Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 15, 2026

FINAL+1LAA

COL

11-11-1

LAA

12-12

Tempe Diablo Stadium · Tempe, Arizona

6,181 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs COL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 98 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Jose SorianoLAA
5.6± 1.9medium
Walbert UrenaLAA
5.0± 1.5medium

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high
Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

COL

league avg

LAA

.739

OPS

◀

.718

.716

.324

OBP

◀

.319

.318

4.61

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.54

5.47

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.59

1.51

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.40

7.2

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

COL 5 · LAA 6 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
COL	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	5
LAA	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	0	1	6

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McCarthyCF	.297	4	1	3	0	0	0	0
E. Julien2B	.133	3	1	0	0	0	1	2
H. GoodmanC	.147	4	1	2	3	1	0	1
T. Rumfield1B	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. DoyleCF	.391	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
J. BeckLF	.324	2	0	1	1	0	1	0
B. FulfordDH	.258	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. Karros3B	.400	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
N. Lopez2B	.265	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. PerezSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Amador2B	.229	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. MontgomeryCF	.250	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
C. Stevens2B	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. CiriacoSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. CarriggCF	.385	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
B. SullivanC	.414	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
V. MachinSS	.194	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. CondonOF	.371	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	5	9	5	1	4	5

Player

.297

.133

.147

.333

.391

.324

.258

.400

.265

.000

.229

.250

.200

.000

.385

.414

.194

.371

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GordonRP	4.0	4	1	1	1	4	56
J. BrebbiaRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	14
J. HillRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16
B. BernardinoRP	0.2	2	2	1	1	1	23
J. HergetRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	3
S. HalvorsenRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	12
S. FleslandRP	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	12
Team	8.1	10	6	5	3	7	136

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

0.2

0.1

1.0

0.1

Team

8.1

136

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SolerDH	.393	3	2	2	0	0	0	1
A. Frazier2B	.348	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. Candelario3B	.265	3	1	1	2	1	1	1
T. Mancini1B	.125	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. d'ArnaudC	.143	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. TaylorCF	.250	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
Y. Sanchez3B	.304	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. SiriCF	.167	3	1	1	0	0	0	2
B. TeodosioLF	.306	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
Z. HumphreysC	1.000	2	1	2	3	1	0	0
D. Walton3B	.350	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. VeraSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. RiveroC	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Macias2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. CalabreseCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. De JesusRF	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	6	10	5	2	3	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. GordonRP	2.0	3	1	1	0	1	35
D. PomeranzRP	0.1	2	3	3	3	0	29
R. PhansalkarRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	5
K. YatesRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
C. SilsethRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9
J. RomanoRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10
H. StricklandRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	11
N. SandlinRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	22
S. Natera Jr.RP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	19
Team	9.0	9	5	5	4	5	150

Team

COL

LAA

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs COL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs COL.