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FINAL+1SEA
SEA

SEA

15-14-6

32
LA

LA

15-12-9

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLTue, Dec 23FinalSeriesSEA leads series 2-0VegasLA -218

Recap · NHL

eattle Kraken went into Los Angeles Kings and beat them, 3–2.

SEA +1.5 cashed (LA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Los Angeles Kings · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
2
SEA15-14-6LA15-12-9
SEA

SEA

15-14-6

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
LA

LA

15-12-9

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

4

Season series

SEA leads series 2-0

Dec 11LALA2@SEASEA3
Dec 24SEASEA3@LALA2today
Feb 5SEASEA4@LALA2
Apr 14LALA5@SEASEA3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA+18036%
LALA-21869%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SEA beat LA 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SEA0303
LA0112

Period scoring

SEA won 1 · LA won 1

0
0

1

3
1

2

0
1

3

SEA
LA

Play-by-play · 347 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SEA 3·LA 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SEA 3·LA 2

  3. 3rd·19:52

    Anze Kopitar Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  4. 3rd·19:43

    Kevin Fiala Slap Shot Off Crossbar

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  5. 3rd·19:37

    Kevin Fiala shot blocked by Corey Perry

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  6. 3rd·19:36

    Quinton Byfield Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  7. 3rd·19:34

    Drew Doughty shot blocked by Adam Larsson

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  8. 3rd·19:00

    Drew Doughty Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  9. 3rd·18:57

    Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  10. 3rd·18:57

    Off-side

    SEA 3·LA 2

  11. 3rd·18:27

    Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  12. 3rd·18:27

    Hand Pass

    SEA 3·LA 2

  13. 3rd·17:57

    Giveaway by Quinton Byfield

    SEA 3·LA 2

  14. 3rd·17:41

    Takeaway by Frederick Gaudreau

    SEA 3·LA 2

  15. 3rd·17:13

    Brandt Clarke Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  16. 3rd·16:37

    Anze Kopitar Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  17. 3rd·16:27

    Giveaway by Drew Doughty

    SEA 3·LA 2

  18. 3rd·16:11

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Adrian Kempe

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  19. 3rd·16:11

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 3·LA 2

  20. 3rd·16:08

    Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Jordan Eberle

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  21. 3rd·16:05

    Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  22. 3rd·16:05

    Puck in Netting

    SEA 3·LA 2

  23. 3rd·15:43

    Takeaway by Chandler Stephenson

    SEA 3·LA 2

  24. 3rd·15:19

    Adam Larsson shot blocked by Quinton Byfield

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  25. 3rd·15:05

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Quinton Byfield

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  26. 3rd·15:05

    Off-side

    SEA 3·LA 2

  27. 3rd·14:03

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Adrian Kempe

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  28. 3rd·14:03

    Matty Beniers Tripping against Quinton Byfield

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  29. 3rd·13:48

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Quinton Byfield

    ·

    SEA 3·LA 2

  30. 3rd·13:48

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 3·LA 2

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

LA

Home

28

Shots

37

50.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

4

34

Faceoffs W

37

19

Blocks

5

13

Giveaways

15

6

Takeaways

5

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·SEA +180/LA -218

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Jordan EberleSEA · RW
    DIST MI236.192
  • Ryker EvansSEA · D
    SKATE MPH23.092
  • Adam LarssonSEA · D
    SHOT MPH98.491
  • Warren FoegeleOTT · LW
    SKATE MPH22.786

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · LA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+180

Close price

+180

Open no-vig

34.3%

Close no-vig

34.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

LA vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 135 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Alex LaferriereLA
    3.0± 1.6high
  • Quinton ByfieldLA
    3.0± 2.2high
  • Bobby McMannSEA
    3.0± 1.8high

Goals

  • Adrian KempeLA
    0.5± 0.7high
  • Quinton ByfieldLA
    0.4± 0.7high
  • Andrei KuzmenkoLA
    0.3± 0.7high

Points

  • Alex LaferriereLA
    0.8± 0.8high
  • Artemi PanarinLA
    0.8± 0.7high
  • Adrian KempeLA
    0.7± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR