Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 23, 2026

FINAL+8MIL

CIN

14-16

MIL

13-16

American Family Field · Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs CIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Chase BurnsCIN
7.2± 2.5medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium

Hits

William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.4high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.1± 0.7high
Sal StewartCIN
1.0± 0.9high

Total bases

Jackson ChourioMIL
2.1± 1.5high
William ContrerasMIL
2.0± 2.7high
Sal StewartCIN
1.9± 2.0high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
1.1± 2.1high
Eugenio SuarezCIN
0.8± 2.0high
Spencer SteerCIN
0.7± 1.0high

Earned runs

Nick LodoloCIN
3.2± 2.9low
Rhett LowderCIN
2.8± 3.0low
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CIN

league avg

MIL

.699

OPS

.718

▶

.730

.310

OBP

.319

▶

.337

4.27

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.16

4.57

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.41

1.46

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

8.2

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIL wins

CIN 1 · MIL 9 (by 8)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
MIL	0	3	1	2	1	1	0	1	9

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. FriedlCF	.326	2	1	1	0	0	1	1
K. Hayes3B	.200	4	0	1	1	0	0	2
E. De La CruzSS	.271	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. Stewart1B	.326	1	0	0	0	0	2	0
E. SuarezDH	.158	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. SteerLF	.208	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. StephensonC	.184	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. MarteRF	.241	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. MyersCF	.344	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
W. BensonRF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. Hampson2B	.122	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. Chavis2B	.214	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
P.J. HigginsC	.171	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. LoweDH	.262	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. TrevinoC	.324	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. RodriguezLF	.111	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Toglia1B	.231	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		30	1	4	1	0	5	8

Player

.326

.200

.271

.326

.158

.208

.184

.241

.344

.250

.122

.214

.171

.262

.324

.111

.231

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. SingerSP	4.0	6	6	5	1	3	78
E. PaganRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	13
B. BurkeRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	14
S. MollRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16
T. AntoneRP	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	21
Team	8.0	12	9	8	1	6	142

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

142

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChourioLF	.286	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. Turang2B	.286	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
W. ContrerasC	.333	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
C. YelichDH	.138	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
L. Rengifo3B	.250	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. Bauers1B	.457	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
S. FrelickRF	.224	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
D. Hamilton3B	.327	2	1	2	2	0	0	0
G. MitchellCF	.083	4	0	1	3	0	0	1
G. JonesLF	.190	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. PrattSS	.303	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. SanchezC	.250	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. LockridgeLF	.310	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. WilliamsSS	.353	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Vaughn1B	.400	2	2	2	1	1	0	0
L. LaraCF	.262	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. OrtizSS	.394	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		36	9	12	8	3	1	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. AshbyRP	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	26
B. HolubRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	17
E. McGeeSP	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	27
D. HallRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18
J. KoenigRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	23
G. AndersonRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17
A. UribeRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10
A. ZerpaRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16
T. MegillRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9
Team	9.0	4	1	1	5	8	163

Team

CIN

MIL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs CIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs CIN.