Jan 17, 26sim 100
136
15(H)3
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+1ANA
LA
19-16-13
12
ANA
24-21-3
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
naheim Ducks held off Los Angeles Kings, 2–1 in overtime.
ANA +1.5 cashed (LA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
LA · top performer
Kevin Fiala
LW · #22
1Points
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
ANA · top performer
Mikael Granlund
C · #64
1Points
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final / OT
LA19-16-13
12
ANA24-21-3
LA19-16-13ANA24-21-3
LA
19-16-13
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
ANA
24-21-3
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
11
PIM
17
Season series
ANA wins series 3-1
Nov 28LA4@ANA5
LA4@ANA5Dec 28ANA1@LA6
ANA1@LA6Jan 17ANA3@LA2
ANA3@LA2Jan 18LA1@ANA2today
LA1@ANA2todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LA -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
LA-11553%ANA-10551%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 8 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
ANA beat LA 2-1.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| ANA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Period scoring
LA won 1 · ANA won 2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
3
0
1
OT
LA
ANA
Play-by-play · 336 plays
period
event
player
- OT·4:02
Game End
LA 1·ANA 2
- OT·4:02
End of OT
LA 1·ANA 2
- OT·4:02
Mikael Granlund Goal (9) Snap Shot, assists: Beckett Sennecke (23)
·
LA 1·ANA 2
- OT·3:55
Takeaway by Beckett Sennecke
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·3:48
Jackson LaCombe Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·3:03
Ryan Poehling faceoff won against Adrian Kempe
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·3:03
Puck in Netting
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·3:01
Adrian Kempe Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·2:29
Giveaway by Pavel Mintyukov
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·2:08
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Ryan Strome
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·2:08
Goalie Stopped
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·2:06
Mason McTavish Snap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·2:00
Beckett Sennecke Backhand saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·1:38
Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Mikey Anderson
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·1:19
Mason McTavish faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·1:19
Goalie Stopped
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·1:18
Mikael Granlund Snap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·0:51
Mikael Granlund Slap Shot Wide Right
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·0:25
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Mason McTavish
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·0:25
Timeout - Home
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·0:25
Drew Doughty Hooking against Mikael Granlund
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·0:00
Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
LA 1·ANA 1
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 1·ANA 1
- 3rd·19:59
Quinton Byfield shot blocked by Mikael Granlund
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- 3rd·19:57
Drew Doughty shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- 3rd·19:54
Quinton Byfield faceoff won against Mikael Granlund
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- 3rd·19:54
Puck in Netting
LA 1·ANA 1
- 3rd·19:52
Quinton Byfield shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
·
LA 1·ANA 1
- 3rd·19:45
Takeaway by Warren Foegele
LA 1·ANA 1
Team stats
LA
Away
Stat
ANA
Home
18
Shots
33
16.7
PCT
0.0
11
PIM
17
28
Faceoffs W
34
9
Blocks
22
13
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
3
Betting line
LA -1.5·O/U 6.5·LA -115/ANA -105
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 skaters with EDGE
Beckett SenneckeANA · RWSHOT MPH96.199+
Ryan PoehlingANA · CSKATE MPH23.498
Jackson LaCombeANA · DDIST MI47.993
Cutter GauthierANA · LWSHOT MPH89.691
Warren FoegeleOTT · LWSKATE MPH22.786
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.6%
ensemble · ANA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ANA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ANA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ANA win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-105
Close price
-105
Open no-vig
48.9%
Close no-vig
48.9%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit