
DET
46-18

BKN
17-48
DET · top performer

Jalen Duren
C · #0
26
Pts
4
Reb
2
Ast
BKN · top performer

Danny Wolf
F · #2
13
Pts
8
Reb
2
Ast
NBA · Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 22 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | — | +23 | 2 | 3 | |
| 16 | 15 | 6-6 | 3-3 | — | +13 | 3 | 1 | |
| 23 | 26 | 9-10 | — | 8-10 | +23 | 4 | 2 | |
| 21 | 14 | 5-7 | 4-5 | — | +31 | 3 | 1 | |
| 26 | 21 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 1-3 | +37 | 3 | 15 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 8 | 8 | 2-2 | — | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| 22 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-1 | — | +14 | 8 | 1 | |
| 30 | 16 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-6 | +13 | 3 | 2 | |
| 23 | 8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | +19 | 4 | 0 | |
| 22 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-4 | — | +19 | 3 | 4 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | — | -3 | 0 | 1 | |
| 22 | 14 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5-5 | +1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Team | 138 | 48-85 | 16-31 | 26-34 | 40 | 36 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 22 | 19 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 4-4 | -31 | 2 | 1 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | -25 | 3 | 1 | |
| 21 | 2 | 0-2 | — | 2-2 | -26 | 4 | 4 | |
| 23 | 10 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | -32 | 1 | 0 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | — | -19 | 2 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 25 | 14 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 1-3 | -4 | 3 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -6 | 2 | 3 | |
| 21 | 9 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | -13 | 3 | 0 | |
| 28 | 13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 7-9 | -12 | 8 | 2 | |
| 22 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | — | -3 | 1 | 1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | -6 | 0 | 3 | |
| 20 | 10 | 2-2 | — | 6-6 | -13 | 2 | 6 | |
| Team | 100 | 29-69 | 13-38 | 29-34 | 31 | 23 | ||
| DNP: T. Mann, O. Agbaji | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
56
FG %
42
36
Ast
23
Team stats
DET
Away
Stat
BKN
Home
48-85
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
29-69
56
FG %
42
16-31
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
13-38
26-34
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
29-34
36
Assists
23
8
Turnovers
17
Season series
DET wins series 3-1
Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
DET -15.5
Between 10 and —
Total
216.5
Defensive · -9.5 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
15.5
0.0 since open
Total
216.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
DET beat BKN 138-100. J. Duren paced them with 26 PTS, 4 REB, 2 AST. DET outscored the other side 35-13 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
BKN vs DET
Starters vs bench
production by unitStarters(5)
78 PTS · 15 REB · 22 AST
GS 79
Bench(7)
60 PTS · 25 REB · 14 AST
GS 53
Starters(5)
42 PTS · 12 REB · 8 AST
GS 24
Bench(7)
58 PTS · 19 REB · 15 AST
GS 42
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 38 | 35 | 32 | 33 | 138 |
| BKN | 27 | 13 | 33 | 27 | 100 |
Period scoring
DET won 3 · BKN won 1
Q1
Duren 11
Jr. 9
Q2
Cunningham 10
Clowney 12
Q3
Duren 11
Jr. 11
Q4
II 10
Etienne 9
Shooting comparison
56%
48-85
FG
42%
29-69
52%
16-31
3PT
34%
13-38
76%
26-34
FT
85%
29-34
Play-by-play · 475 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
DET 138·BKN 100
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DET 138·BKN 100
- Q4·1.6
shot clock turnover
DET 138·BKN 100
- Q4·25.6
shot clock turnover
DET 138·BKN 100
- Q4·50.5
Tyson Etienne makes 27-foot three point jumper (Danny Wolf assists)
·
DET 138·BKN 100
- Q4·59.5
Paul Reed makes free throw 2 of 2
DET 138·BKN 97
- Q4·59.5
Pistons offensive team rebound
DET 137·BKN 97
- Q4·59.5
Paul Reed misses free throw 1 of 2
DET 137·BKN 97
- Q4·59.5
E.J. Liddell personal foul
DET 137·BKN 97
- Q4·1:07
E.J. Liddell lost ball turnover (Daniss Jenkins steals)
·
DET 137·BKN 97
- Q4·1:19
E.J. Liddell defensive rebound
DET 137·BKN 97
- Q4·1:22
Javonte Green misses running layup
DET 137·BKN 97
- Q4·1:27
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
DET 137·BKN 97
- Q4·1:29
E.J. Liddell misses 10-foot fade away jump shot
DET 137·BKN 97
- Q4·1:45
Chaz Lanier makes 26-foot three point jumper (Daniss Jenkins assists)
·
DET 137·BKN 97
- Q4·1:52
Pistons offensive team rebound
DET 134·BKN 97
- Q4·1:52
E.J. Liddell blocks Chaz Lanier 's 10-foot driving floating jump shot
·
DET 134·BKN 97
- Q4·2:04
Paul Reed defensive rebound
DET 134·BKN 97
- Q4·2:08
Tyson Etienne misses 25-foot three point jumper
DET 134·BKN 97
- Q4·2:15
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
DET 134·BKN 97
- Q4·2:18
Ronald Holland II misses 15-foot step back jumpshot
DET 134·BKN 97
- Q4·2:42
Tyson Etienne makes free throw 2 of 2
DET 134·BKN 97
- Q4·2:42
Nets offensive team rebound
DET 134·BKN 96
- Q4·2:42
Tyson Etienne misses free throw 1 of 2
DET 134·BKN 96
- Q4·2:42
Chaz Lanier personal foul
DET 134·BKN 96
- Q4·2:56
Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 2 of 2
DET 134·BKN 96
- Q4·2:56
Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 1 of 2
DET 133·BKN 96
- Q4·2:56
Tyson Etienne shooting foul
DET 132·BKN 96
- Q4·3:10
Danny Wolf makes free throw 2 of 2
DET 132·BKN 96
- Q4·3:10
Danny Wolf makes free throw 1 of 2
DET 132·BKN 95
Betting line
DET -15.5·O/U 216.5·DET -1100/BKN +700
Recap · NBA
etroit Pistons went into Brooklyn Nets and beat them, 138–100. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
DET -15.5 cashed (won by 38). Total cleared the 216.5 OVER by 21.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort
Cade CunninghamDET · GTOUCHES9799+
Jalen DurenDET · CTS%68.898
Michael Porter Jr.BKN · FUSG%29.995
Nic ClaxtonCHI · CCONT7.392
Paul ReedDET · FTS%65.092
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · DET favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
BKN vs DET.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
155
projections · 130 high confidence
Points
- Cade CunninghamDET26.1± 9.6high
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN22.7± 6.2high
- Julius RandleBKN17.3± 6.4high
Rebounds
- Jalen DurenDET9.1± 3.9high
- Julius RandleBKN7.2± 2.1high
- Ausar ThompsonDET7.1± 3.2high
Assists
- Cade CunninghamDET8.2± 2.8high
- Ben SarafBKN3.7± 1.9high
- Malachi SmithBKN3.5± 3.5medium
Blocks
- Ausar ThompsonDET1.5± 1.3high
- Jalen DurenDET1.0± 1.1high
- Josh MinottBKN0.9± 1.2high
Steals
- Ausar ThompsonDET2.0± 1.8high
- Cade CunninghamDET1.4± 1.2high
- Josh MinottBKN1.3± 1.0high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
DET
league avg
BKN
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.4
52.0%
48.0%
FG%
47.0
44.3%
115.9
PPG
114.9
105.9
27.0
Assists / G
25.0
25.0
14.3
Turnovers / G
14.0
15.0