May 5, 26sim 98
19
28(H)7
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+6HOU
HOU
12-20
115
BAL
15-16
Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, Maryland
26,586 attended
Line movement
41 snapshots
BAL spread
-1.5
open -1.5
Total
O/U 9.0
open O/U 9.0
BAL no-vig %
56.4%
open 56.4%
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = BAL favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
HOU wins
HOU 11 · BAL 5 (by 6)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked BAL +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant