NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+28SA

37-16

136108

LAL

32-21

NBATue, Feb 10FinalSeriesSA wins series 3-1VegasSA -13.5

SA · top performer

Victor Wembanyama

F · #1

33.7Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

LAL · top performer

Luke Kennard

G · #10

13.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowSA ↔ LAL

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. ChampagnieF · #30	18	8	2-7	1-5	3-4	+14	2	2
V. WembanyamaF · #1	26	40	13-20	4-6	10-12	+22	12	2
D. FoxG · #4	17	8	3-7	0-1	2-2	+30	2	6
D. VassellG · #24	24	9	4-5	1-2	—	+20	2	1
S. CastleG · #5	12	2	1-1	—	—	+8	1	7
Bench
H. BarnesF · #40	21	11	4-6	3-5	—	+20	3	2
K. OlynykF · #8	12	8	4-6	—	—	-6	1	0
K. JohnsonF · #3	21	6	3-10	0-3	—	+4	4	2
C. BryantF · #11	27	16	6-12	3-8	1-4	+3	4	3
B. BiyomboC · #18	10	0	0-1	—	—	-5	4	0
L. KornetC · #7	10	6	3-4	—	—	+12	5	1
J. McLaughlinG · #0	15	7	3-5	1-2	—	-9	2	2
D. HarperG · #2	27	15	6-8	0-1	3-3	+27	3	6
Team		136	52-92	13-33	19-25		45	34
DNP: J. Sochan

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
R. HachimuraF · #28	27	6	3-12	0-3	—	-24	4	2
J. LaRaviaF · #12	18	10	3-6	2-2	2-2	-31	2	1
J. HayesC · #11	17	13	6-7	1-1	—	-16	4	3
L. KennardG · #10	28	14	5-8	1-3	3-3	-20	2	5
K. BufkinG · #18	24	7	2-10	1-5	2-2	-12	2	1
Bench
M. KleberF · #14	13	6	2-2	1-1	1-2	-1	3	0
J. VanderbiltF · #2	16	6	2-5	1-2	1-2	-16	4	2
D. TimmeF · #17	20	14	5-8	2-3	2-4	-4	2	0
D. KnechtF · #4	16	9	4-8	0-2	1-2	-10	5	1
A. ThieroF · #1	10	3	1-1	—	1-1	+5	0	0
N. Smith Jr.G · #20	17	6	3-8	0-1	—	-5	2	1
B. JamesG · #9	25	12	5-10	2-2	—	-6	3	6
C. ManonG · #30	8	2	—	—	2-2	0	1	1
Team		108	41-85	11-25	15-20		34	23

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

LAL

Home

52-92

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

41-85

FG %

13-33

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

11-25

19-25

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

15-20

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

SA wins series 3-1

Nov 6

SA116@

LAL118

Dec 11

SA132@

LAL119

Jan 8

LAL91@

SA107

Feb 11

SA136@

LAL108today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SA -13.5

Between 10 and —

Total

226.5

Standard · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

SA-70088%

LAL+50017%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SA -13.5↗SpreadBet SA -13.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

13.5

0.0 since open

Total

226.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SA beat LAL 136-108. V. Wembanyama led the way with 40 points and 12 rebounds. SA outscored the other side 47-30 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

LAL vs SA

Starters vs bench

production by unit

SAstarters 49% of pts

Starters(5)

67 PTS · 19 REB · 18 AST

GS 67

Bench(8)

69 PTS · 26 REB · 16 AST

GS 63

LALstarters 46% of pts

Starters(5)

50 PTS · 14 REB · 12 AST

GS 32

Bench(8)

58 PTS · 20 REB · 11 AST

GS 42

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
SA	47	37	31	21	136
LAL	30	25	26	27	108

Period scoring

SA won 3 · LAL won 1

Wembanyama 25

LaRavia 8

Bryant 18

Hayes 7

Vassell 9

Hayes 19

Olynyk 8

Timme 9

LAL

Shooting comparison

LAL

57%

52-92

48%

41-85

39%

13-33

3PT

44%

11-25

76%

19-25

75%

15-20

Play-by-play · 461 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
SA 136·LAL 108
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
SA 136·LAL 108
Q4·4.5
shot clock turnover
SA 136·LAL 108
Q4·28.5
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
SA 136·LAL 108
Q4·30.1
Nick Smith Jr. misses 27-foot running jump shot
SA 136·LAL 108
Q4·32.5
Dalton Knecht defensive rebound
SA 136·LAL 108
Q4·34.7
Carter Bryant misses 29-foot three point jumper
SA 136·LAL 108
Q4·47.1
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
SA 136·LAL 108
Q4·49.3
Dalton Knecht misses free throw 2 of 2
SA 136·LAL 108
Q4·49.3
Dalton Knecht makes free throw 1 of 2
SA 136·LAL 108
Q4·49.3
Kelly Olynyk shooting foul
SA 136·LAL 107
Q4·1:00
Kelly Olynyk makes two point shot
SA 136·LAL 107
Q4·1:00
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
SA 134·LAL 107
Q4·1:02
Carter Bryant misses 6-foot fade away jump shot
SA 134·LAL 107
Q4·1:09
Bronny James makes 17-foot pullup jump shot
SA 134·LAL 107
Q4·1:25
Jordan McLaughlin makes 3-foot two point shot
SA 134·LAL 105
Q4·1:35
Dalton Knecht loose ball foul
SA 132·LAL 105
Q4·1:35
Spurs offensive team rebound
SA 132·LAL 105
Q4·1:35
Carter Bryant misses 27-foot three point jumper
SA 132·LAL 105
Q4·1:54
Dalton Knecht offensive foul turnover
SA 132·LAL 105
Q4·1:54
Dalton Knecht offensive charge
SA 132·LAL 105
Q4·2:00
Bismack Biyombo lost ball turnover (Chris Manon steals)
·
SA 132·LAL 105
Q4·2:03
Chris Manon lost ball turnover (Jordan McLaughlin steals)
·
SA 132·LAL 105
Q4·2:22
Kelly Olynyk makes 7-foot driving floating jump shot
SA 132·LAL 105
Q4·2:36
Chris Manon enters the game for Drew Timme
·
SA 130·LAL 105
Q4·2:36
Spurs Full timeout
SA 130·LAL 105
Q4·2:36
Bronny James personal foul
SA 130·LAL 105
Q4·2:49
Dalton Knecht makes driving layup (Bronny James assists)
·
SA 130·LAL 105
Q4·3:03
Dylan Harper makes driving layup
SA 130·LAL 103
Q4·3:15
Bronny James makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot
SA 128·LAL 103

Betting line

SA -13.5·O/U 226.5·SA -700/LAL +500

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

an Antonio Spurs went into Los Angeles Lakers and beat them, 136–108. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

SA -13.5 cashed (won by 28). Total cleared the 226.5 OVER by 17.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Victor WembanyamaSA · F
CONT11.999+
Jaxson HayesLAL · C
TS%75.899+
De'Aaron FoxSA · G
DRIVES14.898
Stephon CastleSA · G
TOUCHES71.594
Rui HachimuraLAL · F
CONT6.589

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · SA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAL win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAL win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAL win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

league avg

LAL

55.3%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

57.0%

47.7%

FG%

47.0

▶

49.9%

118.2

PPG

◀

114.9

114.8

27.3

Assists / G

◀

25.0

25.7

12.8

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

14.1

Data via ESPN · hoopR