Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 18, 2026

FINAL+1NYY

BOS

11-12

NYY

15-9

George M. Steinbrenner Field · Tampa, Florida

9,842 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

124

projections · 84 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Ranger SuarezBOS
6.1± 3.1medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
6.1± 2.9medium

Hits

Caleb DurbinBOS
1.3± 0.8high
Anthony SeiglerBOS
1.1± 1.0low
Ceddanne RafaelaBOS
1.0± 0.9high

Total bases

Caleb DurbinBOS
2.1± 2.1high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.9± 2.6high
Anthony SeiglerBOS
1.6± 1.8low

RBIs

Tsung-Che ChengBOS
0.7± 0.8low
Caleb DurbinBOS
0.6± 0.8high
Willson ContrerasBOS
0.6± 0.8high

Earned runs

Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium
Connelly EarlyBOS
2.4± 2.3medium
Gerrit ColeNYY
2.4± 2.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

BOS

league avg

NYY

.697

OPS

.718

▶

.749

.312

OBP

.319

▶

.323

4.00

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.93

3.70

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.32

1.24

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

8.6

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

BOS 0 · NYY 1 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WardCF	.366	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
K. Campbell2B	.205	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. DelayC	.467	3	0	3	0	0	0	0
N. HickeyC	.143	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. CastroCF	.263	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. RomeroSS	.269	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
V. Capra3B	.071	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. Ferguson2B	.179	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. ChengSS	.133	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
T. McDonoughOF	.308	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. RosarioC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	0	7	0	0	2	8

Player

.366

.205

.467

.143

.263

.269

.071

.179

.133

.308

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. EarlySP	5.0	1	0	0	2	7	75
T. SamaniegoRP	2.0	0	0	0	0	4	29
T. UberstineRP	1.0	0	1	0	2	2	26
Team	8.0	1	1	0	4	13	130

Player

C. EarlySP

5.0

T. SamaniegoRP

2.0

T. UberstineRP

1.0

Team

8.0

130

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. Rosario3B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
B. Rice1B	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
G. StantonDH	.250	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. BellingerLF	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. GrichukDH	.154	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.235	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
J. CaballeroSS	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. WellsC	.214	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. CoronaCF	.136	1	1	0	0	0	2	0
L. GabrielsonCF	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
S. BrownLF	.172	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. SchuemannSS	.346	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. MoralesLF	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. HenryC	.174	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. CobbSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Vivas3B	.150	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		25	1	1	0	0	4	13

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. ColeSP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	10
H. CohenSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12
C. LagrangeSP	4.0	2	0	0	1	4	60
F. CruzRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16
B. HeadrickRP	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	30
A. ChivilliRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8
Team	9.0	7	0	0	2	8	136

Team

BOS

NYY

—

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs BOS.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs BOS.