GS
32-35
NY
44-25
GS · top performer
Brandin Podziemski
G · #2
25
Pts
5
Reb
6
Ast
NY · top performer
Jalen Brunson
G · #11
30
Pts
1
Reb
9
Ast
Biggest swing: 22pp · 4th Quarter · 15.4
NBA · Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 20 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-2 | — | +3 | 5 | 2 | |
| 32 | 20 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | +2 | 7 | 7 | |
| 35 | 22 | 9-16 | 4-10 | — | +5 | 3 | 3 | |
| 37 | 25 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 7-9 | +1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 29 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | — | +7 | 2 | 1 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 13 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | — | -6 | 4 | 0 | |
| 28 | 19 | 8-13 | 3-6 | — | -12 | 6 | 4 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1-2 | — | — | -10 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | — | -3 | 1 | 0 | |
| 23 | 9 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | -2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Team | 107 | 40-82 | 14-38 | 13-15 | 35 | 27 | ||
| DNP: K. Porzingis, D. Melton | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 29 | 14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | |
| 31 | 17 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 12 | 2 | |
| 31 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | — | +17 | 12 | 5 | |
| 21 | 7 | 3-10 | 1-6 | — | -2 | 3 | 2 | |
| 36 | 30 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 10-10 | +7 | 1 | 9 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 11 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | — | -5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2-2 | — | — | -6 | 10 | 0 | |
| 22 | 14 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | +14 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 10 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | +3 | 1 | 0 | |
| 15 | 4 | 2-3 | — | — | -13 | 1 | 4 | |
| Team | 110 | 39-84 | 10-32 | 22-23 | 44 | 23 | ||
| DNP: J. Sochan, D. Jones, A. Hukporti, T. Kolek | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
49
FG %
46
27
Ast
23
Team stats
GS
Away
Stat
NY
Home
40-82
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
39-84
49
FG %
46
14-38
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
10-32
13-15
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
22-23
27
Assists
23
18
Turnovers
15
Season series
Series tied 1-1
NY113@GS126GS107@NY110todayModel & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NY -14.5
Between 10 and —
Total
218.5
Defensive · -7.5 vs avg
Moneyline
GS+62514%NY-95090%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
14.5
0.0 since open
Total
218.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
NY beat GS 110-107. J. Brunson paced them with 30 PTS, 1 REB, 9 AST. GS outscored the other side 35-21 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
NY vs GS
Starters vs bench
production by unitGSstarters 69% of ptsStarters(5)
74 PTS · 22 REB · 19 AST
GS 60
Bench(5)
33 PTS · 13 REB · 8 AST
GS 26
NYstarters 68% of ptsStarters(5)
75 PTS · 32 REB · 19 AST
GS 68
Bench(5)
35 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST
GS 26
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactJalen Brunson · misses 12-foot pullup jump shot
Josh Hart · personal foul
Gui Santos · personal foul
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 35 | 19 | 26 | 27 | 107 |
| NY | 21 | 24 | 38 | 27 | 110 |
Period scoring
GS won 1 · NY won 2
Q1
Podziemski 9
Brunson 13
Q2
II 8
Anunoby 7
Q3
Podziemski 7
Towns 11
Q4
Santos 11
Clarkson 8
Shooting comparison
49%
40-82
FG
46%
39-84
37%
14-38
3PT
31%
10-32
87%
13-15
FT
96%
22-23
Play-by-play · 473 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
GS 107·NY 110
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
GS 107·NY 110
+0.8pp
- Q4·1.0
Gui Santos bad pass turnover (Landry Shamet steals)BIG MOMENT
·
GS 107·NY 110
+9pp
- Q4·6.2
LJ Cryer enters the game for Omer Yurtseven
·
GS 107·NY 110
- Q4·6.2
Will Richard enters the game for Gary Payton II
·
GS 107·NY 110
- Q4·6.2
Warriors Full timeout
GS 107·NY 110
- Q4·6.2
OG Anunoby makes free throw 2 of 2
GS 107·NY 110
−4pp
- Q4·6.2
Quinten Post enters the game for Nate Williams
·
GS 107·NY 109
- Q4·6.2
Omer Yurtseven enters the game for Malevy Leons
·
GS 107·NY 109
- Q4·6.2
Mitchell Robinson enters the game for Karl-Anthony Towns
·
GS 107·NY 109
- Q4·6.2
OG Anunoby makes free throw 1 of 2
GS 107·NY 109
+1pp
- Q4·6.2
Gui Santos personal foulBIG MOMENT
GS 107·NY 108
+12pp
- Q4·7.2
Nate Williams enters the game for Will Richard
·
GS 107·NY 108
- Q4·7.2
Malevy Leons enters the game for LJ Cryer
·
GS 107·NY 108
- Q4·7.2
Gary Payton II enters the game for Quinten Post
·
GS 107·NY 108
- Q4·7.2
Karl-Anthony Towns enters the game for Mitchell Robinson
·
GS 107·NY 108
- Q4·7.2
Knicks Full timeout
GS 107·NY 108
- Q4·7.2
Brandin Podziemski makes driving layupBIG MOMENT
GS 107·NY 108
+17pp
- Q4·15.4
Josh Hart personal foulBIG MOMENT
GS 105·NY 108
−22pp
- Q4·16.2
Will Richard enters the game for Omer Yurtseven
·
GS 105·NY 108
- Q4·16.2
LJ Cryer enters the game for Gary Payton II
·
GS 105·NY 108
- Q4·16.2
Mitchell Robinson enters the game for Karl-Anthony Towns
·
GS 105·NY 108
- Q4·16.2
Warriors Full timeout
GS 105·NY 108
- Q4·16.2
Landry Shamet makes free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
GS 105·NY 108
−5pp
- Q4·16.2
Omer Yurtseven enters the game for Will Richard
·
GS 105·NY 107
- Q4·16.2
Landry Shamet makes free throw 1 of 2
GS 105·NY 107
+2pp
- Q4·16.2
Gui Santos personal take foulBIG MOMENT
GS 105·NY 106
+11pp
- Q4·20.4
Josh Hart defensive rebound
GS 105·NY 106
+5pp
- Q4·23.7
Brandin Podziemski misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
GS 105·NY 106
+12pp
- Q4·28.1
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
GS 105·NY 106
−3pp
Betting line
NY -14.5·O/U 218.5·GS +625/NY -950
Recap · NBA
ew York Knicks held off Golden State Warriors, 110–107. Decided by 3.
GS +14.5 cashed (NY won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 218.5 by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort- Jalen BrunsonNY · GTOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · GDEFL4.198
OG AnunobyNY · FCONT8.496
Mitchell RobinsonNY · CTS%67.695
Karl-Anthony TownsNY · CCONT7.693
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · GS favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
NY vs GS.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
160
projections · 140 high confidence
Points
- Jalen BrunsonNY27.4± 9.6high
- Stephen CurryGS25.2± 8.3high
- Jimmy Butler IIIGS20.4± 6.0high
Rebounds
- Josh HartNY8.4± 3.0high
- Mitchell RobinsonNY6.7± 2.5high
- Kristaps PorzingisGS5.6± 2.4high
Assists
- Draymond GreenGS6.6± 3.0high
- Jalen BrunsonNY6.2± 3.2high
- Jimmy Butler IIIGS4.8± 1.7high
Blocks
- Al HorfordGS1.1± 1.3high
- OG AnunobyNY1.0± 1.0high
- Charles BasseyGS0.9± 1.1medium
Steals
- De'Anthony MeltonGS1.5± 1.4high
- Jimmy Butler IIIGS1.5± 1.3high
- Josh HartNY1.5± 1.4high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
GS
league avg
NY
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶55.9%
46.2%
FG%
47.0
▶48.0%
114.5
PPG
114.9
▶116.4
28.8
Assists / G
25.0
27.0
15.1
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶12.7