CLE
30-21
POR
23-27
CLE · top performer
Jarrett Allen
C · #31
40
Pts
17
Reb
5
Ast
POR · top performer
Caleb Love
G · #2
21
Pts
2
Reb
3
Ast
Biggest swing: 12pp · 2nd Quarter · 3:41
NBA · Cleveland Cavaliers at Portland Trail Blazers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 26 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | — | +32 | 3 | 1 | |
| 30 | 40 | 16-23 | 0-1 | 8-12 | +25 | 17 | 5 | |
| 31 | 14 | 6-15 | 2-7 | — | +6 | 0 | 9 | |
| 29 | 22 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 2-2 | +25 | 2 | 4 | |
| 30 | 18 | 7-12 | 4-4 | — | +25 | 3 | 6 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | — | -5 | 3 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | +2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 21 | 12 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | -7 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 10 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | -2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | — | -10 | 3 | 2 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | +2 | 4 | 12 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | +2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team | 130 | 50-91 | 16-34 | 14-19 | 39 | 41 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 28 | 15 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 4-6 | -1 | 2 | 1 | |
| 30 | 12 | 5-13 | 2-7 | — | -9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 27 | 8 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | -13 | 12 | 5 | |
| 32 | 20 | 9-21 | 2-8 | — | -24 | 2 | 3 | |
| 32 | 15 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 2-3 | -19 | 5 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 18 | 10 | 5-6 | — | — | -4 | 12 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | -2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 30 | 21 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | -5 | 2 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | -2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | — | -2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-5 | — | -14 | 4 | 2 | |
| Team | 111 | 44-98 | 14-44 | 9-12 | 47 | 24 | ||
| DNP: K. Murray, D. Avdija, M. Thybulle, S. Henderson | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
55
FG %
45
41
Ast
24
Team stats
CLE
Away
Stat
POR
Home
50-91
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
44-98
55
FG %
45
16-34
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
14-44
14-19
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
9-12
41
Assists
24
13
Turnovers
22
Season series
Series tied 1-1
POR122@CLE110CLE130@POR111todayModel & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CLE -3.5
Between — and 5
Total
228.5
Standard · +2.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CLE-18064%POR+15040%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
3.5
0.0 since open
Total
228.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
CLE beat POR 130-111. J. Allen led the way with 40 points and 17 rebounds. CLE outscored the other side 41-30 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
POR vs CLE
Starters vs bench
production by unitCLEstarters 77% of ptsStarters(5)
100 PTS · 25 REB · 25 AST
GS 96
Bench(7)
30 PTS · 14 REB · 16 AST
GS 34
PORstarters 63% of ptsStarters(5)
70 PTS · 25 REB · 12 AST
GS 43
Bench(6)
41 PTS · 22 REB · 12 AST
GS 35
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCaleb Love · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rayan Rupert assists)
Robert Williams III · blocks Jaylon Tyson 's 5-foot two point shot
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 29 | 28 | 41 | 32 | 130 |
| POR | 24 | 24 | 30 | 33 | 111 |
Period scoring
CLE won 3 · POR won 1
Q1
Allen 16
Camara 6
Q2
Allen 9
Love 11
Q3
Merrill 10
Sharpe 21
Q4
Bryant 8
Clingan 29
Shooting comparison
55%
50-91
FG
45%
44-98
47%
16-34
3PT
32%
14-44
74%
14-19
FT
75%
9-12
Play-by-play · 490 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CLE 130·POR 111
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CLE 130·POR 111
- Q4·3.2
shot clock turnover
CLE 130·POR 111
- Q4·23.0
Sidy Cissoko makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rayan Rupert assists)
·
CLE 130·POR 111
- Q4·27.2
Tyrese Proctor bad pass turnover (Javonte Cooke steals)
·
CLE 130·POR 108
- Q4·33.7
Blake Wesley bad pass turnover (Craig Porter Jr. steals)
·
CLE 130·POR 108
- Q4·52.4
Tristan Enaruna makes two point shot
CLE 130·POR 108
- Q4·53.7
Tristan Enaruna offensive rebound
CLE 128·POR 108
- Q4·55.6
Tyrese Proctor misses 22-foot pullup jump shot
CLE 128·POR 108
- Q4·1:13
Javonte Cooke bad pass turnover (Craig Porter Jr. steals)
·
CLE 128·POR 108
- Q4·1:32
Nae'Qwan Tomlin makes two point shot (Tyrese Proctor assists)
·
CLE 128·POR 108
- Q4·1:50
Yang Hansen out of bounds bad pass turnover
CLE 126·POR 108
- Q4·2:03
Thomas Bryant makes free throw 1 of 1
CLE 126·POR 108
- Q4·2:03
Rayan Rupert shooting foul
CLE 125·POR 108
- Q4·2:03
Thomas Bryant makes 2-foot layup (Tristan Enaruna assists)
·
CLE 125·POR 108
- Q4·2:05
Tristan Enaruna offensive rebound
CLE 123·POR 108
- Q4·2:08
Thomas Bryant misses 24-foot three point jumper
CLE 123·POR 108
- Q4·2:19
Javonte Cooke makes 4-foot layup (Yang Hansen assists)
·
CLE 123·POR 108
- Q4·2:20
Yang Hansen offensive rebound
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:24
Javonte Cooke misses 24-foot three point jumper
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:34
Craig Porter Jr. enters the game for Donovan Mitchell
·
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:34
Nae'Qwan Tomlin enters the game for Dean Wade
·
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:34
Tyrese Proctor enters the game for Jarrett Allen
·
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:34
Tristan Enaruna enters the game for Jaylon Tyson
·
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:34
Thomas Bryant enters the game for Sam Merrill
·
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:34
Blake Wesley enters the game for Caleb Love
·
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:34
Rayan Rupert enters the game for Toumani Camara
·
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:34
Sidy Cissoko enters the game for Donovan Clingan
·
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:34
Javonte Cooke enters the game for Shaedon Sharpe
·
CLE 123·POR 106
- Q4·2:34
Yang Hansen enters the game for Jerami Grant
·
CLE 123·POR 106
Betting line
CLE -3.5·O/U 228.5·CLE -180/POR +150
Recap · NBA
leveland Cavaliers went into Portland Trail Blazers and beat them, 130–111.
CLE -3.5 cashed (won by 19). Total cleared the 228.5 OVER by 12.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 players in cohort
Robert Williams IIIPOR · CTS%72.299- Jarrett AllenCLE · CCONT9.899
Donovan MitchellCLE · GUSG%31.998
Shaedon SharpePOR · GUSG%29.996
Donovan ClinganPOR · CCONT7.694
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · CLE favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
POR vs CLE.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
170
projections · 150 high confidence
Points
- Donovan MitchellCLE27.5± 7.3high
- Deni AvdijaPOR25.3± 7.7high
- James HardenCLE19.6± 6.6high
Rebounds
- Donovan ClinganPOR10.3± 2.7high
- Evan MobleyCLE8.0± 3.5high
- Robert Williams IIIPOR7.4± 1.6high
Assists
- Ja MorantPOR8.1± 3.9high
- Deni AvdijaPOR6.3± 3.2high
- Jrue HolidayPOR6.3± 3.0high
Blocks
- Evan MobleyCLE2.1± 1.3high
- Donovan ClinganPOR1.5± 1.2high
- Jarrett AllenCLE1.3± 0.7high
Steals
- Matisse ThybullePOR1.7± 1.8high
- Donovan MitchellCLE1.5± 1.8high
- James HardenCLE1.4± 1.2high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
CLE
league avg
POR
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.0%
47.7%
FG%
47.0
45.1%
117.4
PPG
114.9
114.6
27.1
Assists / G
25.0
25.0
13.8
Turnovers / G
14.0
16.2