Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 20, 2026

FINAL+2TB

BOS

12-13

9-16-1

Charlotte Sports Park · Port Charlotte, Florida

5,552 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · TB favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TB win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TB win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TB win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

TB vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 94 high confidence

Strikeouts

Ranger SuarezBOS
6.1± 3.1medium
Drew RasmussenTB
6.1± 3.5medium
Connelly EarlyBOS
5.8± 2.2medium

Hits

Yandy DiazTB
1.5± 1.1high
Junior CamineroTB
1.4± 1.4high
Caleb DurbinBOS
1.3± 0.8high

Total bases

Junior CamineroTB
3.0± 3.7high
Caleb DurbinBOS
2.1± 2.1high
Jonathan ArandaTB
2.0± 1.5high

RBIs

Junior CamineroTB
1.2± 2.0high
Jonathan ArandaTB
0.8± 1.0high
Tsung-Che ChengBOS
0.7± 0.8low

Earned runs

Connelly EarlyBOS
2.4± 2.3medium
Jake BennettBOS
2.0± 2.3low
Nick MartinezTB
2.0± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

BOS

league avg

.697

OPS

.718

▶

.730

.312

OBP

.319

▶

.336

4.00

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.52

3.70

Team ERA

◀

4.17

3.78

1.24

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.20

8.6

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

TB wins

BOS 0 · TB 2 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
TB	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. AnthonyLF	.300	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
C. Durbin3B	.359	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. DuranLF	.409	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
W. Contreras1B	.500	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. YoshidaDH	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
I. Kiner-Falefa2B	.371	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. Mayer2B	.214	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. RafaelaCF	.346	3	0	2	0	0	0	1
M. GasperC	.320	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. EatonOF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. Campbell2B	.220	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. WardCF	.372	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Ortiz3B	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Winnay3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. MonasterioSS	.313	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
V. Capra3B	.071	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. KingCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. ThaissC	.190	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		29	0	5	0	0	3	6

Player

.300

.359

.409

.500

.000

.371

.214

.346

.320

.333

.220

.372

1.000

.000

.313

.071

.000

.190

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WehuntSP	4.0	3	1	1	1	3	61
J. MoranRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11
E. RiveraSP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	17
A. GamboaRP	0.2	3	1	1	0	2	20
K. KellerRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	12
Team	8.0	7	2	2	1	8	121

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

0.2

1.1

Team

8.0

121

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Y. DiazDH	.364	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
J. Aranda1B	.292	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. LuxLF	.222	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. Caminero3B	.333	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. FraleyRF	.364	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. MullinsCF	.280	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. DeLucaRF	.294	3	0	2	1	0	0	0
H. FeducciaC	.103	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. WilliamsSS	.296	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. AybarOF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. SabolC	.190	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Monzon3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Davidson1B	.139	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. MateoOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. SimpsonLF	.375	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. DiazCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. VellojinC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Delgado2B	.250	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		30	2	7	2	0	1	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. McClanahanSP	5.0	3	0	0	2	4	73
G. CleavingerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14
M. EnglertRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14
C. BooserRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	20
L. GuerreroRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10
Team	9.0	5	0	0	3	6	131

Team

BOS

—

3 sub-models, blended.

TB vs BOS.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

3 sub-models, blended.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

TB vs BOS.