

VGK-23070%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

PHI

T. Konecny

Top skater

2 G · 5 SOG

S. Ersson

Goaltender

24 SV · 1 GA · .960

VGK

T. Hertl

Top skater

1 G · 2 SOG

A. Hill

Goaltender

15 SV · 2 GA · .882

How it ended

PHI beat VGK 2-1. T. Konecny led the way — 2 G · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
PHI	1	0	1	2
VGK	0	1	0	1

Period scoring

PHI won 2 · VGK won 1

PHI

VGK

Play-by-play · 271 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·19:59
Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·19:58
Ivan Barbashev Deflected saved by Samuel Ersson
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·19:57
Mitch Marner Wrist Shot saved by Samuel Ersson
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·19:40
Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Cam York
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·19:37
Tomas Hertl faceoff won against Sean Couturier
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·19:37
Goalie Stopped
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·19:37
Jack Eichel Slap Shot saved by Samuel Ersson
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·19:16
Shea Theodore shot blocked by Nick Seeler
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·18:27
Tomas Hertl faceoff won against Sean Couturier
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·18:27
Owen Tippett Delaying Game - Puck over glass
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·18:27
Puck in Crowd
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·18:19
Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Mark Stone
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·18:11
Tomas Hertl faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·18:11
Icing
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·17:27
Denver Barkey Tip-In saved by Adin Hill
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·17:22
Giveaway by Reilly Smith
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·17:19
Giveaway by Sean Couturier
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·17:07
Carl Grundstrom Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·16:46
Cole Reinhardt hit Bobby Brink
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·16:43
Kaedan Korczak hit Carl Grundstrom
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·16:42
Carl Grundstrom shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·16:29
Noah Cates faceoff won against Tanner Laczynski
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·16:29
Icing
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·16:07
Cole Reinhardt shot blocked by Travis Konecny
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·15:30
Ivan Barbashev Snap Shot Wide Left
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·15:19
Braeden Bowman Tip-In Wide Right
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·14:26
Nick Seeler Wrist Shot saved by Adin Hill
·
PHI 2·VGK 1
3rd·13:39
Sean Couturier shot blocked by Mitch Marner
·
PHI 2·VGK 1

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

VGK

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

14.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

VGK -1.5·O/U 6.5·PHI +190/VGK -230

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Jack EichelVGK · C
DIST MI82.899+
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
DIST MI84.899+
Tomas HertlVGK · C
xGF%6599
Pavel DorofeyevVGK · RW
CORSI%6499
Noah HanifinVGK · D
DIST MI73.198

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

57.3%

ensemble · VGK favored

Elo Static
61.3%
P(VGK win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
61.3%
P(VGK win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
61.3%
P(VGK win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+190

Close price

+190

Open no-vig

33.1%

Close no-vig

33.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit