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FINAL+3CHI
CHI

CHI

19-19-7

30
NSH

NSH

20-20-4

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 10FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNSH -218

Recap · NHL

hicago Blackhawks went into Nashville Predators and beat them, 3–0.

CHI +1.5 cashed (NSH lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Connor Bedard

Connor Bedard

C · #98

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NSH · top performer

NSH
Michael Bunting

Michael Bunting

LW · #58

0Points

0

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
0
CHI19-19-7NSH20-20-4
CHI

CHI

19-19-7

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NSH

NSH

20-20-4

0
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

8

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 29NSHNSH4@CHICHI3
Jan 11CHICHI3@NSHNSH0today
Feb 27CHICHI2@NSHNSH4
Mar 22NSHNSH3@CHICHI2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NSH -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+18036%
NSHNSH-21869%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CHI beat NSH 3-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CHI0123
NSH0000

Period scoring

CHI won 2 · NSH won 0

0
0

1

1
0

2

2
0

3

CHI
NSH

Play-by-play · 312 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CHI 3·NSH 0

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CHI 3·NSH 0

  3. 3rd·19:53

    Nick Lardis Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    CHI 3·NSH 0

  4. 3rd·19:09

    Tyson Jost Slap Shot saved by Drew Commesso

    ·

    CHI 3·NSH 0

  5. 3rd·19:05

    Giveaway by Matt Grzelcyk

    CHI 3·NSH 0

  6. 3rd·18:42

    Nick Foligno faceoff won against Fedor Svechkov

    ·

    CHI 3·NSH 0

  7. 3rd·18:42

    Puck in Benches

    CHI 3·NSH 0

  8. 3rd·18:32

    Nick Foligno faceoff won against Fedor Svechkov

    ·

    CHI 3·NSH 0

  9. 3rd·18:32

    Ryan Greene Goal (5) Backhand, assists: Tyler Bertuzzi (13)

    ·

    CHI 3·NSH 0

  10. 3rd·18:26

    Giveaway by Filip Forsberg

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  11. 3rd·18:03

    Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  12. 3rd·18:03

    Giveaway by Filip Forsberg

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  13. 3rd·17:37

    Roman Josi Wrist Shot Hit Right Post

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  14. 3rd·17:36

    Steven Stamkos Slap Shot saved by Drew Commesso

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  15. 3rd·16:59

    Luke Evangelista Wrist Shot saved by Drew Commesso

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  16. 3rd·16:49

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  17. 3rd·16:49

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  18. 3rd·16:47

    Filip Forsberg Slap Shot saved by Drew Commesso

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  19. 3rd·16:36

    Luke Evangelista Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  20. 3rd·16:25

    Steven Stamkos Slap Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  21. 3rd·16:14

    Filip Forsberg shot blocked by Luke Evangelista

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  22. 3rd·16:03

    Steven Stamkos Wrist Shot saved by Drew Commesso

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  23. 3rd·15:50

    Artyom Levshunov hit Steven Stamkos

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  24. 3rd·15:43

    Luke Evangelista shot blocked by Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  25. 3rd·15:16

    Roman Josi Wrist Shot saved by Drew Commesso

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  26. 3rd·15:10

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Teuvo Teravainen

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  27. 3rd·15:10

    Icing

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  28. 3rd·14:44

    Brady Skjei shot blocked by Wyatt Kaiser

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  29. 3rd·14:37

    Adam Wilsby Wrist Shot saved by Drew Commesso

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

  30. 3rd·14:04

    Ryan Greene hit Roman Josi

    ·

    CHI 2·NSH 0

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

NSH

Home

21

Shots

36

33.3

PCT

0.0

8

PIM

8

29

Faceoffs W

35

8

Blocks

8

14

Giveaways

13

2

Takeaways

7

Betting line

NSH -1.5·O/U 6.5·CHI +180/NSH -218

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195
  • Connor BedardCHI · C
    BURSTS19595
  • Nick BlankenburgCOL · D
    SKATE MPH22.591

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · NSH favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+180

Close price

+180

Open no-vig

34.3%

Close no-vig

34.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR