Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Jun 9, 2026

FINAL+3WSH

WSH

35-33

27-41

Oracle Park · San Francisco, California

35,493 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

SF spread

+1.5

open PK · +1.5

Total

O/U 8.5

open O/U 8.0 · +0.5

SF no-vig %

51.7%

open 53.2% · -1.5

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = SF favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

54.5%

ensemble · SF favored

Elo Static
56.0%
P(SF win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
53.3%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
56.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.26 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

92% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

-2.13

CLV pp · steam

Open price

-126

Close price

-115

Open no-vig

53.2%

Close no-vig

51.1%

Market faded the model hard · Graded: miss

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+30.1pp

best edge · SF · DraftKings

WSH

no live price

★ best

+267DraftKings

edge +30.1pp · implied 25.6%

Book	WSH	SF	Best edge
DraftKings	-380	+267★	+30.1

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

SF vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 85 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cade CavalliWSH
5.9± 3.5medium
Landen RouppSF
5.8± 2.1low
Foster GriffinWSH
5.6± 2.1medium

Hits

Luis ArraezSF
1.4± 0.8high
Bryce EldridgeSF
1.3± 0.8high
Jung Hoo LeeSF
1.3± 1.3high

Total bases

Bryce EldridgeSF
2.4± 2.1high
James WoodWSH
2.3± 2.3high
Luis ArraezSF
2.2± 1.6high

RBIs

Bryce EldridgeSF
0.8± 1.1high
Matt ChapmanSF
0.8± 1.1high
CJ AbramsWSH
0.7± 0.8high

Earned runs

Adrian HouserSF
2.9± 2.7low
Robbie RaySF
2.8± 3.5low
Landen RouppSF
2.7± 3.0low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

WSH

league avg

.744

OPS

◀

.718

.730

.323

OBP

◀

.319

.309

5.43

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.19

4.65

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.49

1.39

WHIP

1.31

1.40

7.7

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

WSH wins

WSH 6 · SF 3 (by 3)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked SF +6pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
WSH	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	6
SF	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	3

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. WoodRF	.271	5	2	3	1	0	0	2
L. Garcia Jr.1B	.262	3	1	1	2	1	0	1
J. TenaDH	.210	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
C. AbramsSS	.287	5	1	1	0	0	0	1
D. LileLF	.256	2	0	1	2	0	2	0
J. Vivas3B	.230	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Nunez2B	.202	4	0	1	0	0	0	3
D. MillasC	.180	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. YoungCF	.237	4	2	2	0	0	0	1
A. Chaparro1B	.167	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. CrewsRF	.182	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. Mead1B	.238	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	6	9	5	1	5	11

Player

.271

.262

.210

.287

.256

.230

.202

.180

.237

.167

.182

.238

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. AlvarezRP	4.0	5	2	2	5	4	90
B. LordRP	2.2	3	0	0	2	1	57
R. LoveladyRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4
C. BeeterRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11
O. RibaltaRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	15
Team	9.0	9	3	3	7	6	177

Player

4.0

2.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

177

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. SchmittDH	.278	5	0	0	0	0	0	2
R. Devers1B	.233	4	1	0	0	0	1	1
L. Arraez2B	.326	5	1	2	0	0	0	0
W. AdamesSS	.234	4	0	0	0	0	1	2
J. LeeRF	.335	5	0	2	2	0	0	0
B. EldridgeDH	.300	3	1	2	1	1	2	0
M. Chapman3B	.251	3	0	1	0	0	2	0
D. SusacC	.299	3	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. CoxCF	.417	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. GilbertCF	.233	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Kennedy1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
V. BericotoRF	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	3	9	3	1	7	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. HouserSP	4.1	4	3	3	0	6	77
S. HentgesRP	0.2	1	0	0	2	1	26
J. BrubakerRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	23
E. MillerRP	0.0	1	1	1	2	0	14
D. SmithRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	23
T. BeckRP	2.0	2	1	1	0	1	27
Team	9.0	9	6	6	5	11	190

Team

WSH

3 sub-models, blended.

Closing-line value.

Where to bet this game.

SF vs WSH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

Closing-line value.

SF vs WSH.

3 sub-models, blended.