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FINAL+38DET
DET

DET

46-18

138100
BKN

BKN

17-48

NBATue, Mar 10FinalSeriesDET wins series 3-1VegasDET -15.5
Game flowDET BKN

NBA · Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets · final

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
2221-50-3+2323
16156-63-3+1331
23269-108-10+2342
21145-74-5+3131
26218-104-51-3+37315
Bench
882-24-6040
2242-70-1+1481
30165-131-55-6+1332
2382-51-23-4+1940
2273-81-4+1934
631-21-1-301
22144-101-25-5+136
Team13848-8516-3126-344036

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

56

FG %

42

36

Ast

23

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

BKN

Home

48-85

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

29-69

56

FG %

42

16-31

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

13-38

26-34

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

29-34

36

Assists

23

8

Turnovers

17

Season series

DET wins series 3-1

Nov 8DETDET125@BKNBKN107
Feb 1BKNBKN77@DETDET130
Mar 7BKNBKN107@DETDET105
Mar 10DETDET138@BKNBKN100today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -15.5

Between 10 and

Total

216.5

Defensive · -9.5 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET-110092%
BKNBKN+70013%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

15.5

0.0 since open

Total

216.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DET beat BKN 138-100. J. Duren paced them with 26 PTS, 4 REB, 2 AST. DET outscored the other side 35-13 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

BKN vs DET

0255075100Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
DETDETstarters 57% of pts

Starters(5)

78 PTS · 15 REB · 22 AST

GS 79

Bench(7)

60 PTS · 25 REB · 14 AST

GS 53

BKNBKNstarters 42% of pts

Starters(5)

42 PTS · 12 REB · 8 AST

GS 24

Bench(7)

58 PTS · 19 REB · 15 AST

GS 42

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
DET38353233138
BKN27133327100

Period scoring

DET won 3 · BKN won 1

38
27

Q1

Duren 11

Jr. 9

35
13

Q2

Cunningham 10

Clowney 12

32
33

Q3

Duren 11

Jr. 11

33
27

Q4

II 10

Etienne 9

DET
BKN

Shooting comparison

DET
BKN

56%

48-85

FG

42%

29-69

52%

16-31

3PT

34%

13-38

76%

26-34

FT

85%

29-34

Play-by-play · 475 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    DET 138·BKN 100

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    DET 138·BKN 100

  3. Q4·1.6

    shot clock turnover

    DET 138·BKN 100

  4. Q4·25.6

    shot clock turnover

    DET 138·BKN 100

  5. Q4·50.5

    Tyson Etienne makes 27-foot three point jumper (Danny Wolf assists)

    ·

    DET 138·BKN 100

  6. Q4·59.5

    Paul Reed makes free throw 2 of 2

    DET 138·BKN 97

  7. Q4·59.5

    Pistons offensive team rebound

    DET 137·BKN 97

  8. Q4·59.5

    Paul Reed misses free throw 1 of 2

    DET 137·BKN 97

  9. Q4·59.5

    E.J. Liddell personal foul

    DET 137·BKN 97

  10. Q4·1:07

    E.J. Liddell lost ball turnover (Daniss Jenkins steals)

    ·

    DET 137·BKN 97

  11. Q4·1:19

    E.J. Liddell defensive rebound

    DET 137·BKN 97

  12. Q4·1:22

    Javonte Green misses running layup

    DET 137·BKN 97

  13. Q4·1:27

    Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound

    DET 137·BKN 97

  14. Q4·1:29

    E.J. Liddell misses 10-foot fade away jump shot

    DET 137·BKN 97

  15. Q4·1:45

    Chaz Lanier makes 26-foot three point jumper (Daniss Jenkins assists)

    ·

    DET 137·BKN 97

  16. Q4·1:52

    Pistons offensive team rebound

    DET 134·BKN 97

  17. Q4·1:52

    E.J. Liddell blocks Chaz Lanier 's 10-foot driving floating jump shot

    ·

    DET 134·BKN 97

  18. Q4·2:04

    Paul Reed defensive rebound

    DET 134·BKN 97

  19. Q4·2:08

    Tyson Etienne misses 25-foot three point jumper

    DET 134·BKN 97

  20. Q4·2:15

    Danny Wolf defensive rebound

    DET 134·BKN 97

  21. Q4·2:18

    Ronald Holland II misses 15-foot step back jumpshot

    DET 134·BKN 97

  22. Q4·2:42

    Tyson Etienne makes free throw 2 of 2

    DET 134·BKN 97

  23. Q4·2:42

    Nets offensive team rebound

    DET 134·BKN 96

  24. Q4·2:42

    Tyson Etienne misses free throw 1 of 2

    DET 134·BKN 96

  25. Q4·2:42

    Chaz Lanier personal foul

    DET 134·BKN 96

  26. Q4·2:56

    Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 2 of 2

    DET 134·BKN 96

  27. Q4·2:56

    Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 1 of 2

    DET 133·BKN 96

  28. Q4·2:56

    Tyson Etienne shooting foul

    DET 132·BKN 96

  29. Q4·3:10

    Danny Wolf makes free throw 2 of 2

    DET 132·BKN 96

  30. Q4·3:10

    Danny Wolf makes free throw 1 of 2

    DET 132·BKN 95

Betting line

DET -15.5·O/U 216.5·DET -1100/BKN +700

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

etroit Pistons went into Brooklyn Nets and beat them, 138–100. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

DET -15.5 cashed (won by 38). Total cleared the 216.5 OVER by 21.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort
  • Cade CunninghamDET · G
    TOUCHES9799+
  • Jalen DurenDET · C
    TS%68.898
  • Michael Porter Jr.BKN · F
    USG%29.995
  • Nic ClaxtonCHI · C
    CONT7.392
  • Paul ReedDET · F
    TS%65.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · DET favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BKN win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BKN win)

    34%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BKN win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

BKN vs DET.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

155

projections · 130 high confidence

Points

  • Cade CunninghamDET
    26.1± 9.6high
  • Michael Porter Jr.BKN
    22.7± 6.2high
  • Julius RandleBKN
    17.3± 6.4high

Rebounds

  • Jalen DurenDET
    9.1± 3.9high
  • Julius RandleBKN
    7.2± 2.1high
  • Ausar ThompsonDET
    7.1± 3.2high

Assists

  • Cade CunninghamDET
    8.2± 2.8high
  • Ben SarafBKN
    3.7± 1.9high
  • Malachi SmithBKN
    3.5± 3.5medium

Blocks

  • Ausar ThompsonDET
    1.5± 1.3high
  • Jalen DurenDET
    1.0± 1.1high
  • Josh MinottBKN
    0.9± 1.2high

Steals

  • Ausar ThompsonDET
    2.0± 1.8high
  • Cade CunninghamDET
    1.4± 1.2high
  • Josh MinottBKN
    1.3± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

DET

DET

league avg

BKN

BKN

54.2%

Effective FG%

54.4

52.0%

48.0%

FG%

47.0

44.3%

115.9

PPG

114.9

105.9

27.0

Assists / G

25.0

25.0

14.3

Turnovers / G

14.0

15.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR