Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 24, 2026

FINAL+9MIN

BOS

13-16

615

MIN

11-18-1

Lee Health Sports Complex · Fort Myers, Florida

6,883 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIN vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

122

projections · 84 high confidence

Strikeouts

Joe RyanMIN
6.7± 3.0medium
Ranger SuarezBOS
6.1± 3.1medium
Connelly EarlyBOS
5.8± 2.2medium

Hits

Trevor LarnachMIN
1.4± 1.3high
Caleb DurbinBOS
1.3± 0.8high
Ceddanne RafaelaBOS
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Caleb DurbinBOS
2.3± 2.1high
Brooks LeeMIN
2.2± 2.3high
Trevor LarnachMIN
2.2± 2.4high

RBIs

Ryan KreidlerMIN
0.8± 1.4high
Trevor LarnachMIN
0.8± 1.3high
Willson ContrerasBOS
0.7± 0.8high

Earned runs

Zebby MatthewsMIN
3.1± 3.4low
Connor PrielippMIN
3.0± 2.3low
Taj BradleyMIN
2.9± 1.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

BOS

league avg

MIN

.697

OPS

.718

▶

.734

.312

OBP

.319

▶

.322

4.00

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.85

3.70

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.86

1.24

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.40

8.6

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.3

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIN wins

BOS 6 · MIN 15 (by 9)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
BOS	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6
MIN	2	2	0	0	5	4	2	0	15

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. AnthonyLF	.300	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
T. StorySS	.404	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
M. YoshidaDH	.211	3	1	2	2	0	0	0
W. Contreras1B	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
W. AbreuRF	.154	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Durbin3B	.354	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. Mayer2B	.231	3	1	2	0	0	0	1
C. RafaelaCF	.371	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
C. NarvaezC	.257	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
I. Kiner-Falefa2B	.302	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. MonasterioSS	.279	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. TurnerOF	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. WongC	.121	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. WardCF	.378	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
V. Capra3B	.065	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. TaylorOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
I. JacksonOF	.250	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
F. Encarnacion3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		37	6	9	5	0	3	7

Player

.300

.404

.211

.333

.154

.354

.231

.371

.257

.302

.279

.333

.121

.378

.065

.000

.250

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. SuarezSP	4.1	9	8	8	1	4	69
C. FeeneyRP	0.2	1	1	1	0	0	11
J. MoranRP	0.0	3	4	4	2	0	18
R. SenaRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14
T. KahnleRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	28
C. AdamsRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Team	8.0	16	15	15	3	6	0

Player

4.1

0.2

0.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. MartinRF	.353	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
B. BuxtonCF	.250	2	2	1	2	1	1	0
L. Keaschall2B	.377	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
R. JeffersC	.239	3	0	3	2	0	0	0
M. WallnerRF	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BellDH	.273	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
V. CaratiniC	.171	3	2	2	2	1	0	1
R. Lewis3B	.133	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. LeeSS	.315	2	1	1	2	1	0	1
T. LarnachLF	.191	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
Y. HerreraSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. OutmanCF	.261	2	2	2	4	2	0	0
O. ArciaSS	.265	1	2	0	0	0	1	1
C. KendleOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. GraySS	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Amick3B	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
D. BanuelosC	.313	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
J. Rucker2B	.100	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. Clemens1B	.300	2	1	2	1	1	0	0
I. NunezC	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team		40	15	16	14	6	3	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. KentRP	1.0	1	1	0	0	0	17
T. RogersRP	0.2	2	4	4	2	0	25
M. HilkerRP	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	10
D. AltavillaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	9
C. LawerysonRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	18
M. AbelSP	4.0	3	1	1	1	4	49
T. BakerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	15
Team	9.0	9	6	5	3	7	0

Team

BOS

MIN

—

3 sub-models, blended.

MIN vs BOS.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIN vs BOS.