Athletics vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 21, 2026

FINAL

ATH

13-15-1

LAD

19-8-1

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

10,643 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs ATH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 91 high confidence

Strikeouts

Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Gage JumpATH
5.8± 2.8low
Roki SasakiLAD
5.4± 3.1low

Hits

Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.2± 1.2high
Tommy EdmanLAD
1.2± 1.5low

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.1± 1.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.0± 1.6high

RBIs

Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
Kyle TuckerLAD
0.7± 1.5high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low
Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ATH

league avg

LAD

.736

OPS

.718

▶

.784

.327

OBP

.319

▶

.345

4.61

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.27

4.93

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.43

1.43

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.11

8.5

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

ATH 5 · LAD 5 (tied)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	5
LAD	0	0	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	5

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. ClarkeCF	.043	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. CortesRF	.167	4	0	0	1	0	0	0
D. HernaizSS	.350	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
A. WynnsC	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. ThomasRF	.239	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
M. Stefanic2B	.444	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
H. BolteCF	.349	3	1	0	1	0	0	2
L. De VriesSS	.426	3	2	2	1	0	0	0
T. White3B	.417	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
B. BuelvasOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. PachecoCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Andrade3B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. ServenC	.154	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. YamauchiSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	5	4	3	0	2	7

Player

.043

.167

.350

.250

.239

.444

.349

.426

.417

.000

.000

.000

.154

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. LopezSP	2.0	5	1	1	4	3	73
C. PelhamRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	9
J. SternerRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	4
H. HarrisRP	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	20
L. MedinaRP	2.0	1	2	2	4	3	47
J. KuhnelRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	11
A. MercedesRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	19
D. BarreraRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9
Team	9.0	8	5	5	11	11	192

Player

2.0

0.1

0.2

1.0

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

192

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. CallLF	.440	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
S. Espinal3B	.385	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. RushingC	.205	1	2	1	0	0	2	0
A. Freeland2B	.116	4	1	1	2	1	0	1
N. Senzel3B	.270	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
H. KimSS	.407	4	0	1	1	0	0	1
J. SuwinskiRF	.375	2	1	1	1	1	2	1
J. ElkinsLF	.000	4	0	0	0	0	1	3
K. LindseySS	.333	3	0	1	0	0	2	0
D. KeithRF	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
J. Vetrano1B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
S. ZavalaC	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. GauthierSS	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Gelof3B	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
S. McLainSS	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. MyersOF	.333	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	5	8	5	2	11	11

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. SheehanSP	4.2	3	4	4	2	5	80
W. KleinRP	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	10
K. MiddletonRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12
J. RosarioSP	1.0	0	1	0	0	0	14
C. SuarezRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8
Team	9.0	4	5	4	2	7	124

Team

ATH

LAD

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs ATH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs ATH.