Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 19, 2026

FINAL+2CHW

ARI

12-13-1

CHW

15-11-1

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

8,271 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs ARI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium
Davis MartinCHW
5.7± 3.0medium
Eduardo RodriguezARI
4.6± 1.5medium

Hits

Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
Corbin CarrollARI
1.1± 1.0high
Gabriel MorenoARI
1.1± 0.8high

Total bases

Ketel MarteARI
2.4± 1.7high
Corbin CarrollARI
2.0± 2.1high
Miguel VargasCHW
2.0± 2.6high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.9low
Corbin CarrollARI
0.8± 1.7high
Ildemaro VargasARI
0.7± 1.2high

Earned runs

Zac GallenARI
4.0± 2.2medium
Merrill KellyARI
3.4± 2.8low
Erick FeddeCHW
2.3± 2.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ARI

league avg

CHW

.692

OPS

.718

▶

.738

.307

OBP

.319

▶

.322

4.22

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.78

4.33

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.25

1.30

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.33

7.0

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.4

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

ARI 2 · CHW 4 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ARI	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
CHW	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	4

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BarrosaCF	.324	3	1	2	0	0	1	1
T. TawaLF	.293	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
P. SmithDH	.303	4	1	1	1	0	0	1
J. McCannC	.188	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. MorenoC	.172	1	0	0	0	0	3	1
J. AmayaSS	.366	3	0	2	0	0	1	1
A.J. VukovichCF	.139	3	0	0	1	0	1	0
K. RobinsonLF	.316	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
C. Torin2B	.154	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. O'NeillC	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Luis2B	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. CatuyCF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Marte1B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Valdez3B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Walters2B	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. FrancoLF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. HurleyCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. RodriguezSS	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	2	6	2	0	6	11

Player

.324

.293

.303

.188

.172

.366

.139

.316

.154

.333

.167

.333

.000

.000

.333

.000

.000

.200

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. SorokaSP	5.0	1	0	0	1	8	70
B. GarciaRP	0.2	1	3	0	2	0	22
R. ThompsonRP	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	7
K. GinkelRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	12
J. LoaisigaRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	15
A. HoffmannRP	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	9
Team	8.0	6	4	1	3	11	135

Player

5.0

0.2

0.1

0.2

1.0

0.1

Team

8.0

135

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. BenintendiDH	.281	4	1	1	0	0	0	2
C. MontgomerySS	.196	4	1	0	0	0	0	2
A. HaysLF	.348	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. Murakami1B	.350	3	1	1	0	0	1	1
E. QueroC	.304	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
C. Meidroth2B	.267	3	0	2	3	0	1	1
L. Sosa2B	.256	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. KelenicRF	.184	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
L. AcunaCF	.459	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
Dru BakerCF	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. MurrayLF	.211	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Matthews2B	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. SprinkleSS	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. RomoC	.353	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. ConnorOF	.364	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. Dunn3B	.296	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. MontgomeryRF	.348	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Da. Baker2B	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	4	6	3	0	3	11

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. MartinSP	4.2	2	2	2	4	3	85
J. IriarteRP	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	7
R. BoruckiRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	14
B. EisertRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	22
L. SimsRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	15
C. PlymellRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	11
Team	9.0	6	2	2	6	11	154

Team

ARI

CHW

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs ARI.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs ARI.