Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+3SEA
NSH

NSH

18-18-4

14
SEA

SEA

17-14-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 1FinalSeriesSEA leads series 1-0VegasNSH -115

Recap · NHL

eattle Kraken held off Nashville Predators, 4–1.

SEA +1.5 cashed (NSH lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Luke Evangelista

Luke Evangelista

RW · #77

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

SEA
Matty Beniers

Matty Beniers

C · #10

2Points

2

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at Seattle Kraken · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
4
NSH18-18-4SEA17-14-7
NSH

NSH

18-18-4

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
SEA

SEA

17-14-7

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

PIM

4

Season series

SEA leads series 1-0

Jan 2NSHNSH1@SEASEA4today
Mar 11NSHNSH4@SEASEA2
Mar 20SEASEA1@NSHNSH3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NSH -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH-11553%
SEASEA-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SEA beat NSH 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NSH0101
SEA3014

Period scoring

NSH won 1 · SEA won 2

0
3

1

1
0

2

0
1

3

NSH
SEA

Play-by-play · 298 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NSH 1·SEA 4

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 1·SEA 4

  3. 3rd·19:58

    Giveaway by Jacob Melanson

    NSH 1·SEA 4

  4. 3rd·19:54

    Matthew Wood Wrist Shot Failed Bank Attempt

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 4

  5. 3rd·18:49

    Giveaway by Cale Fleury

    NSH 1·SEA 4

  6. 3rd·18:12

    Ryan Winterton Backhand Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 4

  7. 3rd·17:51

    Nicolas Hague hit Jacob Melanson

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 4

  8. 3rd·17:47

    Ben Meyers faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 4

  9. 3rd·17:47

    Jared McCann Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Ryan Lindgren (5)

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 4

  10. 3rd·16:43

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  11. 3rd·16:43

    Icing

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  12. 3rd·16:39

    Jordan Eberle Wrist Shot Wide Left

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  13. 3rd·16:36

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  14. 3rd·16:36

    Icing

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  15. 3rd·16:32

    Matty Beniers Backhand Wide Right

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  16. 3rd·16:29

    Giveaway by Roman Josi

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  17. 3rd·15:56

    Brady Skjei Snap Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  18. 3rd·15:19

    Giveaway by Eeli Tolvanen

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  19. 3rd·15:15

    Giveaway by Roman Josi

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  20. 3rd·15:10

    Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by Jacob Melanson

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  21. 3rd·14:49

    Ben Meyers Wrap-around Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  22. 3rd·14:14

    Reid Schaefer hit Ryan Lindgren

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  23. 3rd·13:45

    Giveaway by Kaapo Kakko

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  24. 3rd·13:40

    Kaapo Kakko faceoff won against Michael McCarron

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  25. 3rd·13:40

    Off-side

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  26. 3rd·12:44

    Jared McCann shot blocked by Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  27. 3rd·12:41

    Shane Wright faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  28. 3rd·12:41

    Puck in Netting

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  29. 3rd·12:39

    Shane Wright shot blocked by Nick Perbix

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

  30. 3rd·11:46

    Roman Josi shot blocked by Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    NSH 1·SEA 3

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

25

Shots

23

50.0

PCT

0.0

2

PIM

4

24

Faceoffs W

21

16

Blocks

21

20

Giveaways

17

6

Takeaways

4

Betting line

NSH -1.5·O/U 5.5·NSH -115/SEA -105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Jared McCannSEA · LW
    SHOT MPH94.496
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · SEA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-105

Close price

-105

Open no-vig

48.9%

Close no-vig

48.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR