San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 18, 2026

FINAL+4LAD

16-8-1

LAD

18-8

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

10,517 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs SF.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 85 high confidence

Strikeouts

Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Logan WebbSF
5.5± 1.5low

Hits

Casey SchmittSF
1.4± 1.0high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.2± 1.2high

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Rafael DeversSF
2.2± 2.7high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.1± 1.9high

RBIs

Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Kyle TuckerLAD
0.7± 1.5high
Rafael DeversSF
0.7± 1.2high

Earned runs

Tyler MahleSF
3.1± 4.0low
Trevor McDonaldSF
2.8± 2.5low
Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

LAD

.725

OPS

.718

▶

.784

.308

OBP

.319

▶

.345

4.06

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.27

4.31

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.43

1.36

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.11

7.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

SF 1 · LAD 5 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	R
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1
LAD	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	5

Final play

“End of the 8th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. LeeRF	.375	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
P. BaileyC	.241	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Chapman3B	.406	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. RamosLF	.571	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
W. AdamesSS	.105	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. EncarnacionRF	.289	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. BrennanLF	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. MatosRF	.268	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Koss2B	.419	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
V. BericotoRF	.457	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
E. HaaseC	.259	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. SchmittLF	.300	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. GilbertCF	.182	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. BasabeSS	.407	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. EldridgeDH	.225	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. McCrayCF	.267	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. SusacC	.303	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. Fitzgerald2B	.189	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		26	1	4	1	1	3	7

Player

.375

.241

.406

.571

.105

.289

.333

.268

.419

.457

.259

.300

.182

.407

.225

.267

.303

.189

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. RouppSP	4.0	5	3	3	2	5	81
K. WinnRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17
J. LucchesiRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12
T. McDonaldSP	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	16
E. MillerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13
Team	8.0	8	5	5	3	7	139

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

139

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. RojasSS	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
F. Freeman1B	.429	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
M. BettsSS	.304	2	0	1	1	0	1	0
M. Muncy3B	.313	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. HernándezLF	.450	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
A. PagesCF	.366	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. RushingC	.184	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. Espinal3B	.389	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Freeland2B	.103	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
R. Fitzgerald3B	.333	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
N. Senzel3B	.265	1	1	1	2	1	0	0
N. PerezSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. Hiura1B	.071	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. DavalanOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. KimSS	.435	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
E. AlfonzoC	.233	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. ElkinsLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	5	8	5	2	3	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. OhtaniDH	4.1	1	0	0	2	4	61
E. HenriquezRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	4
W. KleinRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8
B. TreinenRP	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	13
A. VesiaRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. ScottRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	16
Team	8.0	4	1	1	3	7	102

Team

LAD

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs SF.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs SF.