Model verdict
The verdict · Elo rating
#45 of 241
Elo rating 1580.1 · as of 2026-08-28 · ncaaf_team_ratings
Rank within the full 241-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Schedule strength · opponent SP+
Avg opp SP+
+2.5
Avg opp rank
#61
Ranked faced
1
vs ranked
1-0
Mean SP+ of the 12 rated opponents (of 14 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.
Model picks on UVA
Below the 30-pick gate (n=2)