Kansas City Royals vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 20, 2026

FINAL+3SF

8-19-1

18-8-1

Scottsdale Stadium · Scottsdale, Arizona

9,113 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · SF favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SF vs KC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 84 high confidence

Strikeouts

Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Logan WebbSF
5.5± 1.5low
Tyler MahleSF
5.2± 2.1low

Hits

Casey SchmittSF
1.4± 1.0high
Bobby Witt Jr.KC
1.2± 1.2high
Carter JensenKC
1.2± 0.7high

Total bases

Jac CaglianoneKC
2.5± 3.4high
Rafael DeversSF
2.2± 2.7high
Carter JensenKC
2.0± 1.7high

RBIs

Jac CaglianoneKC
0.8± 1.3high
Carter JensenKC
0.7± 0.8high
Rafael DeversSF
0.7± 1.2high

Earned runs

Tyler MahleSF
3.1± 4.0low
Seth LugoKC
2.9± 2.4medium
Trevor McDonaldSF
2.8± 2.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

.707

OPS

.718

▶

.725

.316

OBP

◀

.319

.308

4.20

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.06

4.83

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.31

1.43

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.36

7.9

K / 9

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SF wins

KC 2 · SF 5 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
KC	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
SF	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	1	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. Garcia3B	.333	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. Witt Jr.SS	.389	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
V. Pasquantino1B	.190	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
S. PerezC	.235	3	1	1	2	1	0	0
J. India2B	.231	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. CaglianoneRF	.300	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
I. CollinsLF	.087	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
K. IsbelCF	.290	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
L. TreshC	.267	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Loftin2B	.282	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. KaiserSS	.242	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. Wilson2B	.233	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. HernandezC	.091	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Johnson2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. WatersLF	.214	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. ScottLF	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Tolbert2B	.207	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. BrownC	.188	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		29	2	4	2	1	4	7

Player

.333

.389

.190

.235

.231

.300

.087

.290

.267

.282

.242

.233

.091

.000

.214

.400

.207

.188

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. BergertSP	4.0	5	4	4	2	1	60
M. StrahmRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13
C. EstevezRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16
A. LangeRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	11
D. Lynch IVRP	1.0	0	1	1	2	3	23
Team	8.0	7	5	5	5	5	123

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

123

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. Devers1B	.080	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. Chapman3B	.412	2	1	1	2	1	1	0
L. Arraez2B	.357	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
W. AdamesSS	.122	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
J. LeeRF	.421	3	0	2	1	0	0	0
H. RamosLF	.474	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
P. BaileyC	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. SchmittLF	.304	1	1	0	0	0	2	0
L. MatosRF	.265	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. EncarnacionRF	.313	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
W. MartinSS	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
M. AhunaSS	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. OlivaCF	.351	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. JordanOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. BarajasC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. HaaseC	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. MeolaSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. BanduraLF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		28	5	7	4	1	5	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. HouserSP	6.0	4	2	2	2	5	78
C. SeymourRP	2.0	0	0	0	2	1	28
R. WalkerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	7
Team	9.0	4	2	2	4	7	113

Team

—

3 sub-models, blended.

SF vs KC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs KC.