Cleveland Guardians vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 22, 2026

FINAL+6CLE

CLE

3-0

ATH

0-2

Hohokam Stadium · Mesa, Arizona

6,038 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.2%

ensemble · CLE favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATH vs CLE.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 87 high confidence

Strikeouts

Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium
Parker MessickCLE
6.2± 2.4medium
Gage JumpATH
5.7± 2.5low

Hits

Chase DeLauterCLE
1.2± 0.7high
Brayan RocchioCLE
1.0± 0.9high
Alika WilliamsATH
0.9± 0.8high

Total bases

Chase DeLauterCLE
1.6± 1.0high
Travis BazzanaCLE
1.5± 3.1high
Jonah HeimATH
1.4± 1.6high

RBIs

Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.7± 1.4low
Jonah HeimATH
0.6± 0.7high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.8± 2.0medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low
Gavin WilliamsCLE
2.8± 2.4medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CLE

league avg

ATH

.677

OPS

.719

▶

.734

.311

OBP

.319

▶

.326

3.97

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.58

3.77

Team ERA

◀

4.19

5.01

1.26

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.45

9.3

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.4

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CLE wins

CLE 6 · ATH 0 (by 6)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CLE	0	0	4	0	0	1	0	0	1	6
ATH	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. SchneemannCF	.500	3	0	2	0	0	0	1
G. ValeraLF	.400	3	1	1	1	1	0	2
D. FryRF	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. Manzardo1B	.200	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
S. FairchildRF	.200	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
N. JonesRF	.333	3	1	0	0	0	0	1
R. Velazquez1B	.500	2	1	2	2	0	1	0
T. Bazzana2B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Genao3B	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
D. Frias3B	.000	2	0	0	1	0	0	1
A. RosarioRF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. CozartC	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. BarstadC	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
K. WatsonRF	1.000	2	1	2	0	0	0	0
J. LampeCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
C. Kieboom3B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. DeversSS	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. MooneySS	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		40	6	12	4	1	3	14

Player

.500

.400

.167

.200

.200

.333

.500

.000

.250

.000

.000

.250

.500

1.000

.000

.250

.500

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. MessickSP	2.0	0	0	0	3	1	--
C. HeuerRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	--
W. DionSP	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	--
F. AlemanRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	--
T. MaceSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
A. AbneyRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	--
M. EllertsRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
Team	9.0	4	0	0	5	6	0

Player

2.0

1.0

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Kurtz1B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. LangeliersC	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. SoderstromLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
B. RookerDH	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. WilsonSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. McNeil2B	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
A. Ibanez2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. CortesRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
D. ClarkeCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. WallachC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. Angeles3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Stefanic2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. White3B	1.000	2	0	2	0	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
H. BolteCF	.250	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Kuroda-GrauerSS	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. ElliottLF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. MarloweOF	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		31	0	4	0	0	5	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. SeverinoSP	2.0	1	0	0	1	3	--
J. KuhnelRP	0.2	4	4	1	0	1	--
K. HugginsSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
M. KellyRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	--
L. MoralesSP	2.0	2	1	1	0	1	--
B. BassoRP	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	--
H. BaezSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
K. MorrisSP	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	--
Team	9.0	12	6	3	3	14	0

Team

CLE

ATH

3 sub-models, blended.

ATH vs CLE.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs CLE.