Seattle Mariners vs Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 17, 2026

FINAL+4SEA

SEA

7-17-1

106

COL

11-12-1

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick · Scottsdale, Arizona

8,439 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

COL vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 97 high confidence

Strikeouts

Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium
Bryan WooSEA
6.2± 3.1medium

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high
Josh NaylorSEA
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.1± 3.8high

RBIs

Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high
Jake McCarthyCOL
0.6± 1.1high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

SEA

league avg

COL

.695

OPS

.718

▶

.739

.313

OBP

.319

▶

.324

4.02

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.61

3.72

Team ERA

◀

4.17

5.47

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.51

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

SEA 10 · COL 6 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	0	2	0	1	2	3	0	0	2	10
COL	0	2	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	6

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. Bliss2B	.273	4	0	2	2	0	0	1
R. ThomasLF	.472	2	1	2	1	0	1	0
C. JoeRF	.359	4	1	3	1	0	0	0
P. Wisdom3B	.243	4	1	1	1	0	0	1
C. Taylor1B	.300	4	1	1	2	0	1	1
A. KniznerC	.125	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. Rivas3B	.226	1	2	0	0	0	3	0
Wi. Wilson3B	.280	3	2	1	1	0	2	2
B. Rodden2B	.355	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. DavisLF	.500	2	1	1	2	1	0	0
S. SianiRF	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. Cali3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. O'KeefeC	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Lopez2B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Arruda2B	1.000	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team		37	10	12	10	1	8	8

Player

.273

.472

.359

.243

.300

.125

.226

.280

.355

.500

.250

.000

.143

.500

1.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CriswellRP	3.0	5	3	2	0	5	61
P. Alford1B	1.0	3	2	2	0	2	20
Y. ZuluetaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12
C. LawrenceRP	4.0	3	1	1	1	4	63
Team	9.0	11	6	5	1	12	156

Player

3.0

1.0

1.0

4.0

Team

9.0

156

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McCarthyCF	.325	3	1	2	1	0	0	0
W. Castro2B	.571	3	0	1	2	0	0	1
H. GoodmanC	.162	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. MoniakLF	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. DoyleCF	.346	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. Karros3B	.394	3	2	1	0	0	0	1
J. BeckLF	.350	3	2	2	0	0	0	1
E. Julien2B	.176	2	0	1	2	0	1	1
R. Ritter2B	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. Rumfield1B	.316	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. FreemanRF	.300	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. FulfordDH	.273	2	1	1	1	1	0	1
T. JohnstonRF	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. CarriggCF	.370	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. Stevens2B	.194	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. CondonOF	.389	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
V. MachinSS	.188	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Lopez2B	.257	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		38	6	11	6	1	1	12

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. FeltnerSP	3.1	3	3	3	4	2	66
T. ShookSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	8
C. DollanderSP	3.2	5	5	4	3	4	68
J. HillRP	0.1	2	0	0	1	0	11
V. JuarezRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4
Z. AgnosRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	21
Team	9.0	12	10	9	8	8	178

Team

SEA

COL

3 sub-models, blended.

COL vs SEA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

COL vs SEA.