Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 22, 2026

FINAL+2SEA

SEA

11-18-1

CHW

15-15-1

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

8,707 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium
Bryan WooSEA
6.2± 3.1medium

Hits

Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
Chase MeidrothCHW
1.1± 1.2high
Randy ArozarenaSEA
1.1± 1.2high

Total bases

Colson MontgomeryCHW
1.8± 2.6high
Miguel VargasCHW
1.8± 2.2high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.8± 1.7high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
0.8± 2.0low
Tristan PetersCHW
0.7± 1.9high
Andrew BenintendiCHW
0.6± 1.3high

Earned runs

Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium
Emerson HancockSEA
2.4± 2.4medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

SEA

league avg

CHW

.695

OPS

.718

▶

.738

.313

OBP

.319

▶

.322

4.02

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.78

3.72

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.25

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.33

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.4

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

SEA 4 · CHW 2 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	4
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Donovan3B	.422	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. RaleighC	.207	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. RaleyRF	.267	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. CanzoneDH	.346	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
M. GarverC	.208	2	1	1	2	1	0	1
C. Young2B	.281	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. JoeRF	.340	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
V. RoblesRF	.186	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
L. Rivas3B	.220	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
Wi. Wilson3B	.259	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
S. SianiRF	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. RaposoC	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Cali3B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		28	4	4	2	1	3	7

Player

.422

.207

.267

.346

.208

.281

.340

.186

.220

.259

.222

.286

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WooSP	6.0	3	1	1	0	4	73
A. MunozRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	14
J. FerrerRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	12
C. CriswellRP	1.0	3	0	0	0	1	26
Team	9.0	7	2	2	1	7	125

Player

6.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

125

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. BenintendiDH	.282	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. Meidroth2B	.269	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
C. MontgomerySS	.170	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. Vargas3B	.269	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. Murakami1B	.296	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. PereiraRF	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. PetersCF	.257	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. AcunaCF	.405	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. LeeC	.289	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Makarewicz3B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Eblin2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. NishidaRF	.333	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. ConnorOF	.417	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
A. HackenbergC	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
S. ZavalaCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Gonzalez1B	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. WolkowOF	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. McGuireC	1.000	2	2	2	1	1	0	0
Team		33	2	7	2	1	1	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. BurkeSP	5.0	3	2	2	1	6	74
C. MurphyRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12
L. SimsRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13
C. PlymellRP	1.0	1	2	2	2	0	22
R. GowensSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15
Team	9.0	4	4	4	3	7	136

Team

SEA

CHW

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs SEA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs SEA.