Los Angeles Angels vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 18, 2026

FINAL+1LAA

LAA

13-14

MIL

10-14

American Family Fields of Phoenix · Phoenix, Arizona

4,673 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 96 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.1± 0.6high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.0± 2.1medium
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.7± 1.2medium
William ContrerasMIL
0.7± 1.2high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.2± 3.6low
Jose SorianoLAA
2.7± 2.2medium
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

MIL

.716

OPS

.718

▶

.730

.318

OBP

.319

▶

.337

4.54

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.16

4.59

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.41

1.40

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

8.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

LAA 4 · MIL 3 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
MIL	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	3

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. Candelario3B	.256	3	1	1	3	1	0	1
D. Walton3B	.296	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
S. RiveroC	.238	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
N. Kavadas1B	.118	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
J. SiriLF	.194	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
W. MecklerLF	.194	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. Guzman3B	.350	3	1	2	1	1	0	0
R. De JesusRF	.571	4	1	2	0	0	0	1
B. TeodosioLF	.262	3	1	0	0	0	0	1
E. Alfonso2B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. McCollumRF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. McgillLF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Macias2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Martinez3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		35	4	8	4	2	1	12

Player

.256

.296

.238

.118

.194

.194

.350

.571

.262

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. JohnsonSP	5.0	4	1	1	2	4	73
S. AndersonRP	2.1	3	2	2	1	2	48
A. PerdomoRP	0.1	0	0	0	3	0	18
C. HardingSP	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	20
Team	9.0	8	3	3	6	8	159

Player

5.0

2.1

0.1

1.1

Team

9.0

159

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. MitchellCF	.080	4	0	0	0	0	1	3
A. Vaughn1B	.389	3	0	2	1	0	1	0
C. YelichDH	.105	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Bauers1B	.448	4	1	2	1	1	0	1
S. FrelickRF	.175	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. SanchezC	.220	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Rengifo3B	.257	3	1	1	1	1	1	1
D. Hamilton3B	.256	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
J. OrtizSS	.423	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
B. Burke1B	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. EbelSS	.273	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. Adamczewski2B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. JonesLF	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. RodríguezC	.222	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
Jon Adams3B	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. MurraySS	.364	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	3	8	3	2	6	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. HarrisonSP	2.2	4	4	1	0	3	59
J. BrocaRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. StallingsRP	1.0	3	0	0	0	1	16
A. AshbyRP	2.0	0	0	0	1	2	22
D. HallRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	24
B. FitzpatrickRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	15
Team	9.0	8	4	1	1	12	137

Team

LAA

MIL

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs LAA.