Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 8, 2026

FINAL+3LAA

LAA

7-10

107

TEX

8-8

Surprise Stadium · Surprise, Arizona

6,231 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.5%

ensemble · TEX favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TEX win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TEX win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TEX win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

TEX vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 94 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Nathan EovaldiTEX
6.7± 2.1medium
Jacob deGromTEX
6.6± 2.5medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.1± 0.6high
Brandon NimmoTEX
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.0± 2.1medium
Brandon NimmoTEX
1.9± 2.3high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.7± 1.2medium
Jake BurgerTEX
0.7± 1.0high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.2± 3.6low
Chris PaddackTEX
3.1± 2.4low
Jose SorianoLAA
2.7± 2.2medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

TEX

.718

OPS

.718

.712

.319

OBP

.319

.320

4.51

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.07

4.57

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.95

1.40

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.24

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.6

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

LAA 10 · TEX 7 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	1	0	1	0	0	0	6	0	2	10
TEX	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	7

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. Grissom2B	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Candelario3B	.333	3	2	1	1	0	1	1
C. TaylorCF	.167	3	1	2	2	0	1	0
C. Moore2B	.241	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
S. RiveroC	.286	4	0	1	2	0	0	0
J. SiriCF	.125	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. RodriguezCF	.368	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Walton3B	.333	4	1	2	0	0	1	0
Y. Sanchez3B	.294	3	1	0	0	0	2	1
T. Ford2B	.000	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
A. Duarte1B	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
F. MorrobelSS	.000	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
K. Maduro1B	.500	2	2	1	2	0	0	1
J. LinaresC	1.000	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
C. HarrelsonOF	1.000	2	0	2	2	0	0	0
C. KetchupSS	.000	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
Team		40	10	12	10	0	5	5

Player

.200

.333

.167

.241

.286

.125

.368

.333

.294

.000

1.000

.000

.500

1.000

1.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. MederosSP	3.0	2	4	4	4	2	60
S. BachmanRP	2.0	2	0	0	1	5	33
T. Gregory-AlfordRP	2.0	3	2	2	0	2	29
C. MinacciRP	2.0	2	1	1	1	2	35
Team	9.0	9	7	7	6	11	157

Player

3.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

Team

9.0

157

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. NimmoRF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
W. LangfordLF	.438	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
C. SeagerSS	.267	1	1	0	0	0	2	1
J. Burger1B	.318	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
E. CarterCF	.278	3	1	2	4	1	0	0
J. Smith2B	.333	2	1	2	2	1	1	0
D. JansenC	.222	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
S. HaggertyLF	.400	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. Bride3B	.292	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. CauleySS	.367	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. RodriguezSS	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. SniderLF	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
Q. ScottRF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
F. Chavez2B	.222	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
M. Lee SangCF	.143	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. HerreraC	.238	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. MooreC	.500	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
G. Figuereo3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	7	9	7	2	6	11

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. EovaldiSP	5.0	5	2	2	1	4	68
L. CurveloRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12
A. DiazRP	0.0	1	5	5	3	0	17
W. BormieRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	9
R. BrasierRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	11
M. OtanezRP	0.1	2	2	2	1	1	21
D. AckerRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	5
Team	9.0	12	10	10	5	5	143

Team

LAA

TEX

3 sub-models, blended.

TEX vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

TEX vs LAA.