Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 18, 2026

FINAL+4SEA

MIL

10-13

SEA

8-17-1

Peoria Stadium · Peoria, Arizona

6,583 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SEA vs MIL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 95 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium

Hits

William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.1± 0.7high
Josh NaylorSEA
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high
William ContrerasMIL
1.9± 2.8high
Julio RodriguezSEA
1.6± 1.2high

RBIs

William ContrerasMIL
0.7± 1.2high
Andrew VaughnMIL
0.6± 1.0high
Christian YelichMIL
0.5± 0.7high

Earned runs

Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

MIL

league avg

SEA

.730

OPS

◀

.718

.695

.337

OBP

◀

.319

.313

5.16

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.02

3.41

Team ERA

◀

4.17

3.72

1.18

WHIP

1.31

1.19

9.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

MIL 3 · SEA 7 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIL	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3
SEA	1	0	3	0	3	0	0	0	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. BlackDH	.550	3	0	2	3	0	0	0
B. LockridgeLF	.314	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
B. PerkinsCF	.290	4	0	2	0	0	0	0
R. McGuireC	.125	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. WilliamsSS	.375	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. Wilken3B	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
L. LaraCF	.275	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. PrattSS	.323	3	2	3	0	0	0	0
M. DingesC	.333	4	1	2	0	0	0	1
E. Bitonti3B	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. HurtubiseLF	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. RagsdaleOF	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. WoodC	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. DickinsonSS	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. MadeSS	.310	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. PayneOF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. LeonardSS	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	3	11	3	0	0	7

Player

.550

.314

.290

.125

.375

.167

.275

.323

.333

.250

.250

.400

.143

.200

.310

.250

.400

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. RodriguezRP	4.0	3	4	4	3	3	71
E. McGeeSP	1.0	2	3	3	0	1	15
S. PeraltaRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	15
D. RomSP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	15
P. StrzeleckiRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	19
Team	8.0	7	7	7	4	7	135

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

135

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Donovan3B	.429	1	2	1	1	1	1	0
J. Naylor1B	.095	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. RodriguezCF	.417	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. RaleyRF	.316	2	2	2	4	1	1	0
R. ArozarenaLF	.227	2	1	1	2	1	1	0
C. Young2B	.255	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
V. RoblesRF	.086	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. PeredaC	.174	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. Emerson3B	.268	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Wi. Wilson3B	.269	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
C. JoeRF	.359	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. WashingtonCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
L. StevensonC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. PicolloOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Rodden2B	.344	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. ThomasLF	.486	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. O'KeefeC	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Rivas3B	.219	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		30	7	7	7	3	4	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. HancockSP	3.2	8	3	3	0	4	74
W. Lunsford-ShenkmanRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	5
C. WilcoxRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20
M. RuckerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	8
G. ZunigaRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	15
N. DavilaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12
J. KingsburyRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	7
Team	9.0	11	3	3	0	7	141

Team

MIL

SEA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

SEA vs MIL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SEA vs MIL.