Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 25, 2026

FINAL+3LAD

LAD

5-0

107

ARI

2-4

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick · Scottsdale, Arizona

11,065 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.0%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ARI win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ARI win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ARI win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ARI vs LAD.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Roki SasakiLAD
5.4± 3.1low
Emmet SheehanLAD
5.3± 2.8medium

Hits

Tommy EdmanLAD
1.5± 1.8low
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.4± 1.1high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high

Total bases

Ketel MarteARI
2.5± 1.9high
Mookie BettsLAD
2.3± 2.1high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.2± 1.7high

RBIs

Ketel MarteARI
0.8± 1.0high
Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Teoscar HernandezLAD
0.8± 1.9high

Earned runs

Zac GallenARI
4.0± 2.2medium
Merrill KellyARI
3.4± 2.8low
Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAD

league avg

ARI

.790

OPS

◀

.719

.697

.347

OBP

◀

.319

.309

5.36

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.27

3.43

Team ERA

◀

4.20

4.30

1.12

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.29

9.0

K / 9

◀

8.5

6.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

LAD 10 · ARI 7 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAD	0	2	0	0	4	0	4	0	0	10
ARI	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	7

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
H. KimSS	.500	3	1	2	1	0	0	1
S. Espinal3B	.500	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
D. RushingC	.125	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. Freeland2B	.333	3	0	1	1	0	1	1
R. WardLF	.091	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
N. Senzel3B	.300	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.091	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Z. EhrhardOF	.222	2	2	1	0	0	1	0
N. MillerSS	.500	1	1	1	1	0	2	0
K. GeorgeCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. NewellCF	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. AlfonzoC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. McLainSS	.000	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
R. Fitzgerald3B	.300	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
J. De PaulaRF	.500	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. Gelof3B	.000	1	1	0	1	0	2	0
Z. HopeCF	.429	2	1	1	2	0	0	1
G. Lockwood-PowellC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		35	10	7	6	0	9	13

Player

.500

.500

.125

.333

.091

.300

.091

.222

.500

.000

.167

.000

.000

.300

.500

.000

.429

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. SasakiSP	1.1	3	3	3	2	3	--
P. MartinSP	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	--
Ri. RyanSP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
E. DiazRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
W. KleinRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	--
C. CamposSP	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	--
G. McDanielsRP	0.2	3	2	2	1	0	--
C. CrowellRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
R. KoppRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	--
C. MorseRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	--
Team	9.0	13	7	7	5	10	0

Player

1.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. PerdomoSS	.455	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
T. TawaLF	.500	3	2	2	1	1	1	1
P. SmithDH	.182	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
N. Arenado3B	.500	2	1	1	1	0	0	1
I. Vargas1B	.300	3	0	1	2	0	0	0
J. LawlarLF	.500	2	0	0	0	0	2	2
R. WaldschmidtCF	.231	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. JonesCF	.222	3	0	2	0	0	0	1
A. GarciaC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. FernandezDH	.231	2	1	1	1	1	0	1
A.J. VukovichCF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. RobinsonLF	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
G. LoganC	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
I. Melendez3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Groover1B	.308	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
T. TroyLF	.455	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
Ó. MercadoRF	.429	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
L. Baker1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		37	7	13	6	3	5	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. GallenSP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
D. JamesonRP	1.0	2	2	1	1	2	--
G. CarrilloSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
D. RaySP	1.1	2	4	2	2	2	--
C. ReyRP	0.2	0	0	0	2	1	--
S. GiestingSP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
A. MorilloRP	0.1	2	4	2	2	1	--
C. AndersonSP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	--
H. DurkeUN	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
I. DiazRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
Team	9.0	7	10	5	9	13	0

Team

LAD

ARI

3 sub-models, blended.

ARI vs LAD.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ARI vs LAD.