NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+3NY

27-18

112109

PHI

24-20

NBASat, Jan 24FinalSeriesPHI leads series 2-1VegasNY -1.5

NY · top performer

OG Anunoby

F · #8

22.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

PHI · top performer

Joel Embiid

C · #21

31.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowNY ↔ PHI

Biggest swing: 18pp · 4th Quarter · 33.3

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	36	23	10-15	2-3	1-2	-8	7	4
K. TownsC · #32	16	10	2-4	1-2	5-7	-6	6	1
J. HartG · #3	37	10	4-9	1-3	1-5	+5	13	7
M. BridgesG · #25	29	9	3-16	1-9	2-2	+4	3	4
J. BrunsonG · #11	38	31	11-24	6-12	3-5	+7	5	6
Bench
G. YabuseleF · #28	3	0	—	—	—	0	1	1
M. RobinsonC · #23	27	6	3-4	—	—	+14	10	0
A. HukportiC · #55	4	2	1-1	—	—	-3	3	0
L. ShametG · #44	25	12	4-9	3-7	1-2	+3	4	2
M. McBrideG · #2	26	9	3-11	1-8	2-4	-1	1	2
Team		112	41-93	15-44	15-27		53	27
DNP: M. Diawara, J. Clarkson, T. Kolek

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
P. GeorgeF · #8	32	9	3-10	0-3	3-3	-2	6	2
J. EmbiidC · #21	36	38	13-21	3-5	9-12	-3	11	5
K. Oubre Jr.G · #9	37	14	5-10	1-4	3-5	-3	7	3
T. MaxeyG · #0	38	22	8-15	3-7	3-3	-7	3	6
V. EdgecombeG · #77	39	14	5-9	1-4	3-4	+1	3	4
Bench
T. WatfordF · #12	10	2	1-2	—	—	+1	1	0
D. BarlowF · #25	17	4	1-2	1-2	1-2	-2	2	1
A. BonaC · #30	12	2	1-2	—	—	0	1	0
Q. GrimesG · #5	19	4	2-6	0-4	—	0	3	3
Team		109	39-77	9-29	22-29		37	24
DNP: J. Walker, J. Edwards, A. Drummond, K. Lowry, E. Gordon, J. McCain

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

PHI

Home

41-93

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

39-77

FG %

15-44

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

9-29

15-27

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

22-29

Assists

Turnovers

Playoff series

NY wins series 4-0

May 5

PHI98@

NY137

May 6

PHI102@

NY108

May 8

NY108@

PHI94

May 10

NY144@

PHI114

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -1.5

Between — and 5

Total

227.5

Standard · +1.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NY-11553%

PHI-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -1.5↗SpreadBet NY -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

227.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat PHI 112-109. O. Anunoby led with 23 PTS, 7 REB, 4 AST. NY outscored the other side 30-13 in the 3rd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

PHI vs NY

Starters vs bench

production by unit

NYstarters 74% of pts

Starters(5)

83 PTS · 34 REB · 22 AST

GS 63

Bench(5)

29 PTS · 19 REB · 5 AST

GS 29

PHIstarters 89% of pts

Starters(5)

97 PTS · 30 REB · 20 AST

GS 79

Bench(4)

12 PTS · 7 REB · 4 AST

GS 8

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

PHI3rd Quarter · 8:51 · 70-68

+16pp→ 39% WP

(08:51) [Knicks] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL REPLAYCENTER)

NY4th Quarter · 1:12 · 107-102

+14pp→ 87% WP

OG Anunoby · makes 22-foot three point jumper (Josh Hart assists)

PHI4th Quarter · 33.3 · 110-107

+18pp→ 23% WP

Joel Embiid · enters the game for Adem Bona

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
NY	34	26	30	22	112
PHI	34	30	13	32	109

Period scoring

NY won 1 · PHI won 2

Brunson 14

Embiid 15

Anunoby 10

Embiid 13

Brunson 11

George 9

Shamet 7

Embiid 14

PHI

Shooting comparison

PHI

44%

41-93

51%

39-77

34%

15-44

3PT

31%

9-29

56%

15-27

76%

22-29

Play-by-play · 504 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 112·PHI 109
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 112·PHI 109
Q4·0.6
Joel Embiid bad pass turnover (OG Anunoby steals)BIG MOMENT
·
NY 112·PHI 109
−6pp
Q4·3.7
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
NY 112·PHI 109
−2pp
Q4·5.0
Jalen Brunson misses free throw 2 of 2
NY 112·PHI 109
+4pp
Q4·5.0
Knicks offensive team rebound
NY 112·PHI 109
+2pp
Q4·5.0
Jalen Brunson misses free throw 1 of 2
NY 112·PHI 109
+1pp
Q4·5.0
VJ Edgecombe personal take foul
NY 112·PHI 109
−3pp
Q4·5.8
Knicks defensive team rebound
NY 112·PHI 109
−1pp
Q4·5.8
Tyrese Maxey misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
NY 112·PHI 109
−11pp
Q4·9.9
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
NY 112·PHI 109
+2pp
Q4·9.9
OG Anunoby misses two point shot
NY 112·PHI 109
−2pp
Q4·9.9
(00:09.9) [76ers] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL OVERTURNED) [76ers] retain their timeoutBIG MOMENT
NY 112·PHI 109
+14pp
Q4·9.9
76ers Full timeoutBIG MOMENT
NY 112·PHI 109
−7pp
Q4·17.8
Tyrese Maxey makes driving layup
NY 112·PHI 109
+2pp
Q4·25.2
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
NY 112·PHI 107
Q4·26.5
OG Anunoby misses free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
NY 112·PHI 107
+6pp
Q4·26.5
Joel Embiid enters the game for Adem Bona
·
NY 112·PHI 107
Q4·26.5
OG Anunoby makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 112·PHI 107
−0.6pp
Q4·26.5
Adem Bona personal take foulBIG MOMENT
NY 111·PHI 107
−12pp
Q4·33.3
Jalen Brunson makes free throw 1 of 1
NY 111·PHI 107
+2pp
Q4·33.3
Adem Bona enters the game for Joel EmbiidBIG MOMENT
·
NY 110·PHI 107
+7pp
Q4·33.3
VJ Edgecombe away from play foulBIG MOMENT
NY 110·PHI 107
−7pp
Q4·33.3
(00:33.3) [Knicks] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL OVERTURNED) [Knicks] retain their timeoutBIG MOMENT
NY 110·PHI 107
−10pp
Q4·33.3
Knicks Full timeout
NY 110·PHI 107
Q4·33.3
Joel Embiid enters the game for Adem BonaBIG MOMENT
·
NY 110·PHI 107
+18pp
Q4·33.3
Jalen Brunson enters the game for Ariel Hukporti
·
NY 110·PHI 107
Q4·33.3
Miles McBride enters the game for Mitchell Robinson
·
NY 110·PHI 107
Q4·33.3
Adem Bona enters the game for Joel Embiid
·
NY 110·PHI 107
Q4·33.3
Knicks Full timeoutBIG MOMENT
NY 110·PHI 107
−8pp

Betting line

NY -1.5·O/U 227.5·NY -115/PHI -105

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks went into Philadelphia 76ers and beat them, 112–109. Decided by 3.

NY -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 227.5 by 6.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 12 players in cohort

Tyrese MaxeyPHI · G
TOUCHES94.599
Joel EmbiidPHI · C
USG%34.399
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · NY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PHI vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

165

projections · 140 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Jaylen BrownPHI
26.6± 6.3high
Joel EmbiidPHI
25.3± 7.2high

Rebounds

Karl-Anthony TownsNY
10.8± 3.1high
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Joel EmbiidPHI
8.0± 3.5high

Assists

Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
5.9± 1.9high
Josh HartNY
4.6± 1.9high

Blocks

Joel EmbiidPHI
1.3± 1.4high
Adem BonaPHI
1.1± 1.3high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
Jalen BrunsonNY
1.2± 1.8high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

league avg

PHI

55.9%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.9%

48.0%

FG%

◀

47.0

46.0%

116.4

PPG

◀

114.9

114.3

27.0

Assists / G

◀

25.0

24.1

12.7

Turnovers / G

14.0

12.8

Data via ESPN · hoopR