PHI
19-14
NY
23-12
PHI · top performer
Tyrese Maxey
G · #0
36
Pts
8
Reb
4
Ast
NY · top performer
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · #32
23
Pts
14
Reb
2
Ast
Biggest swing: 30pp · 2nd Quarter · 7:28
NBA · Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 35 | 15 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | +5 | 8 | 6 | |
| 14 | 5 | 2-2 | — | 1-2 | +7 | 2 | 0 | |
| 33 | 26 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 8-12 | +9 | 10 | 5 | |
| 37 | 36 | 14-22 | 6-9 | 2-4 | +6 | 8 | 4 | |
| 41 | 26 | 10-16 | 4-9 | 2-2 | +15 | 2 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 9 | 4 | 2-4 | — | — | -2 | 3 | 0 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1-3 | — | — | +4 | 6 | 0 | |
| 34 | 10 | 4-10 | 2-7 | — | +4 | 6 | 5 | |
| 18 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-5 | — | +7 | 2 | 1 | |
| Team | 130 | 49-90 | 17-36 | 15-23 | 47 | 25 | ||
| DNP: J. Edwards, A. Drummond, K. Lowry, E. Gordon | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 37 | 19 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | -8 | 6 | 6 | |
| 34 | 23 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 11-12 | -8 | 14 | 2 | |
| 19 | 2 | 1-2 | — | 0-1 | -11 | 5 | 2 | |
| 37 | 12 | 5-14 | 2-8 | — | -11 | 5 | 6 | |
| 35 | 31 | 10-21 | 2-4 | 9-12 | -11 | 4 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | — | -2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | — | — | — | -2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | — | — | — | -1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | — | -8 | 1 | 0 | |
| 31 | 20 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 3-3 | +5 | 5 | 2 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-5 | — | +2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Team | 119 | 38-89 | 16-40 | 27-32 | 44 | 23 | ||
| DNP: P. Dadiet | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
54
FG %
43
25
Ast
23
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
NY
Home
49-90
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
38-89
54
FG %
43
17-36
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
16-40
15-23
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
27-32
25
Assists
23
13
Turnovers
16
Playoff series
NY wins series 4-0
PHI98@NY137PHI102@NY108NY108@PHI94NY144@PHI114Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NY -3.5
Between — and 5
Total
233.5
High-scoring · +7.5 vs avg
Moneyline
PHI+14541%NY-17564%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
3.5
0.0 since open
Total
233.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
PHI beat NY 130-119. T. Maxey led the way with 36 points and 8 rebounds. Tyler Kolek's play in the 2nd quarter drove the biggest swing of the night (30pp).
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
NY vs PHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitPHIstarters 83% of ptsStarters(5)
108 PTS · 30 REB · 19 AST
GS 89
Bench(4)
22 PTS · 17 REB · 6 AST
GS 22
NYstarters 73% of ptsStarters(5)
87 PTS · 34 REB · 20 AST
GS 72
Bench(7)
32 PTS · 10 REB · 3 AST
GS 20
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactPaul George · misses two point shot
Tyler Kolek · enters the game for Kevin McCullar Jr.
Joel Embiid · makes two point shot
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 31 | 35 | 33 | 31 | 130 |
| NY | 30 | 28 | 29 | 32 | 119 |
Period scoring
PHI won 3 · NY won 1
Q1
Embiid 7
Brunson 12
Q2
Edgecombe 11
Kolek 17
Q3
Maxey 11
Towns 9
Q4
Maxey 9
Towns 12
Shooting comparison
54%
49-90
FG
43%
38-89
47%
17-36
3PT
40%
16-40
65%
15-23
FT
84%
27-32
Play-by-play · 484 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHI 130·NY 119
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHI 130·NY 119
- Q4·16.6
Jalen Brunson bad pass turnover (Quentin Grimes steals)
·
PHI 130·NY 119
- Q4·24.9
Joel Embiid makes dunk (VJ Edgecombe assists)
·
PHI 130·NY 119
- Q4·33.2
Karl-Anthony Towns makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 128·NY 119
- Q4·33.2
Karl-Anthony Towns makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 128·NY 118
- Q4·33.2
Paul George shooting foul
PHI 128·NY 117
- Q4·35.2
Paul George lost ball turnover (Karl-Anthony Towns steals)
·
PHI 128·NY 117
- Q4·42.2
Jalen Brunson makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot
PHI 128·NY 117
- Q4·50.0
VJ Edgecombe makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 128·NY 115
- Q4·50.0
VJ Edgecombe makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 127·NY 115
- Q4·50.0
Miles McBride personal foul
PHI 126·NY 115
- Q4·1:00
Jalen Brunson makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 126·NY 115
- Q4·1:00
Knicks offensive team rebound
PHI 126·NY 114
- Q4·1:00
Jalen Brunson misses free throw 1 of 2
PHI 126·NY 114
- Q4·1:00
VJ Edgecombe personal foul
PHI 126·NY 114
- Q4·1:06
VJ Edgecombe makes 1-foot driving dunk (Paul George assists)
·
PHI 126·NY 114
- Q4·1:10
76ers Full timeout
PHI 124·NY 114
- Q4·1:12
Mikal Bridges bad pass turnover (VJ Edgecombe steals)
·
PHI 124·NY 114
- Q4·1:12
Quentin Grimes makes layup (Paul George assists)
·
PHI 124·NY 114
−0.6pp
- Q4·1:12
Paul George offensive rebound
PHI 122·NY 114
−1pp
- Q4·1:15
VJ Edgecombe misses 24-foot three point jumper
PHI 122·NY 114
+0.7pp
- Q4·1:35
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
PHI 122·NY 114
−0.5pp
- Q4·1:38
Jalen Brunson misses driving floating jump shot
PHI 122·NY 114
−2pp
- Q4·1:48
Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 122·NY 114
- Q4·1:48
76ers offensive team rebound
PHI 121·NY 114
+1pp
- Q4·1:48
Tyrese Maxey misses free throw 1 of 2
PHI 121·NY 114
- Q4·1:48
Miles McBride shooting foul
PHI 121·NY 114
−2pp
- Q4·2:08
OG Anunoby makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 121·NY 114
−2pp
- Q4·2:08
OG Anunoby makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 121·NY 113
+0.6pp
Betting line
NY -3.5·O/U 233.5·PHI +145/NY -175
Recap · NBA
hiladelphia 76ers went into New York Knicks and beat them, 130–119.
PHI +3.5 cashed (NY lost outright). Total cleared the 233.5 OVER by 15.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 12 players in cohort- Tyrese MaxeyPHI · GTOUCHES94.599
Joel EmbiidPHI · CUSG%34.399
Jalen BrunsonNY · GTOUCHES89.699
OG AnunobyNY · FCONT8.496- Karl-Anthony TownsNY · CCONT7.693
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · PHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
NY vs PHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
165
projections · 140 high confidence
Points
- Jalen BrunsonNY27.4± 9.6high
- Jaylen BrownPHI26.6± 6.3high
- Joel EmbiidPHI25.3± 7.2high
Rebounds
- Karl-Anthony TownsNY10.8± 3.1high
- Josh HartNY8.4± 3.0high
- Joel EmbiidPHI8.0± 3.5high
Assists
- Jalen BrunsonNY6.2± 3.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI5.9± 1.9high
- Josh HartNY4.6± 1.9high
Blocks
- Joel EmbiidPHI1.3± 1.4high
- Adem BonaPHI1.1± 1.3high
- OG AnunobyNY1.0± 1.0high
Steals
- Josh HartNY1.5± 1.4high
- OG AnunobyNY1.5± 1.3high
- Rayan RupertPHI1.3± 1.3high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
PHI
league avg
NY
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶55.9%
46.0%
FG%
47.0
▶48.0%
114.3
PPG
114.9
▶116.4
24.1
Assists / G
25.0
▶27.0
12.8
Turnovers / G
14.0
12.7