Texas Rangers vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 19, 2026

FINAL+7MIL

TEX

15-11

411

MIL

11-14

American Family Fields of Phoenix · Phoenix, Arizona

6,522 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs TEX.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 97 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Nathan EovaldiTEX
6.7± 2.1medium
Jacob deGromTEX
6.6± 2.5medium

Hits

William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.1± 0.7high
Brandon NimmoTEX
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high
William ContrerasMIL
1.9± 2.8high
Brandon NimmoTEX
1.9± 2.3high

RBIs

William ContrerasMIL
0.7± 1.2high
Jake BurgerTEX
0.7± 1.0high
Andrew VaughnMIL
0.6± 1.0high

Earned runs

Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium
Jacob deGromTEX
2.6± 2.9medium
Robert GasserMIL
2.5± 2.9low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

TEX

league avg

MIL

.711

OPS

.718

▶

.730

.320

OBP

.319

▶

.337

4.05

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.16

3.96

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.41

1.24

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

8.7

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIL wins

TEX 4 · MIL 11 (by 7)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
TEX	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	4
MIL	1	3	7	0	0	0	0	0	11

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. CarterCF	.207	2	0	0	0	0	2	1
J. PedersonDH	.182	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
D. JansenC	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
E. DuranSS	.293	4	1	1	1	1	0	1
M. CanhaLF	.316	4	1	1	1	1	0	1
S. HaggertyLF	.314	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. Wade2B	.438	3	2	2	0	0	1	0
A. OsunaLF	.345	4	0	2	1	0	0	0
J. Bride3B	.184	4	0	0	1	0	0	2
D. BlancoCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Pratto1B	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. HerreraC	.290	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
A. VelazquezSS	.115	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
O. MartinezOF	.150	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. MartinSS	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Taylor3B	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. OsorioCF	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	4	8	4	2	6	9

Player

.207

.182

.200

.293

.316

.314

.438

.345

.184

.000

.125

.290

.115

.150

.333

.333

.200

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. LatzRP	3.0	8	9	7	2	5	67
A. Hoopii-TuionetoaRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	5
D. AckerRP	0.2	1	2	2	1	0	19
R. GarciaRP	1.2	0	0	0	0	3	19
J. JunisRP	1.1	0	0	0	1	4	21
P. GrayRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	11
Team	8.0	9	11	9	4	16	142

Player

J. LatzRP

3.0

A. Hoopii-TuionetoaRP

0.1

0.2

1.2

1.1

1.0

Team

8.0

142

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. FrelickRF	.163	3	1	0	0	0	1	1
J. OrtizSS	.414	3	1	1	1	0	1	1
C. YelichDH	.130	4	1	1	3	1	0	3
A. Vaughn1B	.400	4	1	2	1	0	0	1
G. MitchellCF	.069	4	1	0	0	0	0	3
G. SanchezC	.233	2	2	1	1	1	1	0
L. Rengifo3B	.263	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
B. LockridgeLF	.316	3	1	1	2	0	0	2
D. Hamilton3B	.286	3	2	2	2	0	0	0
J. HurtubiseLF	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. DickinsonSS	.182	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Baez3B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. McGuireC	.120	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Wilken3B	.167	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
L. LaraCF	.268	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. PrattSS	.313	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		34	11	9	11	3	4	16

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WoodruffSP	3.0	4	3	3	1	4	62
J. CorbettRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	3
B. RiveraRP	0.2	1	1	1	2	1	28
T. MegillRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13
A. UribeRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16
J. KoenigRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	15
G. AndersonRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	10
S. CruzRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	22
Team	9.0	8	4	4	6	9	169

Team

TEX

MIL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs TEX.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs TEX.