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FINAL+3CBJ
VAN

VAN

16-26-5

14
CBJ

CBJ

21-19-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 15FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasCBJ -166

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets held off Vancouver Canucks, 4–1.

CBJ -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Vancouver Canucks at Columbus Blue Jackets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
4
VAN16-26-5CBJ21-19-7
VAN

VAN

16-26-5

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CBJ

CBJ

21-19-7

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

4

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 9CBJCBJ3@VANVAN4
Jan 16VANVAN1@CBJCBJ4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

VANVAN+14042%
CBJCBJ-16662%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat VAN 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
VAN0101
CBJ1214

Period scoring

VAN won 0 · CBJ won 3

0
1

1

1
2

2

0
1

3

VAN
CBJ

Play-by-play · 310 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  3. 3rd·19:56

    Arshdeep Bains shot blocked by Dante Fabbro

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  4. 3rd·19:21

    Cole Sillinger Wrist Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  5. 3rd·18:54

    Liam Ohgren hit Adam Fantilli

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  6. 3rd·18:54

    Giveaway by Adam Fantilli

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  7. 3rd·18:37

    Giveaway by Brock Boeser

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  8. 3rd·18:03

    Brendan Gaunce hit Marcus Pettersson

    · ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  9. 3rd·17:43

    Brendan Gaunce faceoff won against David Kampf

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  10. 3rd·17:43

    Goalie Stopped

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  11. 3rd·17:41

    Mikael Pyyhtia Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  12. 3rd·17:38

    Brendan Gaunce faceoff won against David Kampf

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  13. 3rd·17:38

    Goalie Stopped

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  14. 3rd·17:35

    Dmitri Voronkov Wrist Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  15. 3rd·17:13

    Zach Werenski Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  16. 3rd·16:43

    Cole Sillinger hit Tom Willander

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  17. 3rd·15:32

    Takeaway by Liam Ohgren

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  18. 3rd·15:29

    Sean Monahan faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  19. 3rd·15:29

    Goalie Stopped

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  20. 3rd·15:26

    Evander Kane Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  21. 3rd·15:20

    Takeaway by Tom Willander

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  22. 3rd·15:11

    Victor Mancini shot blocked by Charlie Coyle

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  23. 3rd·15:07

    Victor Mancini shot blocked by Dmitri Voronkov

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  24. 3rd·15:01

    David Kampf faceoff won against Charlie Coyle

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  25. 3rd·15:01

    Puck in Netting

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  26. 3rd·14:59

    Tom Willander shot blocked by Kirill Marchenko

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  27. 3rd·14:57

    David Kampf faceoff won against Adam Fantilli

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  28. 3rd·14:57

    Icing

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  29. 3rd·14:06

    Dante Fabbro Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

  30. 3rd·12:22

    Giveaway by Conor Garland

    VAN 1·CBJ 4

Team stats

VAN

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

31

Shots

36

50.0

PCT

100.0

4

PIM

4

27

Faceoffs W

24

18

Blocks

15

18

Giveaways

10

6

Takeaways

6

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·VAN +140/CBJ -166

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Brock BoeserVAN · RW
    SHOT MPH96.498
  • Filip HronekVAN · D
    DIST MI292.398
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · CBJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CBJ vs VAN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

135

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Zach WerenskiCBJ
    3.4± 2.5high
  • Jake DeBruskVAN
    3.1± 2.4high
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
    2.8± 1.6high

Goals

  • Jake DeBruskVAN
    0.5± 0.7high
  • Brock BoeserVAN
    0.4± 1.0high
  • Adam FantilliCBJ
    0.3± 0.5high

Points

  • Brock BoeserVAN
    0.9± 1.3high
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
    0.8± 0.9high
  • Mason MarchmentCBJ
    0.8± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR