New York Mets vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 22, 2026

FINAL+2NYM

NYM

1-1

NYY

1-2

George M. Steinbrenner Field · Tampa, Florida

9,788 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.2%

ensemble · NYM favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs NYM.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.2medium
Nolan McLeanNYM
6.4± 2.4medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
5.9± 3.1medium

Hits

Carson BengeNYM
1.1± 0.6high
A.J. EwingNYM
1.0± 0.9high
Bo BichetteNYM
1.0± 0.7high

Total bases

Francisco AlvarezNYM
1.9± 2.1high
Juan SotoNYM
1.9± 2.5high
Bo BichetteNYM
1.7± 2.0high

RBIs

A.J. EwingNYM
0.6± 0.9high
Amed RosarioNYY
0.6± 1.1high
Bo BichetteNYM
0.5± 0.7high

Earned runs

Kodai SengaNYM
4.1± 3.0low
Freddy PeraltaNYM
2.9± 3.6medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

NYM

league avg

NYY

.673

OPS

.719

▶

.740

.298

OBP

.319

▶

.319

3.98

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.85

4.12

Team ERA

4.19

▶

3.36

1.28

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

9.2

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYM wins

NYM 6 · NYY 4 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYM	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	0	6
NYY	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	4

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. BengeRF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Vientos1B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. TorrensC	.500	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
J. Young1B	.500	2	1	1	1	1	1	0
C. Arroyo2B	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
R. Clifford1B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
V. BrujanSS	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. PacheOF	.667	3	0	2	0	0	0	1
G. Kessinger3B	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. BaeCF	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
N. MorabitoLF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. SengerC	.333	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
C. SueroC	.000	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
J. Reimer3B	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. CluffSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Schwartz1B	1.000	1	1	1	3	1	0	0
M. RudickLF	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. MosqueraLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		38	6	11	6	4	2	6

Player

.000

.000

.500

.500

.333

.000

.333

.667

.333

.500

.000

.333

.000

.000

.000

1.000

1.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. HagenmanRP	2.1	2	1	1	3	3	--
S. GarciaRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	--
M. BaumannRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
M. TurnerRP	1.0	1	0	0	2	0	--
D. OrellanaSP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	--
J. BanksRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	--
B. MetoyerRP	0.1	2	3	3	1	0	--
J. GeberRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	--
C. GuzmanRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	--
Team	9.0	9	4	4	9	8	0

Player

2.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.1

0.2

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GrishamCF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. JudgeRF	.500	1	0	0	0	0	2	0
C. BellingerLF	.667	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.667	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
P. Goldschmidt1B	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. WellsC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	2	0
A. Rosario3B	.200	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
Y. FernandezRF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. CaballeroSS	.250	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
K. CoronaCF	.333	2	1	1	3	1	0	0
J. Vivas3B	.400	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. OrnelasSS	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. ShewmakeSS	.250	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. AvinaLF	.500	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
E. Martinez Jr.1B	.000	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
M. PalmaC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. MartinRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. KentSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Z. ShortSS	.000	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
Team		34	4	9	4	2	9	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. GilSP	2.2	2	1	1	0	4	--
C. WinquestRP	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	--
T. HillRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	--
A. ChivilliRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	--
B. BeckSP	3.0	4	3	3	1	1	--
Team	9.0	11	6	6	2	6	0

Team

NYM

NYY

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs NYM.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs NYM.