Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 22, 2026

FINAL+4NYY

PHI

10-16-2

NYY

18-11

George M. Steinbrenner Field · Tampa, Florida

10,024 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs PHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cristopher SanchezPHI
7.6± 3.3medium
Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Jesus LuzardoPHI
6.9± 3.6medium

Hits

Bryce HarperPHI
1.5± 1.3high
Brandon MarshPHI
1.2± 1.1high
Trea TurnerPHI
1.2± 1.1high

Total bases

Bryce HarperPHI
2.8± 3.3high
Kyle SchwarberPHI
2.4± 4.0high
Brandon MarshPHI
2.1± 2.4high

RBIs

J.T. RealmutoPHI
0.9± 1.4high
Kyle SchwarberPHI
0.9± 2.0high
Bryce HarperPHI
0.8± 1.3high

Earned runs

Aaron NolaPHI
3.0± 2.0medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium
Gerrit ColeNYY
2.4± 2.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

PHI

league avg

NYY

.701

OPS

.718

▶

.749

.301

OBP

.319

▶

.323

4.38

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.93

4.08

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.32

1.30

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

9.6

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

PHI 2 · NYY 6 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2
NYY	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	2	6

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. SchwarberDH	.222	4	1	2	2	1	0	1
J.T. RealmutoC	.231	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Harper1B	.357	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. Bohm3B	.300	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
A. GarciaRF	.282	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
E. Sosa2B	.310	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. CrawfordCF	.260	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. De La CruzOF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. MooreCF	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. CairoSS	.194	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. PegueroSS	.140	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. StubbsC	.208	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. HerediaRF	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Colmenares2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. HumphreysOF	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Ware2B	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
A. Escobar2B	.105	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		30	2	4	2	1	1	11

Player

.222

.231

.357

.300

.282

.310

.260

.333

.200

.194

.140

.208

.143

.000

.500

.000

.105

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. NolaSP	4.0	6	3	3	3	4	79
K. BackhusRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	17
T. BanksRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
Z. PopRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14
T. MayzaRP	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	21
Team	8.0	12	6	6	3	6	141

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

141

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GrishamCF	.179	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
A. JudgeRF	.250	2	1	1	1	1	1	1
C. BellingerLF	.235	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Rice1B	.238	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
G. StantonDH	.269	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.250	2	1	1	1	0	1	0
J. CaballeroSS	.185	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. McMahon3B	.178	3	0	2	1	0	0	0
J.C. EscarraC	.257	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
A. Rosario3B	.333	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
G. MartinRF	.444	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. DominguezRF	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. DeJong3B	.189	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. HenryC	.192	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
P. Goldschmidt1B	.348	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. Cabrera3B	.200	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
K. WestOF	.500	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
M. SchuemannSS	.281	1	0	0	1	0	0	1
Team		34	6	12	6	1	3	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. WarrenSP	5.0	1	0	0	0	6	62
D. BednarRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	7
F. CruzRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4
C. DovalRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	12
T. HillRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	17
J. BirdRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13
Team	9.0	4	2	2	1	11	115

Team

PHI

NYY

—

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs PHI.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs PHI.