Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+3OTT
OTT

OTT

23-19-7

41
CBJ

CBJ

22-20-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Jan 20FinalSeriesOTT wins series 2-1VegasOTT -115

Recap · NHL

ttawa Senators went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 4–1.

OTT -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

OTT · top performer

OTT
Ridly Greig

Ridly Greig

C · #71

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Boone Jenner

Boone Jenner

C · #38

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
1
OTT23-19-7CBJ22-20-7
OTT

OTT

23-19-7

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CBJ

CBJ

22-20-7

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

8

Season series

OTT wins series 2-1

Dec 12OTTOTT6@CBJCBJ3
Dec 30CBJCBJ4@OTTOTT1
Jan 21OTTOTT4@CBJCBJ1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

OTT -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

OTTOTT-11553%
CBJCBJ-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

OTT beat CBJ 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
OTT2024
CBJ1001

Period scoring

OTT won 2 · CBJ won 0

2
1

1

0
0

2

2
0

3

OTT
CBJ

Play-by-play · 292 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  3. 3rd·19:37

    Takeaway by Tyler Kleven

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  4. 3rd·18:38

    Shane Pinto faceoff won against Brendan Gaunce

    ·

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  5. 3rd·18:38

    Off-side

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  6. 3rd·18:22

    Takeaway by Tyler Kleven

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  7. 3rd·18:16

    Giveaway by Boone Jenner

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  8. 3rd·18:10

    Lars Eller hit Erik Gudbranson

    ·

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  9. 3rd·17:32

    Brendan Gaunce faceoff won against Brady Tkachuk

    ·

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  10. 3rd·17:32

    Icing

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  11. 3rd·16:54

    Lars Eller faceoff won against Brendan Gaunce

    ·

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  12. 3rd·16:54

    Brady Tkachuk Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Tim Stützle (29), Ridly Greig (15)

    · ·

    OTT 4·CBJ 1

  13. 3rd·16:43

    Zach Werenski shot blocked by Sean Monahan

    ·

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  14. 3rd·16:40

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Ridly Greig

    ·

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  15. 3rd·16:40

    Goalie Stopped

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  16. 3rd·16:38

    Dmitri Voronkov Tip-In saved by James Reimer

    ·

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  17. 3rd·16:30

    Dmitri Voronkov Snap Shot saved by James Reimer

    ·

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  18. 3rd·16:13

    Shane Pinto faceoff won against Sean Monahan

    ·

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  19. 3rd·16:13

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  20. 3rd·16:08

    Giveaway by Shane Pinto

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  21. 3rd·16:03

    Boone Jenner Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  22. 3rd·15:29

    Giveaway by Damon Severson

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  23. 3rd·15:26

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Dylan Cozens

    ·

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  24. 3rd·15:26

    Puck in Netting

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  25. 3rd·14:54

    Giveaway by Drake Batherson

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  26. 3rd·14:50

    Jake Sanderson Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  27. 3rd·14:40

    Giveaway by Erik Gudbranson

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  28. 3rd·14:10

    Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Charlie Coyle

    ·

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  29. 3rd·14:10

    Goalie Stopped

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

  30. 3rd·14:08

    Drake Batherson Tip-In saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    OTT 3·CBJ 1

Team stats

OTT

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

21

Shots

22

0.0

PCT

0.0

8

PIM

8

31

Faceoffs W

21

14

Blocks

13

16

Giveaways

19

6

Takeaways

3

Betting line

OTT -1.5·O/U 6.5·OTT -115/CBJ -105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696
  • Erik GudbransonCBJ · D
    SHOT MPH98.692

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · CBJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-105

Close price

-105

Open no-vig

48.9%

Close no-vig

48.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR