Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 22, 2026

FINAL+12CHC

MIL

12-16

012

CHC

13-16

Sloan Park · Mesa, Arizona

14,375 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CHC favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHC vs MIL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium
Matthew BoydCHC
5.8± 3.1low

Hits

William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.4high
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
1.1± 0.9high
Seiya SuzukiCHC
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
2.3± 1.8high
Dansby SwansonCHC
2.1± 3.0high
Jackson ChourioMIL
2.1± 1.5high

RBIs

Dansby SwansonCHC
1.3± 2.4high
Carson KellyCHC
0.8± 1.9high
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
0.8± 0.9high

Earned runs

Shota ImanagaCHC
3.2± 3.4medium
Colin ReaCHC
2.8± 2.5medium
David PetersonCHC
2.7± 2.5medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

MIL

league avg

CHC

.730

OPS

.718

.736

.337

OBP

.319

.335

5.16

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.92

3.41

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.24

1.18

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.25

9.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHC wins

MIL 0 · CHC 12 (by 12)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
CHC	0	3	2	0	4	0	3	0	12

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. O'RaeCF	.200	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. QueroC	.158	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. Boeve2B	.231	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. DingesC	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. BrownSS	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
J. HurtubiseLF	.231	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. BrownCF	.000	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Baez3B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
L. CastilloRF	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. GarcíaC	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. VargasOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. Fielder2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. GuilarteSS	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
K. NicasiaRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	0	6	0	0	3	6

Player

.200

.158

.231

.222

.250

.231

.000

.000

.200

1.000

.000

.000

.500

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. PatrickRP	4.0	6	7	7	2	4	87
G. HodgesRP	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	12
P. StrzeleckiRP	1.2	2	2	2	1	3	30
T. GillisUN	0.1	3	3	3	2	0	30
S. CruzRP	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	19
Team	8.0	12	12	12	6	9	178

Player

4.0

0.1

1.2

0.1

1.2

Team

8.0

178

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. Busch1B	.211	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Bregman3B	.471	3	1	2	1	1	0	1
I. HappLF	.206	2	1	1	1	1	1	0
P. Crow-ArmstrongCF	.111	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
N. Hoerner2B	.333	3	0	2	2	0	0	0
C. KellyC	.353	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
M. BallesterosDH	.359	3	1	2	2	0	0	0
D. SwansonSS	.313	3	1	1	2	0	0	1
M. ShawRF	.319	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
D. CarlsonLF	.333	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
L. VivasSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. AlcantaraDH	.275	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
D. Bowser3B	.111	2	1	0	0	0	0	2
S. Kingery3B	.196	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
H. Cantrelle2B	.286	2	2	1	0	0	0	0
E. YangC	.667	2	1	2	2	0	0	0
J. PalmerOF	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Kalmer1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. NwoguLF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		35	12	12	11	2	6	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. HortonSP	6.0	4	0	0	0	3	68
B. BrownRP	2.0	2	0	0	2	2	36
G. KlobositsRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	22
Team	9.0	6	0	0	3	6	126

Team

MIL

CHC

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CHC vs MIL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHC vs MIL.