San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 19, 2026

FINAL+3SF

17-8-1

1411

COL

12-13-1

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick · Scottsdale, Arizona

9,096 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

COL vs SF.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Logan WebbSF
5.5± 1.5low
Tyler MahleSF
5.2± 2.1low

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Casey SchmittSF
1.4± 1.0high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high
Rafael DeversSF
2.2± 2.7high

RBIs

Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high
Rafael DeversSF
0.7± 1.2high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

COL

.725

OPS

.718

▶

.739

.308

OBP

.319

▶

.324

4.06

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.61

4.31

Team ERA

◀

4.17

5.47

1.36

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.51

7.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SF wins

SF 14 · COL 11 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SF	0	1	0	3	2	0	3	4	1	14
COL	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	11

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. GilbertCF	.259	5	2	3	0	0	1	0
J. OlivaCF	.351	5	2	2	2	0	0	1
H. RamosLF	.500	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
D. SusacC	.333	3	2	2	1	1	0	1
V. BericotoRF	.474	3	1	2	1	0	0	0
L. MatosRF	.283	5	1	2	1	0	0	0
C. SchmittLF	.311	5	0	2	1	0	0	0
C. Koss2B	.417	5	2	2	2	1	0	0
O. BasabeSS	.387	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. CroesOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. BrennanLF	.314	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. HaaseC	.286	1	1	1	2	0	1	0
J. EncarnacionRF	.319	2	1	2	2	0	0	0
T. HillCF	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. CoxCF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
A. ArteagaSS	.000	0	1	0	1	0	0	0
Team		42	14	19	14	2	2	3

Player

.259

.351

.500

.333

.474

.283

.311

.417

.387

.000

.314

.286

.319

1.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. WebbSP	4.1	8	6	6	1	3	86
R.J. DabovichRP	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	7
R. EstradaRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4
J. BrubakerRP	2.0	0	1	0	2	2	32
G. SantosRP	0.1	1	4	1	2	0	24
B. PetersonRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	6
J. SanchezSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14
Team	9.0	10	11	7	5	7	0

Player

4.1

0.1

0.1

2.0

0.1

0.2

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. MoniakLF	.250	4	1	1	1	0	0	1
W. Castro2B	.588	3	2	2	1	1	0	1
H. GoodmanC	.175	3	0	1	2	0	0	0
T. Rumfield1B	.295	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
E. TovarSS	.188	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. BeckLF	.326	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. DoyleCF	.345	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
K. Karros3B	.417	3	1	2	0	0	0	1
E. Julien2B	.211	2	1	1	1	0	1	0
C. GrayOF	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
N. Lopez2B	.237	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. FulfordDH	.265	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. JohnstonRF	.326	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
B. SullivanC	.394	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Ritter2B	.327	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
N. Kent2B	.182	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
S. Messinger3B	.333	2	1	1	1	0	0	1
J. HumphreyCF	.000	1	2	0	1	0	0	0
Team		38	11	10	9	1	5	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. SuganoSP	3.0	4	1	0	0	1	34
J. BrebbiaRP	2.0	6	5	5	0	2	37
J. HergetRP	2.0	3	3	3	1	0	36
S. HalvorsenRP	0.1	5	4	4	1	0	27
S. FleslandRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	5
Z. AgnosRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	13
Team	9.0	19	14	13	2	3	0

Team

COL

3 sub-models, blended.

COL vs SF.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

COL vs SF.