Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 20, 2026

FINAL+12SEA

SEA

10-17-1

208

CLE

13-13-1

Goodyear Ballpark · Goodyear, Arizona

7,808 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CLE favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CLE vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 91 high confidence

Strikeouts

Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium

Hits

Brayan RocchioCLE
1.1± 0.9high
Josh NaylorSEA
1.1± 0.7high
Julio RodriguezSEA
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Travis BazzanaCLE
1.9± 3.1high
Julio RodriguezSEA
1.6± 1.2high
Brayan RocchioCLE
1.5± 1.4high

RBIs

Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.8± 1.4low
Cooper IngleCLE
0.7± 1.6low
Travis BazzanaCLE
0.7± 1.6high

Earned runs

Gavin WilliamsCLE
2.8± 2.4medium
Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

SEA

league avg

CLE

.695

OPS

◀

.718

.676

.313

OBP

.319

.312

4.02

Runs / G

◀

4.50

3.94

3.72

Team ERA

◀

4.17

3.76

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.26

8.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.3

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

SEA 20 · CLE 8 (by 12)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	0	10	5	2	1	2	0	0	0	20
CLE	2	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	8

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Donovan3B	.462	4	3	3	3	0	1	0
J. RodriguezCF	.533	3	3	3	2	1	1	0
R. ArozarenaLF	.286	4	2	1	1	0	0	1
D. CanzoneDH	.364	7	3	4	5	1	0	0
C. JoeRF	.370	5	1	2	0	0	1	1
C. Young2B	.294	4	4	3	5	2	1	0
V. RoblesRF	.171	6	1	4	4	1	0	1
A. KniznerC	.172	4	2	2	0	0	0	1
L. Rivas3B	.231	4	1	2	0	0	0	1
Wi. Wilson3B	.259	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. SianiRF	.286	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. DonofrioOF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. DorighiSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. SanchezSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. PeredaC	.200	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
R. Bliss2B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team		52	20	26	20	5	4	13

Player

.462

.533

.286

.364

.370

.294

.171

.172

.231

.259

.286

.000

.000

.000

.200

.250

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. MosserRP	3.2	5	4	4	3	1	75
S. RaethRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	5
M. BrashRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	22
J. FerrerRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	18
C. LeguminaRP	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	21
C. VargasRP	1.1	0	1	0	1	2	25
P. Alford1B	0.2	1	0	0	1	2	21
Team	9.0	9	8	7	8	8	187

Player

3.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.1

0.2

Team

9.0

187

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. KwanCF	.237	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. RocchioSS	.314	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. Ramirez3B	.243	3	1	1	2	1	0	0
C. DeLauterRF	.394	3	0	1	0	0	1	0
R. Hoskins1B	.212	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. AriasSS	.353	2	1	1	0	0	1	1
A. MartinezLF	.351	3	1	1	2	1	0	0
A. HedgesC	.261	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
C. KayfusLF	.206	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. FoxCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
G. HoweSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. DeversSS	.400	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. AbreuSS	.000	0	2	0	0	0	1	0
L. De La CruzOF	.333	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
J. Martinez2B	.000	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
T. PeeblesC	.500	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
W. AntunezRF	.294	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
Y. LuisCF	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team		36	8	9	7	3	8	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. AllenRP	2.1	14	12	12	2	2	85
W. ThorntonRP	0.2	2	5	5	2	2	28
J. DriverRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14
C. HoldermanRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	12
M. FestaRP	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	21
E. SabrowskiRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15
C. HeuerRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	3	19
C. SchuelkeRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	14
Team	9.0	26	20	20	4	13	208

Team

SEA

CLE

3 sub-models, blended.

CLE vs SEA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CLE vs SEA.