New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 8, 2026

FINAL+6NYM

NYY

10-5

410

NYM

7-5-1

Clover Park · Port St. Lucie, Florida

7,277 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.5%

ensemble · NYM favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYM win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYM win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYM win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYM vs NYY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Nolan McLeanNYM
6.3± 2.3medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
6.1± 2.9medium

Hits

Carson BengeNYM
1.2± 0.8high
Juan SotoNYM
1.2± 0.9high
A.J. EwingNYM
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Juan SotoNYM
2.1± 2.5high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.9± 2.6high
A.J. EwingNYM
1.8± 2.1high

RBIs

A.J. EwingNYM
0.7± 0.9high
Mark VientosNYM
0.6± 0.8high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
0.6± 0.7high

Earned runs

Kodai SengaNYM
4.1± 3.0low
Freddy PeraltaNYM
2.9± 3.6medium
Nolan McLeanNYM
2.8± 2.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

NYY

league avg

NYM

.746

OPS

◀

.718

.673

.321

OBP

◀

.319

.299

4.90

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.00

3.30

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.10

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.28

8.8

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYM wins

NYY 4 · NYM 10 (by 6)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYY	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	4
NYM	0	3	3	1	0	0	3	0	10

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DominguezRF	.296	4	0	1	2	0	0	2
J.C. EscarraC	.235	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
G. Lombard Jr.SS	.238	4	1	1	0	0	0	2
S. JonesRF	.333	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
S. BrownLF	.211	3	1	2	1	0	0	1
Z. ShortSS	.167	1	1	0	0	0	2	1
D. EllisCF	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. ShewmakeSS	.154	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. SanchezC	.071	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
M. PalmaC	.182	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. KentSS	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. Martin-GrudzielanekSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. CoronaCF	.273	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
E. Martinez Jr.1B	.267	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Vivas3B	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. LucianoOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. FernandezRF	.231	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. OrnelasSS	.200	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		34	4	8	4	0	5	13

Player

.296

.235

.238

.333

.211

.167

.111

.154

.071

.182

.333

B. Martin-GrudzielanekSS

.000

.273

.267

.200

.000

.231

.200

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. WeathersSP	2.0	7	6	5	2	3	59
C. VeachRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8
C. WinquestRP	0.2	1	1	1	1	1	20
H. MerdaSP	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	12
D. HamelSP	2.2	3	3	2	2	1	50
M. AriasSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	6
B. HannerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	9
Team	8.0	11	10	8	6	8	164

Player

2.0

0.2

0.2

0.2

2.2

0.1

1.0

Team

8.0

164

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. Semien2B	.222	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. Polanco1B	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. BichetteSS	.235	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
F. AlvarezC	.500	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
B. Baty3B	.400	2	1	1	1	0	1	0
T. TaylorCF	.267	1	2	1	2	0	1	0
C. BengeRF	.350	3	1	2	1	0	0	0
V. BrujanSS	.385	1	0	1	1	0	2	0
A.J. EwingCF	.357	3	0	1	2	0	0	1
J. BaeCF	.154	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
J. Rojas3B	.000	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
J. Reimer3B	.167	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
A. BarnesC	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
H. SengerC	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Clifford1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. PacheOF	.563	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. CluffSS	.143	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
C. Arroyo2B	.286	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
Team		35	10	11	10	0	6	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
F. PeraltaSP	3.0	3	2	2	1	4	45
C. Edwards Jr.RP	2.2	2	2	2	2	5	49
J. BanksRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	7
J. PintaroRP	2.1	3	0	0	2	3	53
A. RozekRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team	9.0	8	4	4	5	13	155

Team

NYY

NYM

—

3 sub-models, blended.

NYM vs NYY.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYM vs NYY.