
NSH
19-19-4

EDM
21-16-6
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
dmonton Oilers held off Nashville Predators, 6–2.
EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NSH · top performer

Michael Bunting
LW · #58
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
EDM · top performer

Leon Draisaitl
C · #29
1
G
2
A
—
SOG
NHL · Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


NSH
19-19-4
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
EDM
21-16-6
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
4
Season series
EDM leads series 1-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
EDM -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
EDM beat NSH 6-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| EDM | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Period scoring
NSH won 0 · EDM won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 334 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
NSH 2·EDM 6
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NSH 2·EDM 6
- 3rd·19:40
Tyson Jost shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
·
NSH 2·EDM 6
- 3rd·19:34
Fedor Svechkov shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
·
NSH 2·EDM 6
- 3rd·19:31
Giveaway by Alec Regula
NSH 2·EDM 6
- 3rd·19:03
Jack Roslovic faceoff won against Fedor Svechkov
·
NSH 2·EDM 6
- 3rd·19:03
Objects on Ice
NSH 2·EDM 6
- 3rd·19:03
Connor McDavid Goal (28) Snap Shot, assists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (23), Mattias Ekholm (16)
· ·
NSH 2·EDM 6
- 3rd·18:57
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nick Blankenburg
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·18:55
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Michael McCarron
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·18:28
Giveaway by Spencer Stastney
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·17:52
Fedor Svechkov hit Curtis Lazar
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·17:26
Fedor Svechkov faceoff won against Curtis Lazar
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·17:26
Goalie Stopped
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·17:24
Curtis Lazar Snap Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·17:24
Curtis Lazar Snap Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·16:51
Evan Bouchard Slap Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·16:37
Jack Roslovic Snap Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·16:09
Steven Stamkos faceoff won against Jack Roslovic
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·16:09
Icing
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·15:53
Kasperi Kapanen Slap Shot High and Wide Left
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·15:37
Reid Schaefer hit Kasperi Kapanen
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·15:27
Cole Smith hit Vasily Podkolzin
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·15:19
Michael McCarron faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·15:19
Goalie Stopped
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·15:17
Michael McCarron Backhand saved by Connor Ingram
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·15:16
Takeaway by Michael McCarron
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·15:02
Leon Draisaitl faceoff won against Michael McCarron
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·15:02
Goalie Stopped
NSH 2·EDM 5
- 3rd·15:00
Leon Draisaitl Snap Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 2·EDM 5
Team stats
NSH
Away
Stat
EDM
Home
26
Shots
43
0.0
PCT
50.0
4
PIM
4
26
Faceoffs W
34
13
Blocks
16
18
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
7
Betting line
EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·NSH +124/EDM -148
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
Ryan O'ReillyNSH · CDIST MI265.898
Connor McDavidEDM · CBURSTS5498
Brady SkjeiNSH · DSKATE MPH23.497
Filip ForsbergNSH · LWDIST MI246.195
Evan BouchardEDM · DSHOT MPH97.395
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.6%
ensemble · EDM favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.