NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+22CHI

BKN

12-28

102124

CHI

20-22

NBASun, Jan 18FinalSeriesBKN leads series 2-1VegasCHI -7.5

BKN · top performer

Nic Claxton

C · #33

14.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

CHI · top performer

Coby White

G · #0

21.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowBKN ↔ CHI

Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 10:24

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
N. ClowneyF · #21	30	7	3-11	1-6	—	-18	8	3
D. WolfF · #2	25	14	6-13	2-7	—	-4	3	2
N. ClaxtonC · #33	23	12	6-8	—	0-1	-8	5	4
T. MannG · #14	28	9	3-7	1-2	2-2	-11	4	6
E. DeminG · #8	22	11	4-9	3-6	—	-12	1	1
Bench
J. WilsonF · #22	20	14	5-11	2-4	2-2	-5	5	1
D. SharpeC · #20	19	5	2-3	—	1-2	-18	5	4
T. MartinG · #13	23	11	4-7	3-5	—	-10	3	0
C. ThomasG · #24	24	3	1-6	0-2	1-2	-14	3	10
N. TraoreG · #88	26	16	4-8	4-5	4-6	-10	1	2
Team		102	38-83	16-37	10-15		38	33
DNP: M. Porter Jr., D. Powell

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. SmithF · #25	31	12	5-8	2-4	0-2	+16	10	3
I. OkoroF · #35	26	9	3-6	0-2	3-4	+6	6	2
M. BuzelisF · #14	27	17	6-13	3-6	2-2	+15	5	5
N. VucevicC · #9	28	17	8-18	1-7	—	+20	11	6
C. WhiteG · #0	30	24	8-14	7-11	1-1	+16	4	3
Bench
D. TerryF · #7	6	3	1-2	1-1	—	-7	0	0
J. PhillipsF · #15	3	0	—	—	—	-1	1	0
J. CarterG · #5	3	2	1-3	0-2	—	-1	0	0
K. HuerterG · #13	30	11	5-9	1-4	—	+9	5	6
T. JonesG · #30	24	10	5-7	0-1	—	+16	0	10
A. DosunmuG · #11	30	19	7-14	5-8	—	+22	1	5
Olbrich	--	0	—	—	—	0	0	0
Team		124	49-94	20-46	6-9		44	41

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

BKN

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

38-83

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

49-94

FG %

16-37

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

20-46

10-15

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

6-9

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

BKN leads series 2-1

Dec 4

BKN113@

CHI103

Jan 17

CHI109@

BKN112

Jan 19

BKN102@

CHI124today

Feb 10

CHI115@

BKN123

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CHI -7.5

Half-pt above key 7

Total

223.5

Standard · -2.5 vs avg

Moneyline

BKN+21032%

CHI-25872%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CHI -7.5↗SpreadBet CHI -7.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

7.5

0.0 since open

Total

223.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CHI beat BKN 124-102. C. White led with 24 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST. CHI outscored the other side 39-22 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

CHI vs BKN

Starters vs bench

production by unit

BKNstarters 52% of pts

Starters(5)

53 PTS · 21 REB · 16 AST

GS 42

Bench(5)

49 PTS · 17 REB · 17 AST

GS 42

CHIstarters 64% of pts

Starters(5)

79 PTS · 36 REB · 19 AST

GS 75

Bench(7)

45 PTS · 7 REB · 21 AST

GS 44

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
BKN	22	29	20	31	102
CHI	39	31	25	29	124

Period scoring

BKN won 1 · CHI won 3

Demin 6

White 9

Claxton 10

Vucevic 7

Traore 4

Buzelis 7

Traore 10

Dosunmu 6

BKN

CHI

Shooting comparison

BKN

CHI

46%

38-83

52%

49-94

43%

16-37

3PT

43%

20-46

67%

10-15

67%

6-9

Play-by-play · 436 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
BKN 102·CHI 124
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
BKN 102·CHI 124
Q4·13.7
Kevin Huerter makes 1-foot layup (Lachlan Olbrich assists)
·
BKN 102·CHI 124
Q4·31.4
Tyrese Martin makes 26-foot three point jumper (Terance Mann assists)
·
BKN 102·CHI 122
Q4·37.6
Tyrese Martin defensive rebound
BKN 99·CHI 122
Q4·42.2
Jevon Carter misses 24-foot running jump shot
BKN 99·CHI 122
Q4·45.0
Julian Phillips defensive rebound
BKN 99·CHI 122
Q4·47.7
Tyrese Martin misses running layup
BKN 99·CHI 122
Q4·53.1
Terance Mann defensive rebound
BKN 99·CHI 122
Q4·54.9
Dalen Terry misses driving layup
BKN 99·CHI 122
Q4·1:06
Danny Wolf makes two point shot (Jalen Wilson assists)
·
BKN 99·CHI 122
Q4·1:23
Jevon Carter makes 9-foot pullup jump shot
BKN 97·CHI 122
Q4·1:32
Lachlan Olbrich defensive rebound
BKN 97·CHI 120
Q4·1:35
Nolan Traore misses free throw 2 of 2
BKN 97·CHI 120
Q4·1:35
Nolan Traore makes free throw 1 of 2
BKN 97·CHI 120
Q4·1:35
Julian Phillips personal foul
BKN 96·CHI 120
Q4·1:40
Dalen Terry makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kevin Huerter assists)
·
BKN 96·CHI 120
Q4·1:41
Kevin Huerter offensive rebound
BKN 96·CHI 117
Q4·1:46
Jevon Carter misses 26-foot three point jumper
BKN 96·CHI 117
Q4·2:10
Jalen Wilson makes driving layup (Danny Wolf assists)
·
BKN 96·CHI 117
Q4·2:36
Kevin Huerter traveling turnover
BKN 94·CHI 117
Q4·2:46
Jevon Carter enters the game for Isaac Okoro
·
BKN 94·CHI 117
Q4·2:46
Julian Phillips enters the game for Ayo Dosunmu
·
BKN 94·CHI 117
Q4·2:46
Jalen Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
BKN 94·CHI 117
Q4·2:46
Jalen Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
BKN 93·CHI 117
Q4·2:46
(02:46) [Nets] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL OVERTURNED) [Nets] retain their timeout
BKN 92·CHI 117
Q4·2:46
Nets Full timeout
BKN 92·CHI 117
Q4·2:46
(02:46) [Nets] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL OVERTURNED) [Nets] retain their timeout
BKN 92·CHI 117
Q4·2:46
Lachlan Olbrich enters the game for Jalen Smith
·
BKN 92·CHI 117
Q4·2:46
Isaac Okoro shooting foul
BKN 92·CHI 117

Betting line

CHI -7.5·O/U 223.5·BKN +210/CHI -258

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

hicago Bulls held off Brooklyn Nets, 124–102. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

CHI -7.5 cashed (won by 22). Total cleared the 223.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Matas BuzelisCHI · F
CONT7.995
Coby WhiteCHA · G
USG%29.195
Nic ClaxtonCHI · C
CONT7.392
Day'Ron SharpeBKN · C
TS%63.890
Noah ClowneyBKN · F
CONT6.388

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · BKN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHI vs BKN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

150

projections · 125 high confidence

Points

Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
Norman PowellCHI
18.4± 5.3high
Tre JonesCHI
17.5± 7.4high

Rebounds

Josh GiddeyCHI
8.1± 4.3high
Julius RandleBKN
7.2± 2.1high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
6.9± 5.2high

Assists

Josh GiddeyCHI
9.9± 4.4high
Tre JonesCHI
5.2± 2.9high
Ben SarafBKN
3.7± 1.9high

Blocks

Matas BuzelisCHI
1.5± 1.4high
Josh MinottBKN
0.9± 1.2high
Jalen SmithCHI
0.9± 1.0high

Steals

Josh MinottBKN
1.3± 1.0high
Trevon ScottBKN
1.3± 1.8low
Day'Ron SharpeBKN
1.1± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

BKN

league avg

CHI

52.0%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

54.7%

44.3%

FG%

47.0

▶

46.9%

105.9

PPG

114.9

▶

116.3

25.0

Assists / G

25.0

▶

28.5

15.0

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

14.6

Data via ESPN · hoopR