NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CBJ

CBJ

22-19-7

PIT

22-14-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 17FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasPIT -118

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets went into Pittsburgh Penguins and beat them, 4–3.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (PIT lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CBJ · top performer

Zachary Aston-Reese

LW · #27

1Points

—

SOG

PIT · top performer

Sidney Crosby

C · #87

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO

CBJ22-19-7

PIT22-14-11

CBJ22-19-7PIT22-14-11

CBJ

22-19-7

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

PIT

22-14-11

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Oct 25

CBJ5@

PIT4

Nov 29

PIT4@

CBJ3

Jan 4

PIT5@

CBJ4

Jan 18

CBJ4@

PIT3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJ-10250%

PIT-11854%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat PIT 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
CBJ	1	2	0	0	1	4
PIT	2	0	1	0	0	3

Period scoring

CBJ won 2 · PIT won 2

CBJ

PIT

Play-by-play · 352 plays

period

event

player

SO·0:00
Game End
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
End of OT
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
End of Shootout
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
Charlie Coyle Goal Wrist Shot
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
Bryan Rust Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
Kirill Marchenko Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
Egor Chinakhov Goal Wrist Shot
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
Adam Fantilli Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
Sidney Crosby Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
Kent Johnson Goal Backhand
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
Rickard Rakell failed shot attempt on Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 2·PIT 1
SO·0:00
Start of Shootout
CBJ 2·PIT 1
OT·5:00
End of OT
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·4:51
Boone Jenner Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·4:40
Rickard Rakell Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·4:06
Tommy Novak Backhand Wide Right
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·3:25
Sidney Crosby Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·3:19
Giveaway by Kent Johnson
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·2:58
Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·2:58
Puck in Netting
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·2:56
Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Kent Johnson
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·2:41
Kirill Marchenko Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·2:08
Brett Kulak Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·1:48
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Cole Sillinger
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·1:03
Charlie Coyle Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·0:47
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Sidney Crosby
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·0:47
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·0:45
Ben Kindel Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·0:43
Evgeni Malkin Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3
OT·0:42
Evgeni Malkin Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 3·PIT 3

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 6.5·CBJ -102/PIT -118

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Egor ChinakhovPIT · RW
SHOT MPH94.799
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
BURSTS30199
Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
DIST MI289.198
Adam FantilliCBJ · C
DIST MI256.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · PIT favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-118

Close price

-118

Open no-vig

51.7%

Close no-vig

51.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

PIT vs CBJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 123 high confidence

Shots on goal

Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Rickard RakellPIT
3.0± 2.1high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high

Goals

Evgeni MalkinPIT
0.5± 1.0high
Adam FantilliCBJ
0.3± 0.5high
Boone JennerCBJ
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Evgeni MalkinPIT
1.1± 1.4high
Sidney CrosbyPIT
1.1± 1.1high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
0.8± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands