NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+30NY

POR

23-26

97127

30-18

NBAFri, Jan 30FinalSeriesNY wins series 2-0VegasNY -6.5

POR · top performer

Shaedon Sharpe

G · #17

18.6Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NY · top performer

Jalen Brunson

G · #11

18.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowPOR ↔ NY

Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 8:21

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
T. CamaraF · #33	26	0	0-4	0-4	—	-22	4	1
D. AvdijaF · #8	28	11	4-14	1-6	2-3	-20	5	3
D. ClinganC · #23	22	7	3-6	1-4	—	-26	6	1
J. HolidayG · #5	22	5	2-7	1-3	—	-16	2	4
S. SharpeG · #17	28	26	10-16	4-8	2-4	-11	3	3
Bench
J. GrantF · #9	22	15	4-9	2-5	5-6	-17	1	2
R. Williams IIIC · #35	20	4	2-2	—	—	+1	11	3
Y. HansenC · #16	4	0	—	—	—	-1	0	0
C. LoveG · #2	27	12	5-15	2-10	—	-11	3	4
J. CookeG · #18	4	2	—	—	2-2	-1	0	0
S. CissokoG · #91	27	15	5-5	2-2	3-4	-13	2	2
R. RupertG · #21	9	0	0-3	0-1	—	-13	0	0
Team		97	35-81	13-43	14-19		37	23
DNP: K. Murray, S. Henderson, B. Wesley

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	31	24	10-16	4-8	—	+34	6	3
K. TownsC · #32	29	14	5-12	1-3	3-4	+17	20	3
J. HartG · #3	30	20	9-17	1-4	1-2	+8	6	5
M. BridgesG · #25	33	10	3-10	1-3	3-3	+27	2	5
J. BrunsonG · #11	34	26	8-20	5-12	5-5	+21	1	3
Bench
G. YabuseleF · #28	4	0	—	—	—	+1	2	0
D. JonesF · #1	4	3	1-1	1-1	—	+1	0	0
M. DiawaraF · #51	17	10	4-8	2-5	—	+27	3	2
M. RobinsonC · #23	17	2	1-1	—	—	-1	7	2
A. HukportiC · #55	4	2	1-1	—	—	+1	2	0
L. ShametG · #44	19	3	1-6	1-4	—	+10	1	2
T. KolekG · #13	18	13	5-7	3-5	—	+4	2	4
Team		127	48-99	19-45	12-14		52	29
DNP: J. Clarkson

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

POR

Away

Stat

Home

35-81

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

48-99

FG %

13-43

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

19-45

14-19

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

12-14

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

NY wins series 2-0

Jan 11

NY123@

POR114

Jan 31

POR97@

NY127today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -6.5

Half-pt below key 7

Total

223.5

Standard · -2.5 vs avg

Moneyline

POR+20533%

NY-25071%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -6.5↗SpreadBet NY -6.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

6.5

0.0 since open

Total

223.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat POR 127-97. J. Brunson paced them with 26 PTS, 1 REB, 3 AST. NY outscored the other side 37-22 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs POR

Starters vs bench

production by unit

PORstarters 51% of pts

Starters(5)

49 PTS · 20 REB · 12 AST

GS 23

Bench(7)

48 PTS · 17 REB · 11 AST

GS 43

NYstarters 74% of pts

Starters(5)

94 PTS · 35 REB · 19 AST

GS 80

Bench(7)

33 PTS · 17 REB · 10 AST

GS 28

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
POR	22	27	20	28	97
NY	37	22	28	40	127

Period scoring

POR won 1 · NY won 3

Love 6

Brunson 13

Sharpe 12

Bridges 6

Sharpe 5

Avdija 51

Cissoko 9

Kolek 10

POR

Shooting comparison

POR

43%

35-81

48%

48-99

30%

13-43

3PT

42%

19-45

74%

14-19

86%

12-14

Play-by-play · 485 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
POR 97·NY 127
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
POR 97·NY 127
Q4·6.2
shot clock turnover
POR 97·NY 127
Q4·29.3
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
POR 97·NY 127
Q4·32.4
Caleb Love misses 22-foot three point jumper
POR 97·NY 127
Q4·34.0
Trail Blazers offensive team rebound
POR 97·NY 127
Q4·36.4
Caleb Love misses 23-foot three point jumper
POR 97·NY 127
Q4·48.5
Mohamed Diawara makes 14-foot step back jumpshot
POR 97·NY 127
Q4·1:06
Caleb Love makes running layup
POR 97·NY 125
Q4·1:11
Tyler Kolek bad pass turnover (Caleb Love steals)
·
POR 95·NY 125
Q4·1:20
Mohamed Diawara defensive rebound
POR 95·NY 125
Q4·1:22
Caleb Love misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
POR 95·NY 125
Q4·1:34
Ariel Hukporti offensive foul turnover
POR 95·NY 125
Q4·1:34
Ariel Hukporti offensive foul
POR 95·NY 125
Q4·1:34
Ariel Hukporti offensive rebound
POR 95·NY 125
Q4·1:36
Mohamed Diawara misses 25-foot three point jumper
POR 95·NY 125
Q4·1:47
Caleb Love makes two point shot
POR 95·NY 125
Q4·1:55
Dillon Jones makes 23-foot three point jumper (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
POR 93·NY 125
Q4·2:07
Javonte Cooke makes free throw 2 of 2
POR 93·NY 122
Q4·2:07
Javonte Cooke makes free throw 1 of 2
POR 92·NY 122
Q4·2:07
Ariel Hukporti shooting foul
POR 91·NY 122
Q4·2:26
Trail Blazers defensive team rebound
POR 91·NY 122
Q4·2:28
Mohamed Diawara misses 25-foot three point jumper
POR 91·NY 122
Q4·2:37
Guerschon Yabusele offensive rebound
POR 91·NY 122
Q4·2:40
Tyler Kolek misses 27-foot three point pullup jump shot
POR 91·NY 122
Q4·2:47
Sidy Cissoko makes driving layup
POR 91·NY 122
Q4·2:56
Tyler Kolek makes 2-foot driving floating jump shot
POR 89·NY 122
Q4·3:08
Sidy Cissoko makes free throw 2 of 2
POR 89·NY 120
Q4·3:08
Sidy Cissoko makes free throw 1 of 2
POR 88·NY 120
Q4·3:08
Guerschon Yabusele shooting foul
POR 87·NY 120

Betting line

NY -6.5·O/U 223.5·POR +205/NY -250

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks held off Portland Trail Blazers, 127–97. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

NY -6.5 cashed (won by 30). Total cleared the 223.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Deni AvdijaPOR · F
DRIVES20.899+
Robert Williams IIIPOR · C
TS%72.299
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
Jrue HolidayPOR · G
TOUCHES84.698

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · POR favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NY vs POR.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

170

projections · 155 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Deni AvdijaPOR
25.3± 7.7high
Ja MorantPOR
19.6± 8.8high

Rebounds

Karl-Anthony TownsNY
10.8± 3.1high
Donovan ClinganPOR
10.3± 2.7high
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high

Assists

Ja MorantPOR
8.1± 3.9high
Deni AvdijaPOR
6.3± 3.2high
Jrue HolidayPOR
6.3± 3.0high

Blocks

Donovan ClinganPOR
1.5± 1.2high
Robert Williams IIIPOR
1.1± 0.9high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Matisse ThybullePOR
1.7± 1.8high
Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

POR

league avg

53.0%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.9%

45.1%

FG%

47.0

▶

48.0%

114.6

PPG

114.9

▶

116.4

25.0

Assists / G

25.0

▶

27.0

16.2

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

12.7

Data via ESPN · hoopR