New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 24, 2026

FINAL+5NYY

NYY

19-12

CHC

14-17

Sloan Park · Mesa, Arizona

13,880 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CHC favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHC vs NYY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

120

projections · 86 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
6.1± 2.9medium
Matthew BoydCHC
5.8± 3.1low

Hits

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
1.1± 0.9high
Seiya SuzukiCHC
1.1± 1.0high
Nico HoernerCHC
1.0± 1.2high

Total bases

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
2.3± 1.8high
Dansby SwansonCHC
2.1± 3.0high
Seiya SuzukiCHC
1.9± 1.9high

RBIs

Dansby SwansonCHC
1.3± 2.4high
Carson KellyCHC
0.8± 1.9high
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
0.8± 0.9high

Earned runs

Shota ImanagaCHC
3.2± 3.4medium
Colin ReaCHC
2.8± 2.5medium
David PetersonCHC
2.7± 2.5medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

NYY

league avg

CHC

.749

OPS

◀

.718

.736

.323

OBP

.319

▶

.335

4.93

Runs / G

4.50

4.92

3.32

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.24

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.25

8.8

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

NYY 8 · CHC 3 (by 5)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYY	0	1	1	2	1	3	0	0	0	8
CHC	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	3

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Rice1B	.239	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. BellingerLF	.237	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
P. Goldschmidt1B	.346	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. DominguezRF	.347	4	2	2	1	1	0	0
R. GrichukDH	.125	2	1	1	1	1	1	0
R. McMahon3B	.170	2	0	0	1	0	0	1
J. CaballeroSS	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J.C. EscarraC	.256	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. Rosario3B	.346	3	1	1	2	0	0	0
P. DeJong3B	.186	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
S. JonesRF	.357	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
P. HenryC	.233	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
Y. FernandezRF	.192	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. EllisCF	.148	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
O. Cabrera3B	.211	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. SchuemannSS	.294	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
A. SanchezC	.182	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	8	10	8	3	4	6

Player

.239

.250

.237

.346

.347

.125

.170

.200

.256

.346

.186

.357

.233

.192

.148

.211

.294

.182

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. ColeSP	1.2	1	1	1	0	3	26
H. CohenSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	7
R. WeathersSP	5.0	4	1	1	1	4	80
B. HannerRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	15
Y. CruzRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	17
Team	9.0	8	3	3	2	10	0

Player

1.2

0.1

5.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. Crow-ArmstrongCF	.100	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Busch1B	.238	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Bregman3B	.524	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
I. HappLF	.194	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Hoerner2B	.378	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. SwansonSS	.278	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. BallesterosDH	.357	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. AmayaC	.321	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
M. ConfortoDH	.342	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
K. SnellLF	.364	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
J. HartshornOF	.286	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. Kingery3B	.204	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. HowardSS	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
K. KepleyOF	.227	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
A. CepedaSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. SouthiseneSS	.429	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
D. CarlsonLF	.298	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. TriceC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
O. AyersC	.200	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. NwoguLF	.125	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team		34	3	8	3	2	2	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. CabreraSP	4.1	7	5	5	2	3	83
V. ReillyP	1.1	1	3	3	2	2	29
B. SpearsRP	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	5
Z. MillsSP	3.0	1	0	0	0	1	32
Team	9.0	10	8	8	4	6	0

Team

NYY

CHC

3 sub-models, blended.

CHC vs NYY.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

3 sub-models, blended.

CHC vs NYY.