Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 18, 2026

FINAL+2COL

COL

12-12-1

CIN

12-13

Goodyear Ballpark · Goodyear, Arizona

3,069 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CIN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CIN vs COL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

126

projections · 94 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chase BurnsCIN
7.2± 2.5medium
Andrew AbbottCIN
4.4± 1.6medium
Brady SingerCIN
4.4± 2.4medium

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high
Edwin ArroyoCIN
1.0± 1.3high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.1± 3.8high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
0.9± 1.9high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

COL

league avg

CIN

.739

OPS

◀

.718

.699

.324

OBP

◀

.319

.310

4.61

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.27

5.47

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.57

1.51

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.46

7.2

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

COL wins

COL 8 · CIN 6 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
COL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	1	8
CIN	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	0	0	6

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McCarthyCF	.326	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. CarriggCF	.387	4	2	2	1	0	1	0
T. Rumfield1B	.293	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. CondonOF	.385	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
B. SullivanC	.419	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. Ritter2B	.340	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
T. JohnstonRF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
C. Stevens2B	.182	2	1	0	0	0	2	2
N. Lopez2B	.243	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. CalazOF	.250	1	0	0	1	0	0	1
J. FreitezC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Hopfe1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. De La CruzRF	.000	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
B. BetancourtC	.182	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
D. JorgeSS	.250	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
E. Hedges2B	.333	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
V. MachinSS	.212	1	1	1	1	0	1	0
Team		36	8	10	6	1	6	9

Player

.326

.387

.293

.385

.419

.340

.333

.182

.243

.250

.000

.000

.000

.182

.250

.333

.212

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. QuintanaSP	4.0	7	4	4	0	2	57
V. VodnikRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	20
B. BernardinoRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20
P. MushinskiRP	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	22
K. ThompsonRP	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	15
Team	9.0	10	6	6	2	5	134

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

2.0

Team

9.0

134

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. FriedlCF	.289	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. McLain2B	.545	3	1	3	0	0	0	0
E. De La CruzSS	.300	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
T. StephensonC	.161	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
S. SteerLF	.179	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
N. LoweDH	.257	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. MyersCF	.348	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
K. Hayes3B	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
W. BanfieldC	.227	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
A. StephanOF	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
F. Urbaez2B	.286	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. Sanchez3B	.333	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
Z. Warren1B	.400	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
E. PinedaRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Ibarra1B	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. HenleyCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. LewisSS	.385	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. McCrystalC	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		34	6	10	5	0	2	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. SingerSP	3.2	2	0	0	1	3	51
T. FarrSP	1.1	2	1	1	0	1	18
P. JohnsonRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13
C. PhillipsRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	13
S. MillerRP	0.2	3	6	2	2	0	27
B. JesseeP	0.1	0	0	0	2	1	15
T. FloydRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	25
Team	9.0	10	8	4	6	9	162

Team

COL

CIN

3 sub-models, blended.

CIN vs COL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CIN vs COL.